Week 10 NFL POWER SYSTEMâ„¢
ACTIVE for Houston at Indianapolis:
Play AGAINST a home favorite of 3+ points off a non-division home SU win of less than 5 points as a favorite of 3+ points in its last game and not its first SU win of the season.
This POWER SYSTEMâ„¢ demonstrates that after struggling at home against a non-division opponent they were expected to beat, home favorites have carried over their under-achieving play into their next game.
Since 1996, this POWER SYSTEMâ„¢ is a perfect 13-0 ATS, beating the spread by an average of more than 11 points a game. This is the first time the system is active for 2004, after being active 2 times in 2003. Last year in Week 12 Miami qualified as a "Play AGAINST" team when they were a 6.5 home favorite against Washington after barely surviving against Baltimore the week before, 9-6, as a 5.5 home favorite. Against the Redskins, the Dolphins barely got by once again, winning 24-23, but failed to beat the spread. Ironically, 4 days later Miami played at Dallas on Thanksgiving with the Cowboys in this "Play AGAINST" role. Dallas had just beat Carolina the week before, 24-20, as a 3 point home favorite. Again, this POWER SYSTEMâ„¢ came up a winner, as the Cowboys were blasted by the Dolphins, 40-21, failing to beat the spread by 22 points.