Wise Guys Unlimited
High Roller Special Clippers +5
Trev Rogers:
NCAA Hoops
1. 7*: Iowa State -9.5
NBA Hoops
5*s:
1. Spurs -4.5
2. New Orleans +8.5
3. Orlando -3
4. Memphis -12
Hank Green...
5* Over Utep/toledo
3* Utep
Hoops...
Nba G.o.w. Houst
College G.o.w. Buff.u
5* Arz
5* Under Philly/gold St.
3* De Paul
3* Org.st.
PPP
NBA
3% San Antonio (-4.5)
3% New Orleans (+9)
NCAA
5% Youngstown State (-2.5)
3% Michigan State (-13.5)
3% Nevada (-9)
3% Arizona (-15
Football
3% Toledo
3% OVER 60.5
JB
3*Orlando
3*Memphis
Sebastian
NCAA Football
5*toledo
NBA
10* San Antonio Under
10* Orlando
Winning Points
6*NY,
6*Cal
5*USC,MO
Platinum Group
5*Ind,NJ,
5*Ark,Brad
TIPPS
3*SoMiss,Stan,ovStan
3*,NJ
Vegas Connection
4*NV,Cal
Mike Warren
OreSt,,USC,Geo
Mem,NY
Delaney
40m* Toledo
10m* Arizona
10m* Boise St
Jack Clayton Guaranteed Selections
Date: Wednesday, December 21, 2005
5* Spurs at Knicks
I don't care that this may be a difficult back to back situation for the Spurs. This is a deep San Antonio team taking on a simply atrocious and even embarrassing NY Knick team. The Spurs have Brent Barry, Nazr Mohammed, Robert Horry, and Nick Van Exel -- and those are just the guys who came off the bench in last night's loss at Milwaukee. We're talking about quality veterans who know their roles and are only interested in defense and team-oriented play, which coach Gregg Poppovich preaches. I knew Milwaukee's new frontcourt pieces matched up well against the Spurs, but that's not the case here, as NY has a huge disadvantge under the boards this game. This San Antonio defense is still formidable. The exact opposite is true of this Knicks team, which carries a 6-game losing streak into this game. They are 0-4 ATS the last 4 and allow 98 ppg at home. New York is playing no defense is not a happy or functional team, with too many egos and too much deadweight. In addition, Nazr Mohammed returns to the team that traded him away a year ago. The Spurs will control the glass and their defense and depth should get them an 10-14 point win.
Play the Spurs!
Alex Smart
California -7 Free Play
Mike Rose Freebie
Michigan State -14.5
DUKE
College Basketball:
1 Unit on Missouri +11 -110
Wayne Root:
College Basketball:
Toledo--**Fortune 5000** (NCAA Basketball)
DePaul--Trophy Club
Northwestern State--Millionaire
Pure Profit:
College Basketball:
Buffalo--**Power Play** ($500 on internet)
DePaul--Money Move
North Carolina--Consensus
Gamblers Choice
nba (69%)
50* phily - 2-
coll (54%)
30* nev -9
7:00p
Alex Smart
Eastern Illinois
+3.5 / 3 units
7:00p
Alex Smart
Tennessee-Martin
+6.0 / 3 units
7:30p
Alex Smart
James Madison
+3.0 / 3 units
7:35p
Alex Smart
Utah Jazz
+6.5 / 3 units
10:00p
Alex Smart
Oregon State
+3.0 / 3 units
:00p
Mike Rose
Niagara
Notre Dame
u143.0 / 1 unit
7:05p
Mike Rose
New Jersey Nets
Orlando Magic
o183.0 / 3 units
8:00p
Mike Rose
Jacksonville State
-6.5 / 3 units
8:00p
Mike Rose
Missouri
+11.5 / 1 units
8:00p
Mike Rose
Texas-El Paso
Toledo
o62.0 / 3 units
8:05p
Mike Rose
New Orleans Hornets
+9.5 / 3 units
8:05p
Mike Rose
Memphis Grizzlies
-11.5 / 3 units
8:15p
Mike Rose
Western Kentucky
Arizona
o155.5 / 3 units
8:45p
Mike Rose
Boise State
Arizona State
o145.0 / 2 units
10:00p
Mike Rose
Texas Tech
+3.0 / 2 units
10:30p
Mike Rose
USC
+4.5 / 5 units
6:00p
LT Profits
St John's
Duke r520
u132.5 / 2 units
'
7:05p
LT Profits
Dallas Stars
Columbus Blue Jackets
u5.5 (100) / 2 units
8:00p
LT Profits
Illinois
Missouri
u130.0 / 2 units
8:05p
LT Profits
New Orleans Hornets
Minnesota Timberwolves
u178.5 / 2 units
9:05p
LT Profits
Los Angeles Kings
(130) / 2 units
10:00p
LT Profits
Arkansas
Texas Tech
u139.5 / 2 unit
10:35p
LT Profits
St. Louis Blues
(225) / 2 unit
Matt Fargo hoops:
1 Cal St Fullerton -2
1 Phil -2
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/21/2005 UTEP 3
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/22/2005 BYU 7.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/22/2005 BYU at
CALIFORNIA Over 62
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/22/2005 COLORADO ST 2.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/22/2005 NAVY at
COLORADO ST Over 62.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/24/2005 NEVADA at
CENTRAL FLORIDA Over 64
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/26/2005 AKRON 5.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/26/2005 AKRON at
MEMPHIS Over 47.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/28/2005 MICHIGAN -11
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/29/2005 UTAH 8.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/29/2005 UTAH at
GEORGIA TECH Under 46
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/29/2005 OKLAHOMA 3
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/30/2005 MINNESOTA -3.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/30/2005 SOUTH CAROLINA -3.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/31/2005 NO CAROLINA ST -5.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/31/2005 FRESNO ST -6.5
Who2Beton - Mike Rose CFB - 12/31/2005 IOWA ST 4
Cappers Access
Sport Favorite Underdog Line Pick
(Wed) CFB Toledo UTEP 3 Toledo
(Wed) CBB Duke St Johns 22 St Johns
(Wed) CBB Illinois Missouri 12 Missouri
(Wed) CBB California Depaul 7 Depaul
Great Lake Sports
CBB 4* Illinois
John Fina:
Toledo
Lenny Stevens
10 stars Toledo (College foots)
10 stars Orlando (NBA)
10 stars North Carolina (college hoops)
freebie-Golden State Warriors
ATS
4 units on Youngstown St (-2 1/2) over James Madison, 7:30
4 units on Arkansas (-3) over Texas Tech, 10:00
4 units on California (-8) over Depaul, 11:00
B LANG
30 Dime UTEP
20 Dime NW St.
10 Dime Golden St & New Orleans
Wednesday December 21st 2005
-- College Football --
8:00p
Mike Martell
Texas-El Paso
+3.0 / 10 units
CFB GAME OF THE YEAR 10 UNITS: GMAC BOWL: UTEP +3 (vs Toledo
8:00p
Mike Rose
Texas-El Paso
Toledo
o62.0 / 3 units
3* TOLEDO/UTEP OVER 62 ACTION 8:00 ET
Very interesting match-up this evening in the GMAC Bowl as the Toledo Rockets and UTEP Miners lock horns for the first time ever in Mobile, AL. Last we saw the Rockets, they pulled off an unbelievable comeback at Bowling Green and cashed our ‘Over’ tickets in the process. Well, we’re going right back to the well in their Bowl game as the UTEP miners match up with them very well. UTEP boasts an identical 8-3 mark, but stumbled to close out their regular season schedule which ultimately cost them a shot of competing in the Liberty Bowl. Toledo has gotten waxed in its last two Bowl efforts, and would love nothing more than to send highly acclaimed Sr. QB Bruce Gradkowski out a winner who passed for 2171 yards and 24 TDs on the year. UTEP counters with Jordan Palmer (Carson’s little bro) who threw for 3340 yards and 28 TDs on the year. Up until their last two games of the season, UTEP’s offense was simply unstoppable. In fact, they were the only ones to stop themselves with poorly timed turnovers. If Palmer and company are able to limit those turnovers this evening, I believe they’ll run away with the prize. If not, Toledo will roll as they already come into this one (+5) in the TO ratio. Either way, points will be put up on the board regardless of the turnovers, as both clubs will be able to move the ball with ease against each stop unit. Sit back and enjoy the fireworks!!!
Thursday December 22nd 2005
-- College Football --
8:00p
Rich Crew
BYU
+7.5 / 3 units
Friday December 23rd 2005
-- College Football --
8:00p
Mike Rose
Kansas
-3.0 / 3 units
3* KANSAS (–3) VS. HOUSTON ACTION 8:00 ET
2* KANSAS/HOUSTON UNDER 50 ACTION 8:00 ET
I’ll be the first to admit that I was surprised at the moxie and determination the Jayhawks exhibited in their season finale at home against Iowa State. They fought back from a double-digit deficit in the fourth quarter, and ripped the Big 12 North Championship right out of the Cyclones hands in OT. This is a senior laden group that took care of business in every one of the home games this season, and took on a much tougher slate of competition than its opponent did this season. Houston ended up with an identical 6-5 mark this season, and my hat goes off to HC Art Briles and his staff for turning the fortunes of this program around after last season’s disappointing season. That being said, they’re up against it this evening as the Jayhawks look to grab HC Mangino his first ever Bowl win. KU was annihilated a few year’s back against QB Phillip Rivers and the NC State Wolfpack as double-digit underdogs. I expect a much better effort to be put forth by the “Fighting Mangino’s†this time around. The Jayhawks defense was simply one of the best in the nation. They’re experienced in every facet, and will welcome the challenge of taking on the Cougar’s complex offensive schemes. KU’s taken on the Texas Tech Red Raiders in each of the last two seasons, and covered both games easily. They nearly knocked off a much better TT squad a year ago, and bottled their offense up in the second half this year. KU is just too fast and ferocious on the defensive side of the ball for Houston, and it will come to fruition this evening. The Hawks also boast the better special teams that should leave the Cougars with plenty of green to chew in order to put points up on the board. KU will be playing in hostile territory and will have to get past its road woes in this spot, but this is a determined group that will find a way to shut down the Cougar’s gimmick offense and notch Mangino his first post-season victory.
Texas SportsWire
GMAC BOWL
Ladd Peebles Stadium - Mobile, AL
UTEP vs. TOLEDO
UTEP (8-3 SU/4-6 ATS) was humming right along until pulling two clunkers in their last two games of the season in losses vs. UAB and at SMU in the season finale. The Miners are led by QB Jordan Palmer, little brother of Cincinnati's Carson Palmer. Palmer threw for 3,340 yards and 28 touchdowns this year, but he tossed 18 interceptions, with seven of them coming in the final two games. He has the arm, the understanding of the offense, and the weapons around him, but he has to limit his mistakes for the Miners to be successful. WR Johnnie Lee Higgins, who caught eight touchdown passes in the first six games of the year, was shut out over the final five games and needs to get into the mix. RB Tyler Ebell, a transfer from UCLA, and Marcus Thomas are solid runners that are good enough to carry the offense on their own. Offensively, UTEP ranks 20th (438 ypg) and their defense ranks 54th (364 ypg). Toledo (8-3 SU/3-7 ATS) closed out their season on November 22nd with a 44-41 OT win at Bowling Green as +5 point dogs. Their three losses this year came at Fresno State (44-14), at Central Michigan (21-17) and at home vs. Northern Illinois (35-17). QB Bruce Gradkowski has been one of college football's all-time most efficient passers, completing 68% of his passes in his career with 80 touchdown passes and 25 interceptions. Toledo has been solid on both sides of the ball this year, ranking 17th in total offense (445 ypg) and 23rd in defense (322 ypg). The fav is 3-0 ATS in the last three GMAC Bowls. Both teams finished the season on an ATS skid, going a combined 1-9 ATS down the stretch. Toledo is 11-1 ATS after topping 42 points in their previous outing. Both teams can light it up on the scoreboard as Toledo ranks 14th in scoring (35 ppg) and UTEP ranks 21st (33 ppg). Should be plenty of scoring.
SELECTION: 3* OVER
AAA
NCAAB: Bradley at Southern Mississippi - Over 131 -110
Game Date: 12/21/2005
Note: This total is being held down by the fact that Southern Miss has had a couple of really low scoring efforts this year at Arkansas, Samford and Denver. But check out Samford and you will see they do that to everyone. In addition, the Arkansas ball hawking D stymied the Eagles as they tend to do with a number of teams. Southern has scored 84 and 90 in their last 2 games, while giving up 73 in their last 5. Bradley has allowed 72 on all road games this year and we can certainly see the Eagles matching that number tonight.
NCAAB: Eastern Illinois at Morehead State - Over 126 -110
Game Date: 12/21/2005
Note: The lowest point total the last 10 times these two teams have played was 127 in 2001. Otherwise this has been a high scoring game every year and has averaged 154 over the 10 years. Overall, these teams have surrendered over 148 per game collectively and this line is being held down by the fact that both have played tough competition on the road this year. Both should get well tonight shooting the ball and this one will sail over the low number..
NCAAB: Sam Houston St at Central Florida - Over 124 -110
Game Date: 12/21/2005
Note: Both of these two teams play great D when they are at home but both also play horrible D when the travel. They are both on the road today in San Juan. Collectively they allow 146 per game on 47% and 50% shooting. In the only neutral site game played by these two, we saw 141 with CFla/SouFla. This is a low number to cover.
AAA Sports Handicapping
GMAC Bowl (December 21) Regular Play (2*) **Toledo (-2 ½) 35 Utep 24
Las Vegas Bowl (December 22) Top Rated Play (3*) ***CALIFORNIA (-7) 41 Byu 23
Poinsettia Bowl (December 22) LEAN to Navy Navy (-2 ½) 32 Colorado State 28
Fort Worth Bowl (December 23) LEAN to Kansas Kansas (-3) 28 Houston 21
Hawaii Bowl (December 24) Strong Opinion (1*) Central Florida 33 Nevada (-2) 28
Motor City Bowl (December 26) LEAN to Akron Memphis (-5 ½) 27 Akron 23
Champs Sports Bowl Dec 27 no line on Clemson-Col, but I'll probably lean with Colorado at +3 or more and with Clemson at less than that.
INSIGHT BOWL Tuesday, December 27 (3*) ***Rutgers 32 ARIZONA STATE (-11) 33
MPC Computers Bowl December 28 Lean with Boston College
Mastercard Alamo Bowl Dec 28 Lean with Nebraska
EMERALD BOWL Thursday, December 29 Utah 21 Georgia Tech (-8 ½) 26
Pacific Life Holiday Bowl Dec 29 slight Lean with Oklahoma at +3 or more
Gaylord Hotels Music City Bowl Dec 30 probably Lean with Minnesota at -4 or less
Vitalis Sun Bowl Dec 30 Lean with UCLA at -4 or less
Independence Bowl Dec 30 tossup in Missouri-S Carolina game at line of 4
Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl Dec 30 no line on Miami-LSU, but I'll probably favor Miami by at least 7
Meineke Car Care Bowl Dec 31 South Florida might be a strong opinion
AutoZone Liberty Bowl Dec 31 Possible Strong Opinion on Fresno State
EVI.net Houston Bowl Dec 31 Lean with Iowa State +3 or more
AT&T Cotton bowl Jan 2 probable strong opinion on Alabama as dog.
OUTBACK BOWL Monday, January 2 (4*) ****Iowa 33 Florida (-2 ½) 20
Toyota Gator Bowl Jan 2 Lean with Louisville
Capital One Bowl Jan 2 Lean with Wisconsin
FIESTA BOWL Monday, January 2 (4*) ****Ohio State (-4) 35 Notre Dame 17
SUGAR BOWL Monday, January 2 (2*) **West Virginia 24 Georgia (-7 ½) 23
ORANGE BOWL Tuesday, January 3 (2*) **Penn State (-7 ½) 30 Florida State 13
ROSE BOWL January 4 Lean with Texas
Godspicks Full Card
God's Picks Premium Picks for December 21, 2005
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays.
CFB
Major…
TOLEDO -2’ utep
UTEP has won their games by as the saying goes “outscoring their opponentâ€. Toledo can more than keep up though averaging 34.9 ppg. Toledo though is more balanced. The Miners' ground game has been something of a bust, leaving QB Jordan Palmer to shoulder the load -- something he has done with mixed results, throwing 18 interceptions and 28 touchdown passes. Like we said, Toledo will make UTEP pay for turnovers more than most of their foes have.
CBB
Wise Guy…
DUKE -22 St. John’s
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449.
YOUNGSTOWN STATE -2’ James Madison
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449.
STANFORD -15 Princeton
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449.
NEVADA -10 Georgia
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449.
USC +4’ North Carolina
College Game of the Month
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449. As it’s a huge sharp versus squares game, we make it our Game of the Month. That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw†contacts. We go with the sharp money.
ARIZONA -15’ Western Kentucky
Going with home teams in non-conference games off a 20 point or more win is 628-449.
Major…
HOLY CROSS +1’ Mississippi State
Sorry forgot to include from previous send—day game.
Major….
NBA
Wise Guy…
Washington-Denver OVER 202’
Note, it’s a system that we noticed the commercial database counts twice each game because in theory it applies to both teams. However it’s a sensation system nonetheless and will quote the record the way the database records it. A game involving two teams that shoot less than 33 percent from three-point range has gone over a remarkable 936-704.
NEW YORK +4’ San Antonio
We almost pulled the trigger on another moneyline play but +185 isn’t the greatest value. However considering San Antonio is 0-4 SU in back-to-back games including losses to Atlanta and New Orleans, they played OT last night and Manu Ginobili is out, we must take the home underdog. NY has won 9-of-12 SU at home in the series.
Major…
GOLDEN STATE +3’ Philadelphia
This is one of the top sharp versus squares games. That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw†contacts. We go with the sharp money.
ESPN Insider Pick:
GMAC Bowl
UTEP +3 vs. Toledo: Mike Price's UTEP Miners seemingly had a berth in the Conference USA championship game wrapped up after they defeated eventual champ Tulsa 41-38 on the first Saturday in November. The game was a thriller and pointed the two teams out as the best in the conference. All the Miners had to do to play for the title was defeat either UAB at home or SMU on the road. It did neither. UAB, desperate to try to become bowl eligible, caught UTEP on a letdown week after Tulsa and got the victory. Unfortunately for the Miners, they also caught a very hot SMU team at year end. But it doesn't mean that Price won't have them ready for this game. Quarterback Jordan Palmer is capable of picking Toledo apart. Last year, UTEP nearly upset Colorado in the Houston Bowl.
Conference USA competition was far superior to the MAC this year, and in the MAC, Toledo was far from a standout. In the season's final game it took an overtime victory over Bowling Green (another team that blew it) to get the Rockets this bowl invitation. Late in the season Toledo could have clinched a spot in the MAC title game with either a victory over Central Michigan or with a win at home over Northern Illinois, and failed both times. The defense has failed the Rockets miserably of late. In the final two games, the Rockets' D allowed 35 to Northern Illinois and 41 to Bowling Green. With Palmer bombing away for UTEP like Omar Jacobs did for Bowling Green, Toledo looks very vulnerable. Also, Toledo quarterback Bruce Gradkowski has not looked nearly as sharp this year.
The pick: UTEP. In its last two bowl appearances (last year and '02) Toledo lost by 29 and 26 to middle-of-the-road Big East opponents.