NHL betting trends, odds and predictions for Wednesday, October 25th, 2017 from various handicappers and websites
CALGARY (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) at ST LOUIS (6-2-0-1, 13 pts.)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 (+1.3 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.5 Units)
BUFFALO (2-5-0-2, 6 pts.) at COLUMBUS (5-3-0-0, 10 pts.)
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 31-12 ATS (+15.7 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 22-9 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 14-5 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 6-14 ATS (-10.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-3 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
COLUMBUS is 3-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.2 Units)
CALGARY @ ST. LOUIS
Calgary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
St. Louis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Calgary
BUFFALO @ COLUMBUS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 8 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Columbus's last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Columbus is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
StatFox Super Situations
CALGARY at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (ST LOUIS) off a close road loss by 1 goal, with a winning record on the season 28-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.6% | 37.5 units )
CALGARY at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Home Favorites of -200 to -300 against the money line (ST LOUIS) off a close road loss by 1 goal 33-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 55.9% | 36.9 units )
CALGARY at ST LOUIS
Play Against - Home Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (ST LOUIS) off a close road loss by 1 goal, with a winning record on the season 29-24 over the last 5 seasons. ( 54.7% | 32.2 units )
NHL Knowledge
Flames won three of last four games with St Louis; over is 3-1-2 in last six series games. Calgary won 4-1/3-2ot in its last two games in this building. Flames are 2-3 in last five games but they’ve won their last four road games. Under is 3-2 in their road games. Blues are 6-3 this season, 2-3 in last five games; they won both their home games (over 2-0) this season.
Blue Jackets won three of last four games with Buffalo; Sabres lost three of last four visits to Ohio. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Buffalo is 3-2 in last five games after an 0-5 start; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Sabres are 2-4 on the road. Columbus lost its last couple games after a 5-1 start; over is 3-1 in its last four games. Blue Jackets are 2-2 at home.
Armadillosports.com
NHL Picks and Betting Tips
By Parker Michaels
Bangthebook.com
MORNING LINE REPORT
What an incredible early season sports story the Vegas Golden Knights have become after yet another home win last night over Chicago. My analysis was on for almost every game yesterday but it couldn’t have been further off with the Hawks-Knights as I expected the Hawks to shred Vegas but it was more the other way around. You have to tip your hat to the now 7-1 Golden Knights who will wrap up their lengthy homestand against Colorado on Friday night. Then the Knights will hit the road for a grueling 6 games in nine days road trip. We’ll know then whether the Knights are for real or if their home ice advantage really does provide that much of an edge.
We lost the Twitter play yesterday but the article selections were a crisp 3-0 as we continue to pad our bankroll as we approach the end of the opening month. Just the two games tonight with one line not open yet and the other being a massive favorite. Let’s see if there’s any value to be had or if we’re better off waiting for better spots on Thursday.
CALGARY FLAMES @ ST. LOUIS BLUES
Projected Goaltenders
Calgary – Eddie Lack (probable)
St. Louis – Jake Allen (likely)
Injury Report
Calgary – Jagr (out)
St. Louis – Fabbri (out), Berglund (out), Bouwmeester (out)
The Calgary Flames continued their early road success with a comeback 3-2 shootout win in Nashville last night. The Flames fell behind 2-0 in the first period despite outplaying the Preds for the majority of the period. Calgary started to take over the game late in the second and carried it into the third when Matthew Tkachuk finally solved Pekka Rinne. Tkachuk would later score the shootout winner to give the Flames what they called a “character win”.
Mark Jankowski looked comfortable in his first game and moving Sam Bennett to the wing was a positive at least for last night. Their line controlled possession all game and it was an all-around solid effort.
Mike Smith is off to an incredible start for Calgary but Eddie Lack is expected to make his Calgary debut tonight on the back-to-back. The Flames are confident and feeling good after last night but I don’t have a lot of faith in Lack as a starter so it’s going to be interesting to see how the team plays in front of him.
The St. Louis Blues are coming off a 3-2 overtime loss at Vegas despite completely dominating the final 50 minutes of the game. Now the Blues return home where they have only played twice this month but will play seven of their next nine here.
St. Louis will hit the road again and travel to Carolina after this game so these standalone home games can be a tricky spot. Players haven’t been home in a while and want to see their families. They have household responsibilities to attend too and for the Blues, in particular, several players are expecting their first child soon so their attention to hockey may take a backseat.
Mike Yeo changed up his practice lines yesterday, dropping Tarasenko to the second line with Schenn and Schwartz while moving Sobotka to the top line with Stastny and Steen. It’s a bit better balance for the Blues and I really like pairing Tarasenko with the red-hot Jaden Schwartz.
The Flames are in a decent spot for this one but I have concerns about Eddie Lack starting. We’ll see where this line opens but I’m expecting the value to be on the Blues or nothing based on my number but it looks like we’ll probably just sit this one out and wait for a better spot tomorrow.
BUFFALO SABRES @ COLUMBUS BLUE JACKETS
Projected Goaltenders
Buffalo – Chad Johnson (probable)
Columbus – Sergei Bobrovsky (probable)
Injury Report
Buffalo – Bogosian (out), Josefson (out), Beaulieu (questionable), Girgensons (questionable)
Columbus – Carlsson (out)
The Buffalo Sabres travel to Columbus for the second half of a back-to-back after a 1-0 home win over Detroit last night. Robin Lehner made 32 saves to give the Sabres their first two game winning streak of the season. Want proof that we’re still too early in the season to make snap judgements on players and teams? Lehner’s save percentage jumped from an ugly looking .894 up to a respectable .913 after last night’s performance. The results from a single game are still heavily influenced in any set of numbers you choose to look at this early and it’s why you should still be using (mostly) last year’s data to set your early basis. Around the 20-game mark is when you can start to trust this year’s numbers more but with every team having only played 7-10 games to this point, a lot can still happen.
The Columbus Blue Jackets have lost the first two games on their four game homestand after winning five of their previous six overall. It’s been a bit of bad luck for the Jackets as they have really controlled play for most of their games and were arguably the better team in their 2-0 loss to Tampa Bay and 6-4 defeat to Los Angeles but ran into two of the hottest goalies in the league right now with Vasilevskiy and Quick. They should find a little more room in the net tonight with Chad Johnson likely to start for Buffalo.
This is a nationally televised game on NBCSN and with the Jackets dropping the first two on this homestand you can bet there will be an extra sense of urgency to right the ship tonight. It’s a huge moneyline at -220 but it should arguably be a bit higher. The math models out there which predict games have their limitations so almost never favor a team higher than 68% which is where this number currently sits so I expect we’ll see this line come down a bit. I’d sit on this one for a bit today and look to maybe jump on Columbus after it drops. If we can get it around -200 I’ll likely add this as a play.