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Using Reverse Line Movement as a technique for handicapping

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(@undefeated77)
Posts: 655
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I thought the below handicapper recommendation was interesting and insightful since he is using the technique of looking at reverse line movement to make his bet.

Finding something that stands out as the opposite of what the public is favoring can be helpful such as pinpointing heavy unders when the public usually favors overs.

8)

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WARNING: THIS IS A RECOMMENDATION THAT CAME OUT SEVERAL DAYS AGO FOR
A GAME THAT IS OVER AND FINISHED.

SportsInsights

NFL Week 16 – Games to Watch

Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears

Our old favorite -- reverse line movement -- is pointing towards the Chicago Bears in this match-up. The line opened at Chicago +7.5 but quickly moved to Chicago +7 -- even with 80% of the bets taking the Vikings. Our faithful readers know that we like this kind of reverse line movement because it means that "big money" is more than counter-balancing the barrage of Public Bets -- that are normally on the favorite. We'll ride the "big money" coattails and "fade the Public." In addition to "reading the tape" of the NFL point spread marketplace, there is value in betting home dogs during the end of the Regular Season. Finally, this is a good old-fashioned Divisional rivalry -- so the Bears will definitely be a "live" home dog. Being under the spotlight of Monday Night Football should also get the Bears up for this game. Take the 7 points and a Bears team that should certainly be motivated for this game.

Chicago Bears +7

 
Posted : December 30, 2009 3:00 pm
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