NHL betting trends, odds and predictions for Sunday, April 23rd, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
NHL Knowledge
Bruins are 0-22 in their history in series when down 3-1, the most series without a comeback win of any NHL franchise- they need home win here to force Game 7 in Ottawa. Boston was outshot 102-81 in losing last three games- they still haven’t scored first period goal in series. Ottawa is 7-2 vs Boston this season; road team won four of five gams in this series. Senators won six of last nine games overall. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games. Senators are 3-23 on power play in series, Boston is 2-14.
Washington leads Toronto 3-2; four of the five games went OT. Washington won ten of last 13 games overall vs Toronto, with home side 8-4 in last 12. Caps won three of last five games in this arena. Teams played combined total of 44:18 of overtime so far. Caps are 5-15 on power play in series, Leafs are 3-17. Over is 5-3 in last eight series tilts, 3-1 in last four. Capitals won ten of last 14 games overall, four of last five on the road. Toronto lost six of last nine games.
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Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins (-170, 5)
ABOUT THE SENATORS (47-29-7–4 SU 51-36 ATS, 34-49 O/U): Despite squandering a 2-0 lead, one of the bright spots in Game 5 for Ottawa was a much-anticipated goal from Stone, who notched his first career playoff tally and halted a 19-game drought overall dating to Feb. 19. The Senators managed only five shots on goal in the third period but coach Guy Boucher dismissed the notion that his team went into a protective shell. "It's different during the regular season," Boucher said. “We weren’t scared to lose. I thought we did a good job at that. It’s one of those games that could go either way and it didn’t go our way.”
ABOUT THE BRUINS (46-32-6-3 SU, 39-48 ATS, 39-39 O/U): Sean Kuraly played in only eight games during the regular season and was a healthy scratch for Games 3 and 4, but coach Bruce Cassidy inserted the rookie in the lineup and he temporarily saved Boston's season. Kuraly scored his first NHL goal late in the second period to tie the score at 2-2 before before delivering the decisive tally midway through the extra session, sweeping in a backhand off a rebound. "He was buzzing," goaltender Tuukka Rask said. "Hardworking guy, he does the right things. ... It just goes to show that when you do that you get rewarded. Great example."
LINE HISTORY: The Bruins opened as -166 money line home chalk in this pivotal Game 6 matchup. The total hit the betting board at 5.
INJURY REPORT:
Senators - D Mark Borowiecki (Questionable Sunday, lower body), LW Tom Pyatt (Questionable Sunday, upper body)
Bruins - D Brandon Carlo (Questionable Sunday, upper body), C David Krejci (Questionable Sunday, lower body), D Adam McQuaid (Out Indefinitely, upper body), D Torey Krug (Out Indefinitely, lower body)
TRENDS:
* Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Bruins are 0-6 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Senators are 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Boston.
* Senators are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
* Road team is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs (+125, 5.5)
ABOUT THE CAPITALS (58-19-5-5 SU, 37-50 ATS, 39-33 O/U): Tom Wilson made his mark with an overtime goal in Game 1, igniting a three-tally barrage in the first four contests of the series before being benched in Game 5 after the Toronto native put forth an undisciplined performance. "I thought Tom had lots of energy, but you cannot take four penalties in a playoff game," coach Barry Trotz told CSN Mid-Atlantic. "So he didn't see the ice after that last one." Washington's third-ranked power play continues to make its presence known with a goal in four of the five contests this series, going 5-for-15 overall (33.3 percent).
ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (42-28-9-8 SU, 50-37 ATS, 40-45 O/U): Auston Matthews continued his goal-scoring surge on Friday, becoming the fourth rookie in franchise history to tally in three or more consecutive playoff games. Fellow first-year forward William Nylander and Zach Hyman notched an assist on the second-period goal to extend their respective point streaks to three games, with the former collecting one goal and three assists on his stretch while the latter has scored a goal and set up two others in his run. "(Matthews is) a good player, they're all good players on that line," coach Mike Babcock said. "There's not a lot of room and you've got to compete. The way Hyman is at the net and how strong he is, Willy can shoot it and pass it and skate. It's a good line."
LINE HISTORY: The Maple Leafs opened as +127 home dogs with their backs against the wall and the line hasn’t moved off the opening number. The total hit the betting board at 5.5.
INJURY REPORT:
Capitals - D Karl Alzner (Questionable Sunday, upper body)
Maple Leafs - D Roman Polak (Out for season, leg), LW Josh Leivo (Out Indefinitely, undisclosed), RW Nikita Soshnikov (Out Indefinitely, undisclosed), C Eric Fehr (Out Indefinitely, hand), LW Joffrey Lupul (IR, conditioning), D Stephane Robidas (Out for season, knee), RW Nathan Horton (Out for season, spine)
TRENDS:
* Capitals are 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Maple Leafs are 1-8 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 9-2-1 in Capitals last 12 road games.
* Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Toronto.
OTTAWA (47-30-0-10, 104 pts.) at BOSTON (46-32-0-9, 101 pts.)
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 47-40 ATS (+89.7 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 15-12 ATS (+30.2 Units) in road games second half of the season this season.
OTTAWA is 20-14 ATS (+35.1 Units) after a division game this season.
OTTAWA is 35-25 ATS (+63.9 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 68-55 ATS (+127.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 23-15 ATS (+41.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OTTAWA is 14-10 ATS (+28.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 129-122 ATS (+277.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-25 ATS (-12.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-24 ATS (-27.1 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-10 ATS (-11.7 Units) in home games after a division game this season.
BOSTON is 16-23 ATS (-17.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 13-5 (+13.4 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 13-5-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-1.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)
WASHINGTON (58-20-0-9, 125 pts.) at TORONTO (42-28-0-17, 101 pts.)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 5-11 ATS (-11.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
TORONTO is 18-8 ATS (+27.0 Units) when trailing in a playoff series since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 120-61 ATS (+26.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-36 ATS (+89.8 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 37-15 ATS (+10.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 21-33 ATS (+59.4 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-92 ATS (+169.2 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-51 ATS (+85.2 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 3-9 ATS (-7.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 10-4 (+3.8 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.3 Units)
OTTAWA vs. BOSTON
Ottawa is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Ottawa is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ottawa
WASHINGTON vs. TORONTO
Washington is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Washington's last 12 games on the road
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Ottawa at Boston
Ottawa: 24-19 SU after playing a home game
Boston: 5-12 SU in home games after 2 consecutive division games
Washington at Toronto
Washington: 36-11 SU when playing their 4th game in 7 days
Toronto: 2-8 SU after playing a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored