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Umpire Trends In Handicapping

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(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Umpire Under Streakers 9/18

Cuzzi 16-0-1 L17 - Mariners/Tigers

Cooper 13-3-2 L18 - Rays/Rangers

West 7-2 L9 - Diamondbacks/Dodgers

 
Posted : September 18, 2013 6:51 am
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
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Umpire Under Streakers 9/18

Cuzzi 16-0-1 L17 - Mariners/Tigers

Cooper 13-3-2 L18 - Rays/Rangers

West 7-2 L9 - Diamondbacks/Dodgers

Using the Dunkel Index filter we see that Cooper checks out and Dunkel has the total set at 6 and with umpire West, Dunkel has the total set at 8. I got good value with the West pick so I chose that one today.

Happy Investing, Undefeated

 
Posted : September 18, 2013 10:45 am
(@blade)
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Umpire UNDER streaker 9/19

Joyce 9-2-2 L13 (ARI/LAD)

 
Posted : September 19, 2013 6:37 am
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Umpire UNDER streakers 9/24

103-47 (69%)

Miller 15-4 L19 (SEA/KC)
DeMuth 6-0 L6 (ATL/MIL)

 
Posted : September 24, 2013 10:36 am
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Umpire UNDER streakers 9/25

Nauert 10-1-1 L12 (ATL/MIL)
Guccione 7-1-1 L9 (TOR/BAL)
Culbreth 7-0-1 L8 (MIN/DET)

 
Posted : September 25, 2013 8:10 am
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Umpire UNDER streakers 9/26

Layne 8-1-1 L10 (SD/ARI)

107-48-16 (69%)

 
Posted : September 25, 2013 10:58 pm
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Umpire UNDER streaker 9/27

Mike DiMuro 11-3-1 L15 (TEX/LAA)

 
Posted : September 27, 2013 6:47 am
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Umpire UNDER streakers 9/27

Danley 17-3-1 L21 (HOU/NYY)

Cooper 14-3-3 L20 (TOR/TB)

 
Posted : September 27, 2013 4:26 pm
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Umpire UNDER streaker: 9/28

Todd Tichenor 6-1 L7 (NYM/MIL)

 
Posted : September 28, 2013 6:57 am
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Umpire UNDER streaker 10/3

Wendelstedt 7-2-1 L10 (ATL/LAD)

 
Posted : October 3, 2013 1:51 pm
(@undefeated77)
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Umpire UNDER streaker 10/3

Wendelstedt 7-2-1 L10 (ATL/LAD)

I identified this one last night ahead of this pick release above.

Here are the pitcher and head to head trends that helped me identify this as a good pick:

OU Trends
LA Dodgers

Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 games following an off day.
Under is 6-1-2 in Dodgers last 9 games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff road games.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff games.
Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff games as a favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
Under is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 overall.
Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 Thursday games.
Over is 5-2 in Dodgers last 7 Divisional Playoff road games.
Under is 15-6-2 in Dodgers last 23 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 12-5 in Dodgers last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 35-17-3 in Dodgers last 55 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 33-16-4 in Dodgers last 53 games as a favorite.
Under is 47-23-4 in Dodgers last 74 on grass.

Pitcher Trends:

Under is 4-0-1 in Kershaws last 5 road starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 9-2-2 in Kershaws last 13 starts with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 4-1-1 in Kershaws last 6 Thursday starts.
Over is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
Under is 4-1-1 in Kershaws last 6 road starts.
Under is 4-1 in Kershaws last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1-1 in Kershaws last 6 starts as a road favorite.
Under is 11-3-2 in Kershaws last 16 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 9-3-2 in Kershaws last 14 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Over is 6-2-2 in Kershaws last 10 starts vs. National League East.
Under is 11-4-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts as a favorite.
Under is 11-4-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts on grass.
Under is 11-4-2 in Kershaws last 17 starts overall.
Under is 5-2 in Kershaws last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150.
Over is 5-2 in Kershaws last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 16-7-2 in Kershaws last 25 starts with 5 days of rest.

Atlanta

Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 games as a home underdog.
Under is 9-2 in Braves last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 playoff games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 12-3-1 in Braves last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 4-1 in Braves last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Under is 16-4-1 in Braves last 21 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 9-3 in Braves last 12 home games.
Under is 15-5-1 in Braves last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 9-3 in Braves last 12 playoff games.
Under is 22-8-1 in Braves last 31 games following a win.
Under is 11-4 in Braves last 15 games as an underdog.
Under is 19-7 in Braves last 26 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Over is 8-3 in Braves last 11 Divisional Playoff games.
Under is 21-8-2 in Braves last 31 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2-1 in Braves last 8 games a home underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 5-2 in Braves last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 10-4 in Braves last 14 home games with the total set at 6.5 or lower.
Under is 35-15-2 in Braves last 52 on grass.
Under is 35-15-2 in Braves last 52 overall.
Under is 9-4 in Braves last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Pitcher Trends:

Under is 5-0-1 in Medlens last 6 Thursday starts.
Under is 7-0-1 in Medlens last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Under is 7-0-1 in Medlens last 8 starts on grass.
Under is 4-0 in Medlens last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 7-0-1 in Medlens last 8 starts overall.
Under is 5-0 in Medlens last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-0 in Medlens last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 8-0 in Medlens last 8 starts vs. National League West.
Under is 12-3-2 in Medlens last 17 starts with 5 days of rest.
Under is 4-1 in Medlens last 5 starts as an underdog.
Under is 8-2 in Medlens last 10 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Medlens last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 18-7-2 in Medlens last 27 home starts.
Over is 5-2-2 in Medlens last 9 starts during game 1 of a series.

Head to Head

Under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 meetings in Atlanta.
Under is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.

 
Posted : October 3, 2013 2:45 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Umpire UNDER streaker 10/3

Wendelstedt 7-2-1 L10 (ATL/LAD)

I identified this one last night ahead of this pick release above.

Maybe you should start your own Twitter fan club like him. 😎

 
Posted : October 3, 2013 3:04 pm
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Maybe you should start your own Twitter fan club like him. 😎

Good idea and I can advertise THE SPREAD FORUM in each tweet.

😉

 
Posted : October 3, 2013 4:15 pm
(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
Prominent Member
Topic starter
 

Umpire UNDER streaker 10/3

Wendelstedt 7-2-1 L10 (ATL/LAD)

WE HAVE A WINNER because I got the play at a total set at 8.5 rather than one set at 6 !!!!
I got it by forming a parlay so I got a good value price for the play.

Wager Type : Parlay (2 team)
Wager Status : Win

Won : XXX
Amount Paid : XXX
#1) Wager Type : Total
Outcome : Win
Sport / Period : MLB Baseball / Game
Selection : Los Angeles Dodgers/Atlanta Braves
Time : 10/3/2013 5:37:01PM - (PST)
Line : Under 8½ -368
Pitchers : C. Kershaw - L - Must Pitch / K. Medlen - R - Must Pitch
Game Notes : (TBS) National League - League Divisonal Series - Best of 5 (2-2-1)

#2) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Win
Sport / Period : NHL Hockey / Game
Selection : Pittsburgh Penguins
Time : 10/3/2013 4:05:01PM - (PST)
Line : -185

 
Posted : October 3, 2013 10:19 pm
(@blade)
Posts: 318493
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Umpire UNDER streaker 10/4

Guccione 8-2 L10 (BOS/TB)

116-52 (69%)

 
Posted : October 4, 2013 10:08 am
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