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Umpire Trends In Handicapping

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(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

There is a popular handicapping website that has the umpire trends listed for team match ups.

I can see the importance of team trends, pitcher trends, and head to head trends.

How significant are umpire trends?

Do you use them?

Thanks for your help,

Undefeated

 
Posted : July 27, 2013 10:20 am
(@wilson)
Posts: 696
Honorable Member
 

it's actually valuable information

some umpires are more liberal with strike zones (more walks)

allstar break is a great time to start using the info

i have to go to the store and buy some cap'n crunch and mountain dew

 
Posted : August 9, 2013 7:06 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Thanks for your feedback.

 
Posted : August 10, 2013 12:44 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

If the capper who is coming up with these plays below truly does put weight on the umpire trends then this is a statistic to be really looked at along with the other stats.

Umpire UNDER streakers 72-24-8 (75%)

umpire = Cooper 13-3-1 L17 ( bet under on MLB game between BOS/DET)

umpire = West 10-2-2 L14 (bet under on MLB game between HOU/MIN)

umpire = Danley 14-3-1 L18 (bet under on MLB game between KC/SEA)

 
Posted : September 2, 2013 1:28 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

This guy came out of the blue on Twitter with these trends and has been money from what I have seen, you can also find umpire trends in our MLB daily trend sheet as well Undefeated77.

 
Posted : September 2, 2013 9:30 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

For Tuesday 9/3

MLB Umpire Under Streakers - Currently 76-25-8 (75%)

Miller 12-3 L15 (LAA/TB)

Barrett 16-4 L20 (CLE/BAL)

Gonzalez 7-0 L7 (COL/LAD)

 
Posted : September 2, 2013 10:03 pm
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Blade, do some books have advanced betting options where you can bet purely on the umpire and what he is going to do? I know my book does not.

Also, if you are going to bet the under on the total of those Tuesday TEAM MATCH UPS posted above then using other team trends that I have identified, the Cleveland / Baltimore game has the best under trends all around to add to the umpire trends. This is the only one I have bet on out of the three posted above for Tuesday.

My best to all, Undefeated77

 
Posted : September 2, 2013 11:04 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Blade, do some books have advanced betting options where you can bet purely on the umpire and what he is going to do? I know my book does not.

No, would be real headache to grade for a book and not worth the work since very few people would use it.

Also, if you are going to bet the under on the total of those Tuesday TEAM MATCH UPS posted above then using other team trends that I have identified, the Cleveland / Baltimore game has the best under trends all around to add to the umpire trends. This is the only one I have bet on out of the three posted above for Tuesday.

When betting solely based on trends I like to look at all the trends/info I can find and use everything I gather to see if it is worth a bet or not, somethings I bet purely on a trend or some I might use trends to influence a bet.

Hope all this dribble makes sense, late at night here and had a few beers after a brutal day at work.

 
Posted : September 2, 2013 11:22 pm
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

For Tuesday 9/3

MLB Umpire Under Streakers - Currently 76-25-8 (75%)

Miller 12-3 L15 (LAA/TB)

Barrett 16-4 L20 (CLE/BAL)

Gonzalez 7-0 L7 (COL/LAD)

You can also apply the Dunkel filter to
these totals to see how they check out.
My chosen investment also checks out
with the Dunkel filter that you guys and
gals can find in the free service plays section:

I took the under between Clev./Balt.

Game 965-966: Baltimore at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 16.102; Cleveland (Jimenez) 14.587
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-120); Under

 
Posted : September 3, 2013 10:06 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

I took the under between Clev./Balt.

IT WAS A WINNER.
-----------------------

For Wednesday I have found a great under for umpire trends AND both pitchers have strong under trends also.

Here is my investment:

Baseball - 917 Texas Rangers/Oakland Athletics under 7 -110 for Game

 
Posted : September 3, 2013 10:25 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Umpire UNDER streaker

Kulpa 6-1 L7 (OAK/TEX)

 
Posted : September 4, 2013 8:17 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Last night I looked for the UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER play(s) and I could not find it or them, so I did my own searching for an under play in MLB and found the Oak/Tex game and posted it above. Since then I find that both CHASE ADAMS and the BASEBALL CRUSHER cappers recommend the under in the Oak/Tex game, besides the UMPIRE UNDER STREAKER also recommending it. The only fly in the ointment is Dunkel which has over to a total of 8. Oh well, Dunkel is not always right.

 
Posted : September 4, 2013 9:13 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Umpire UNDER streaker

Kulpa 6-1 L7 (OAK/TEX)

Umpire UNDER streakers 77-27-8 (74%)

Layne 6-1-1 L8 (ARI/TOR)

 
Posted : September 4, 2013 10:29 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Umpire UNDER streaker

Umpire UNDER streakers 77-27-8 (74%)

Layne 6-1-1 L8 (ARI/TOR)

Toronto trends are strong for under all around BUT.....

Arizona pitcher

Over is 4-0 in Delgados last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Over is 3-1-1 in Delgados last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Head to Head for these teams

Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Arizona.

Umpire Trends - Jerry Layne

Under is 6-1-1 in Laynes last 8 games behind home plate.
Under is 6-1-2 in Laynes last 9 games behind home plate vs. Arizona.
Over is 5-2 in Laynes last 7 interleague games behind home plate.
Under is 32-15-1 in Laynes last 48 Wednesday games behind home plate.

 
Posted : September 4, 2013 10:50 am
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
Illustrious Member
 

Umpire UNDER streaker

Rob Drake NYY/BOS (11-3-1 L15)

 
Posted : September 5, 2013 3:40 pm
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