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Week 3 pre-season match-ups

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Ravens @ Eagles –7 Total 33
Ravens are 10-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (3-1 ATS last 4).

Ravens are 10-11 OVER in Week 3 (6-2 UNDER last 8)

Ravens are 15-9 ATS as a Preseason Dog (0-1 ATS this year).

Ravens are 12-4-1 ATS last 17 preseason games (1-1 ATS this year)

Eagles are 12-10 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (6-3 ATS last 9).

Eagles are 13-8 OVER in Preseason Week 3 (5-3 UNDER last 8).

Eagles are 12-17 ATS as a Preseason Fav (1-0 ATS this year).

Eagles are 6-1-1 ATS as a Preseason HF of 5.5 or more
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Titans @ Vikings –3.5 Total 43

Titans are 11-10 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (3-1 ATS last 4).

Titans are 11-10 OVER in Week 3 (3-1 OVER last 4)

Titans are 14-8 ATS as a Preseason Dog. (1-0 ATS this year)

Titans are 7-2 ATS away

Titans are 8-1 ATS away vs opp off a win

Vikings are 6-13 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (2-6 ATS last 8).

Vikings are 15-6 OVER in Preseason Week 3 (10-2 OVER last 12).

Vikings are 16-14 ATS as a Preseason Fav (0-1 ATS this year).

Vikings are 5-1 ATS vs opp off BB wins & covers
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Panthers at Patriots -6 Total 35.5

Panthers are 13-8 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (5-1 ATS last 6).

Panthers are 4-3 OVER in Week 3 (4-1 OVER last 5)

Panthers are 10-8 ATS as a Preseason Dog.(1-0 ATS this year)

Panthers are 6-0 ATS vs sub .600 opp

Panthers are 5-14-2 ATS vs AFC opp

Pats are 10-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (0-3 ATS last 3).

Pats are 16-5 OVER in Preseason Week 3 (8-3 OVER last 11).

Pats are 13-4 ATS as a Preseason Fav (0-1 ATS this year).

Pats are 7-0 SU & ATS in last home game

System Play: Play against the Super Bowl champion in each of their preseason games. Since 1988, if you followed this system, you would have a record of 38-21-1 ATS (64.4%) (1-0-1 ATS this year)

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Jaguars @ Bears -5.5 Total 33

Jags are 4-3 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (0-2 ATS last 2).

Jags are 6-1 OVER in Week 3 (6-1 OVER last 7)

Jags are 6-5-1 ATS as a Preseason Dog.(0-1 ATS this year)

Jags are 0-5 SU & ATS vs an opp that was +5 or more last game

Jags are 10-7-1 ATS vs NFC (0-2 ATS this year)

Jags are 21-10 OVER (1-1 OVER this year)

Bears are 7-15 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-6 ATS last 7).

Bears are 10-11 OVER in Preseason Week 3 (3-0 OVER last 3).

Bears are 10-11-1 ATS as a Preseason Fav (0-0 ATS this year).

Bears are 1-8 SU & 1-7-1 ATS off a win
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Steelers @ Lions +3.5 Total 35.5

Steelers are 10-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (4-1 ATS last 5).

Steelers are 11-10 OVER in Week 3 (4-1 OVER last 5)

Steelers are 16-11 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-1 ATS this year)

Lions are 10-12 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (0-5 ATS last 5).

Lions are 14-7 OVER in Preseason Week 3 (9-3 OVER last 12).

Lions are 10-14-1 ATS as a Preseason dog. (1-1 ATS this year).

Lions are 4-16-2 ATS since 1997 (1-1 ATS this year)

Lions are 1-8-1 ATS home
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Bills @ Colts -3.5 Total 41.5

Bills are 12-10 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (5-1 ATS last 6).

Bills are 10-10 OVER in Week 3 (1-3 OVER last 4)

Bills are 15-16 ATS as a Preseason dog.(0-0 ATS this year)

Bills are 7-3-1 ATS off a home game

Colts are 10-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (0-5 ATS last 5).

Colts are 5-14 OVER in Week 3 (4-13 OVER last 17)

Colts are 11-15-1 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-1 ATS this year)

Coach Dungy is 20-7 UNDER last 27 preseason games (1-1 UNDER this year)
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Saints @ Bengals -3 Total 35.5

Saints are 8-12 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (3-7 ATS last 10).

Saints are 10-10 OVER in Week 3 (4-2 OVER last 6)

Saints are 18-10 ATS as a Preseason dog.(1-0 ATS this year)

Bengals are 10-10 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (4-2 ATS last 6).

Bengals are 11-10 OVER in Week 3 (4-1 OVER last 5)

Bengals are 19-30 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-0 ATS this year)

Bengals are 2-10 ATS off a cover (1-0 ATS this year)

Bengals are 6-1 OVER off a preseason UNDER
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Giants @ Jets -3 Total 36.5

Giants are 8-13 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-8 ATS last 9).

Giants are 10-10 OVER in Week 3 (2-1 OVER last 3)

Giants are 8-12 ATS as a Preseason dog.(0-1 ATS this year)

Jets are 14-8 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (8-1 ATS last 9).

Jets are 7-13 OVER in Week 3 (0-3 OVER last 3)

Jets are 9-5 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(1-0 ATS this year)
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Dolphins @ Texans +4 Total 33

Fins are 11-9 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-3 ATS last 4).

Fins are 15-6 OVER in Week 3 (13-2 OVER last 15)

Fins are 10-15-2 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-1 ATS this year)

Texans are 1-2 ATS as Preseason dogs
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Falcons @ Cowboys -3.5 Total 36.5

Falcons are 8-12 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (0-3 ATS last 3).

Falcons are 10-11 OVER in Week 3 (5-10 OVER last 15)

Falcons are 14-10-1 ATS as a Preseason dog.(0-0 ATS this year)

'Boys are 9-12 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-5 ATS last 6).

'Boys are 9-11 OVER in Week 3 (1-3 OVER last 4)

'Boys are 5-23-2 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-0 ATS this year)

'Boys are 3-11 ATS off a win (1-0 ATS this year)
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Skins @ Bucs -3 Total 42.5

Skins are 11-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (3-1 ATS last 4).

Skins are 13-6 OVER in Week 3 (4-1 OVER last 5)

Skins are 7-12-1 ATS as a Preseason dog.(0-0 ATS this year)

Bucs are 12-10 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (8-1 ATS last 9).

Bucs are 7-13 OVER in Week 3 (5-12 OVER last 17)

Bucs are 9-15 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-1 ATS this year)

System Play: Play against a home favorite that is off a win of 20 or more points the previous week.

Since 1983, if you bet against such home favorites, you would be 37-18 (67.2%). (1-0 ATS this year).

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49ers @ Raiders -4 Total 38

9ers are 9-13 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (2-5 ATS last 7).

9ers are 10-10 OVER in Week 3 (5-1 OVER last 6)

9ers are 10-7 ATS as a Preseason dog.(2-1 ATS this year)

9ers are 2-5 ATS after scoring less than 20 (2-0 ATS this year)

Raiders are 7-14 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (2-8 ATS last 10).

Raiders are 10-11 OVER in Week 3 (2-0 OVER last 2)

Raiders are 12-15 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-0 ATS this year)
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Broncos @ Cards +3 Total 38

Broncos are 12-8 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-3 ATS last 4).

Broncos are 8-11 OVER in Week 3 (3-1 OVER last 4)

Broncos are 20-14-1 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(1-1 ATS this year)

Coach Shanahan is 5-1-1 ATS off a fav loss

Cards are 10-12 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (2-8 ATS last 10).

Cards are 7-14 OVER in Week 3 (5-1 OVER last 6)

Cards are 13-5 ATS as a Preseason dog.(1-0 ATS this year)

Coach McGinnis is 5-1 ATS (1-1 ATS this year)
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Chiefs @ Seahawks -3 Total 37.5

Chiefs are 10-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (1-3 ATS last 4).

Chiefs are 15-6 OVER in Week 3 (13-2 OVER last 15)

Chiefs are 9-11 ATS as a Preseason dog.(1-0 ATS this year)

Hawks are 17-5 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (16-2 ATS last 18).

Hawks are 11-10 OVER in Week 3 (7-1 OVER last 8)

Hawks are 9-12 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-1 ATS this year)

Hawks are 4-0 ATS off BB losses

Hawks are 12-4 ATS last home game
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Browns @ Packers -4.5 Total 38

Browns are 2-1 ATS in Preseason Week 3

Browns are 1-2 OVER in Week 3

Browns are 6-4-1 ATS as a Preseason dog (1-0 ATS this year)

Browns are 3-0 ATS vs opp off a cover

Packers are 8-11 ATS in Preseason Week 3 (5-1 ATS last 6).

Packers are 11-9 OVER in Week 3 (0-2 OVER last 2)

Packers are 18-17 ATS as a Preseason FAV.(0-0 ATS this year)

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Preseason Winning Systems:
Play On - Road underdogs after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game (17-6 ATS since ’92, 8-1 ATS the last three preseasons): A road dog playing well defensively has proven a successful wager over the years.
Play On - Home underdogs of 3 points or less after playing their last game on the road (21-7 ATS since ’92, 6-3 ATS the last three years): A simple system, yet historically successful.
Play On - Road underdogs of 3 points or less, a terrible offensive team scoring 14 or less points/game (8-0 ATS the last three years, 3-0 ATS in 2001): A poor offensive team on the road catching less than 3 points? It happens more than you’d think, and these teams tend to react positively.

Preseason Power Trends:
BALTIMORE, ATLANTA, and GREEN BAY have been the most consistent preseason teams, all over 60% ATS since ‘92.
DALLAS is an atrocious 11-31, 26% ATS since ’92 in the preseason. This record has improved to 6-9 ATS over the last three years, but still, the Cowboys have been known to rest their veterans and opposing teams take advantage of every opportunity to beat the storied franchise.
BALTIMORE is 7-0 ATS over the last three years, including 4-0 ATS in 2001, after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. The Raven defense has been just as good in the preseason.
JACKSONVILLE is 10-0 ATS in its preseason history after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. Mistake free football in the preseason pays off just as it does in the regular season.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS since ’92 after gaining 5.5 or less passing yards/attempt in their last game. Offensively the Saints have shown the ability to bounce back from a tough outing.
DENVER is 13-5 ATS since ’92, and 5-1 ATS the last three years in preseason home games. The Mile High air proves to be a big advantage as opposing teams can’t get accustomed to the air change this early in the year.

Coaches preseason records - AFC.

AFC EAST

PATRIOTS - Bill Belichick took over in 2000. (6-3 vs # 3-1 at home,
3-1 as a fav.)

DOLPHINS - Dave Wannstedt took over in 2000. He was 11-12-1 w/Chi. ,
and 3-4-1 w/Miami. (0-3-1 as a fav w/Miami ats)

JETS - Herman Edwards took over in 2001. He's 3-1 vs the spread,
and 3-0 as a dog.

COLTS. - Tony Dungys 1st yr. He wsa 12-11-2 vs pts. w/T.B.
(4-1 when fav. by 3 or more, 5-2-2 as a dog)

BILLS - Greg Williams took over in 2001. 2-2 vs #

AFC CENTRAL

RAVENS. - Brian Billick took over in 1999.
He's gone 9-2 ats last 3 yrs. (4-1 away, & 4-0 as a dog)

BROWNS. - Butch Davis took over in 2001.
He went 4-0 vs the #.All as a dog

BENGALS. - Dick Lebeau took over in midseason 2000.
2001 he went 3-1 vs spread. (2-0 away & as a dog)

JAGUARS - Tom Coughlin 12-6-2 since 1997. (10-5-1 as a fav

TITAMS. - Jeff Fisher took over in in late 1994. His last 5 yrs.
3-8 vs the # at home, 7-2 vs # away, 4-8 when favored, 0-7 when
favored by more than 3 pts, and 6-2 as a dog.

STEELERS - Bill Cowher took over in 1992. Last 5 yrs--
15-7-1 vs spread. 8-2-1 vs # at home, 9-4-1 as a fav

AFC WEST

SEAHAWKS - Mike Holmgren took over in 1999. 2-4 as a dog,
1-5 SU away. He was 16-13-2 vs pts. w/G.B. (7 yrs.)

CHARGERS - Martys 1st yr. He was 0-4 with Washington last preseason,
15-23-3 in 9 yrs. with K.C., and 12-8 vs # in 5 yrs w/Cleveland.

CHIEFS - Dick Vermeil took over in 2001. He was 6-6 ats w/Rams,
and 17-16 ats w/Philly.

RAIDERS - Bill Callahan is a rookie HC.

BRONCOS - Mike Shanahan took over in 1995. 2-6 in 2 yrs w/Oak.
Since 1997 He is 12-8-2 ats. (7-2-1 at home, 11-6-2 as a fav.)

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NFC EAST

CARDINALS. - Dave McGinnis - Took over late in 2000.
Last year he went 4-0 vs spread.

REDSKINS. - Steve Spurriers 1st yr as an NFL HC.

GIANTS. - Jim Fassel took over in 1997. He's 7-13 vs the spread,
2-6 when favored, and he's 0-5 vs the Jets.

COWBOYS - Dave Campo took over in 2000. He is 3-7 vs spread.
1-3 at home, 0-2 when fav. & 1-3 away.

EAGLES - Andy Reid took over in 1999. He's 1-5 SU away,
1-5 ats at home, 1-4 as a favorite.

NFC CENTRAL

BEARS - Dick Jauron took over in 1999. he's 7-5 vs. spread.
(3-1 as a fav.)

PACKERS. - Mike Sherman took over in 2000. He's 3-4-1 vs pts.
3-1 at home

BUCS - John Grudens 1st yr. (10-7 ats in 4 yrs. at Oakland)
4-2 as a dog with Oakland.

VIKINGS. - New coach Mike Tice

LIONS - Marty Mornhinweg took over in 2001. He went 1-3 vs #.

NFC WEST

RAMS - Mike Martz took over in 2000. There is no defining numbers
with him in his 2 yrs, basically 50/50.

49'ERS. - Steve Mariucci took over in 1997. Last 5 yrs. he's 8-13-1
vs spread. 2-7-1 at home vs spread. 2-8-1 as a favorite and 0-5 as
a fav. of more than 3 pts

FALCONS. - Dan Reeves took over in 1997. He was 5-12 vs the
spread in 4 yrs. w/NYG. With Atl. he is 13-8 vs spread. (8-2 away,
8-3 as a dog, & 6-2 after a SUL

SAINTS. - Jim Haslett took over in 2000. (2-6 SU, 2-5-1 vs spread,
0-3 when favored).

PANTHERS - John Fox is a rookie HC.

 
Posted : August 23, 2002 11:05 am
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