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NHL Betting News and Notes Wednesday, April 19th, 2017

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(@blade)
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NHL betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, April 19th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 9:25 am
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NHL Knowledge

Toronto leads series 2-1; all three games went OT; teams played combined total of 43:14 of overtime so far. Caps outshot Toronto 120-116 in first three games; Maple Leafs haven’t scored a third period goal yet in series— they’re 3-8 in last ten games with the Caps, 2-9 on power play in series— Washington is 3-11. Home side won seven of last ten games between these teams. Over is 4-2 in last six series games. Capitals won nine of last 13 games overall. Toronto lost four of last seven games overall;. Leafs lost three of their last five home games. Washington won three of its last four road games.

Ottawa scored 5:43 into OT to win game 3 and take 2-1 series lead, with both wins in OT; they’re 6-1 this season against Boston- last two games ended 4-3, all three series games were decided by a goal. Boston won seven of its last ten games overall; they’re 4-5 in last nine home games- under is 8-3 in their last eleven games. Senators won five of last seven games (under 4-3). Boston is 2-10, Ottawa 3-15 on power play in series. Bruins haven’t scored a first period goal yet this series. Senators won five of their last seven games (under 4-3).

St Louis won first three games vs Minnesota 2-1/2-1/3-1, despite being outshot 117-79; they won eight of last ten games overall with Minnesota, which hasn’t scored a first period goal in series. Over is 3-5-1 in last nine series games. Blues won nine of last 11 games overall, seven of last nine at home. Minnesota had won four in a row before this series; Wild lost six of its last eight road games- their last four games stayed under. Blues are in playoffs for 6th straight year; they lost first round series three of last four years. Minnesota is in playoffs for 5th year in row; they’re 4-3 overall in first round series.

Calgary lost Game Three 5-4 in OT, despite win 3-5 on power play, while Anaheim never had a man advantage- that doesn’t happen much. Anaheim won 12 of its last 13 games vs Calgary, with the one loss 8-3 in Saddledome back in December. Anaheim is 3-11 on power play in series, Flames 5-13- five of their eight series goals came on PP. Calgary hasn’t scored a third period goal yet in series; they’ve lost six of last seven games overall, but are 10-4 in last 14 home games. Ducks won their last seven games and 11 of last 13; over is 5-2-4 in their last 11 games.

Amadillosports.com

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 9:26 am
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Wednesday's NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs Betting Preview
Covers.com

Washington Capitals at Toronto Maple Leafs (+125, 5.5)

ABOUT THE CAPITALS (56-19-5-5, 38-32 O/U): The Washington Capitals find themselves losing ground as they fight an uphill battle against both the upstart Toronto Maple Leafs as well as their own postseason demons. Alex Ovechkin's resume certainly is impressive with three Hart Trophies and six Maurice "Rocket" Richard Trophies among his many honors, but the captain refuses to fret despite having yet to find his way out of the second round since joining Washington in 2005-06. "It's a situation when you have to fight through it," said Ovechkin, who scored in his second consecutive game to increase his franchise-best playoff totals in goals (43) and points (84). "Obviously we don't have to panic or do some crazy stuff out there. We just have to play our game. I think we're experienced enough and old enough to manage it and just forget about it and move forward."

ABOUT THE MAPLE LEAFS (42-27-8-8, 39-44 O/U): The Maple Leafs are playing with an air of freedom that is being spurred on by a hockey-mad metropolis that relishes each passing moment. Toronto is receiving dividends from its rookies as Mitch Marner scored in the series opener, Kasperi Kapanen capped a two-goal performance in double overtime of Game 2 and top overall pick Auston Matthews and William Nylander chimed in with a tally apiece in Game 3. The rookie quartet is the Maple Leafs' first since Vic Lynn, Howie Meeker, Joe Klukay and Gus Mortson each scored their respective first goals during the 1947 playoffs. Matthews had entered the playoffs with a flourish, recording 14 points (nine goals, five assists) in the last 13 games of the regular season before being held off the scoresheet in Games 1 and 2 in Washington.

LINE HISTORY: The Maple Leafs opened as +125 underdogs on home ice, despite leading the series 2-1. The total opened at 5.5.

INJURY REPORT:

Capitals - D K. Alzner (Out, upper body).

Maple Leafs - D R. Polak (Out For Season, leg), LW J. Leivo (Out Indefinitely, undisclosed), RW N. Soshnikov (Out Indefinitely, undisclosed), C E. Fehr (Out Indefinitely, hand), LW J. Lupul (I-R, conditioning), D S. Robidas (Out For Season, knee), RW N. Horton (Out For Season, spine).

TRENDS:

* Capitals are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Maple Leafs are 1-7 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 8-2-1 in Capitals last 11 road games.
* Over is 5-1 in Maple Leafs last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins (-165, 5)

ABOUT THE SENATORS (46-29-6-4, 34-48 O/U): The Ottawa Senators surrendered home-ice advantage by dropping the opener of their Eastern Conference first-round series, but they seized it back by winning consecutive overtime games for the first time in franchise history. Forward Bobby Ryan slumbered through a mediocre regular season in which he lost nearly a month to injury and scored only 13 times -- a precipitous drop for a player who once put together four consecutive 30-goal campaigns. Ryan, however, ended a drought with a goal in the season finale and has netted a pair of tallies against Boston, including the game-winner in overtime Monday. "You always say that you make your money during the season, but you make your reputation in the playoffs and right now he's showing everybody that he's a gamer," Senators coach Guy Boucher said of Ryan.

ABOUT THE BRUINS (45-31-6-3, 39-38 O/U): Boston has yet to score in the first period and fell into a three-goal hole in the opening period Monday, prompting coach Bruce Cassidy to change his routine and run a full practice Tuesday. Boston again was without four injured defensemen in Game 3 and at least three of them will be sidelined in Game 4, although Colin Miller skated at Tuesday's practice and will be evaluated at Wednesday's morning skate. Bruins leading scorer Brad Marchand delivered the game-winning goal in the series opener but has been quieted in the past two games, managing a combined four shots. "That’s what happens when you’re an elite player," Cassidy said. "You’re going to get marked, and you’ve got to find your way through the checking part of the game, because they’ve got a number of guys."

LINE HISTORY: The Bruins opened as -160 moneyline faves for Game 4 on home ice and the total opened at 4.5 but was quickly bumped to 5.

INJURY REPORT:

Senators - D M. Borowiecki (Questionable, lower body).

Bruins - D C. Miller (Questionable, knee), RW J. Hayes (Questionable, lower body), D B. Carlo (Doubtful, upper body), D A. McQuaid (Doubtful, upper body), D T. Krug (Out Indefinitely, lower body).

TRENDS:

* Senators are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Bruins are 0-5 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Over is 5-1 in Senators last 6 road games.
* Under is 8-2-1 in Bruins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Senators are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

Minnesota Wild at St. Louis Blues (-105, 5)

ABOUT THE WILD (49-27-7-2, 42-34 O/U): The Wild, who were second in the league in scoring during the regular season (3.21 goals per game), have managed to get just three of their 117 shots past Jake Allen in three straight losses. Minnesota outshot the Blues 117-79 in the first three games but has gone 1-for-10 on the power play, and its top four goal scorers in the regular season have yet to tally in the series. “We’re not playing bad,” defenseman Ryan Suter told reporters. “We just can’t score. If we can find a way to score a goal, it’s a different game.” Coach Bruce Boudreau reportedly made changes to his forward lines at practice Tuesday, moving Eric Staal between Coyle and leading scorer Mikael Granlund while captain Mikko Koivu centered Nino Niederreiter and Zach Parise.

ABOUT THE BLUES (49-29-5-2, 34-38 O/U): Jaden Schwartz has recorded a goal in each of the last two games and a point in all three contests while Patrik Berglund has registered three assists along with a plus-3 rating. Alex Steen also has produced three points after netting an empty-net tally to clinch Game 3 and leading scorer Vladimir Tarasenko (two assists) has unleashed 12 shots in the series - one behind Schwartz for the team lead. Veteran center Paul Stastny (foot), who last played on March 21 against Colorado, skated with the team at practice Tuesday and is day-to-day, according to coach Mike Yeo.

LINE HISTORY: The Blues opened as -115 favorites but the moneyline flipped to Minnesota -115 as bettors unloaded on the desperate Wild. The total hit the betting board at 5

INJURY REPORT:

Wild - C E. Haula (Questionable, undisclosed), D V. Bartley (Questionable, tricep).

Blues - C P. Stastny (Questionable, foot), C R. Fabbri (Out For Season, knee).

TRENDS:

* Wild are 0-7 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Blues are 4-0 in their last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Under is 4-0 in Wild last 4 overall.
* Under is 5-0-2 in Blues last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Wild are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in St. Louis.

Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames (-110, 5)

ABOUT THE DUCKS (49-23-10-3, 29-36 O/U): Anaheim overcame a three-goal deficit in Monday's 5-4 overtime victory to claim a 3-0 series advantage for the sixth time in club history, with the brooms being brought out the last time it did so in 2015 against Winnipeg. Coach Randy Carlyle did little to quell the uncertainty surrounding the identity of his team's starting goaltender for Game 4, telling the Orange County Register that he's "going to pick one goalie." John Gibson's tenuous hold on the starter's position was loosened all the more after permitting four goals on 16 shots Monday while Jonathan Bernier came on in relief and turned aside all 16 attempts that came his way. While there's a question in net, rookie defenseman Shea Theodore has made his presence felt on the back end by tallying twice in Game 3 to push his point total to a team-best five (two goals, three assists).

ABOUT THE FLAMES (45-35-3-2, 35-37 O/U): Anaheim isn't the only team with questions in net -- Calgary's once-continuous goaltender carousel could be making another turn as coach Glen Gulutzan reportedly is mulling his options for Game 4. Brian Elliott, who was acquired in a draft-day deal with St. Louis, yielded five goals on 27 shots on Monday and owns a 3.67 goals-against average and .887 save percentage in the series. Capable backup Chad Johnson, whose last start was against Nashville on March 23, posted a respectable 18-15-1 mark with a 2.59 GAA and .910 save percentage this season.

LINE HISTORY: The Flames, for some reason, opened as -120 favorites but that was quickly bet down to a Pick 'Em. The total opened at 5 and will likely not move off that number.

INJURY REPORT:

Ducks - D S. Vatanen (Questionable, upper body), D C. Fowler (Out Indefinitely, knee), D C. Stoner (Questionable, abdominal), D S. Despres (I-R, concussion).

Flames - D L. Smid (Out For Season, neck).

TRENDS:

* Ducks are 10-1 in their last 11 games following a win.
* Flames are 0-6 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 3-0-2 in Ducks last 5 road games.
* Over is 8-1-3 in Flames last 12 home games.
* Ducks are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Calgary.

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 10:00 am
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WASHINGTON (56-20-0-9, 121 pts.) at TORONTO (42-27-0-16, 100 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-11 ATS (-12.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 this season.
TORONTO is 18-5 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 118-61 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 47-36 ATS (+89.1 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 70-37 ATS (+17.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 21-32 ATS (+58.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 50-90 ATS (+164.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 126-140 ATS (-68.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-4 (+1.8 Units) against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

OTTAWA (46-29-0-10, 102 pts.) at BOSTON (45-31-0-9, 99 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 46-39 ATS (+87.5 Units) in all games this season.
OTTAWA is 19-13 ATS (+32.9 Units) after a division game this season.
OTTAWA is 13-8 ATS (+21.7 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
OTTAWA is 22-14 ATS (+39.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 128-121 ATS (+275.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-24 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-23 ATS (-25.9 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-19 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 4-11 ATS (+4.0 Units) in home games revenging a home loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
BOSTON is 9-14 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-22 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 12-4 (+12.9 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 12-4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-1.2 Units)

MINNESOTA (49-27-0-9, 107 pts.) at ST LOUIS (49-29-0-7, 105 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 89-84 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 46-55 ATS (-28.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 5-12 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 108-79 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 7-1 ATS (+5.5 Units) in April games this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-18 ATS (+9.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 56-41 ATS (+0.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 12-7 ATS (+4.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ST LOUIS is 10-18 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 13-10 (+4.0 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 13-10-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

ANAHEIM (49-23-0-13, 111 pts.) at CALGARY (45-35-0-5, 95 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 12-7 ATS (+4.8 Units) revenging a home loss versus opponent this season.
CALGARY is 25-17 ATS (+46.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ANAHEIM is 31-16 ATS (+9.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
ANAHEIM is 40-21 ATS (+9.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 14-3 ATS (+10.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
ANAHEIM is 24-15 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ANAHEIM is 14-7 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 23-38 ATS (+61.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 3-9 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 19-4 (+14.5 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 19-4-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
14 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.6 Units)

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 10:01 am
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WASHINGTON vs. TORONTO
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Washington

OTTAWA vs. BOSTON
Ottawa is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home

MINNESOTA vs. ST. LOUIS
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

ANAHEIM vs. CALGARY
Anaheim is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Anaheim's last 11 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Calgary's last 11 games when playing at home against Anaheim
Calgary is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Anaheim

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 10:01 am
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Washington at Toronto
Washington: 23-7 SU after losing their previous game in overtime
Toronto: 39-53 SU in home games after a home game where both teams score 3 or more goals

Ottawa at Boston
Ottawa: 14-7 SU after playing a game where 7 or more total goals were scored
Boston: 4-12 SU revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals

Minnesota at St Louis
Minnesota: 0-6 SU in road games revenging 2 straight losses where team scored 1 goal or less
St Louis: 16-11 SU as an underdog

Anaheim at Calgary
Anaheim: 14-3 SU after allowing 4 goals or more
Calgary: 3-9 SU in home games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game

 
Posted : April 19, 2017 12:43 pm
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