Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Tuesday 4/30/19
It’s a change of scenery in Round 2 of the Stanley Cup playoffs, as the Boston Bruins travel to Ohio to take on the Columbus Blue Jackets in a series tied at one. The other series on Tuesday, April 30, is also tied at one, as the San Jose Sharks had to Colorado to take on the Avalanche.
Featured Games
Boston Bruins (+100) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (-120)
You can`t ask for a more intense series than this one, as both contests have headed into overtime. That includes Game 2, a game that the Columbus Blue Jackets won 3-2 in the double-overtime evening their series with the Boston Bruins at one game apiece. Each team would net their first goal of the game on the power play. Boston would retake the lead a little over two minutes into the second period, but Columbus would tie it exactly 6 minutes later. That forced the game into overtime and then into a second overtime where Matt Duchene would score his fourth goal of the playoffs at 3:42 to give Columbus the victory
Goaltending Matchup:
No one can blame Tuukka Rask for the Game 2 loss. The Boston netminder saved 38 of 41 shots he faced and has allowed five total goals through the first 149 minutes of play in this series. Rask has a 2.24 goals-against average and a .927 goals-against average to the first nine games of the playoffs.
Sergei Bobrovsky got some outstanding defense in front of him, as he faced just 31 shots in Game 2, stopping 29 of them. Bobrovsky has also allowed five goals through the first two games of the series. He has a 2.01 goals-against average and a .930 save percentage through his first six games of the playoffs.
Trends to Watch:
The Boston Bruins are…
4-1 in their last five games on the road.
25-12 in their last 37 games.
1-5 in their last six conference semifinals games.
The Columbus Blue Jackets are…
7-1 in their last eight games at home.
12-2 in their last 14 games.
5-1 in their last six games against teams with a winning record.
Stat Pack: (Playoff Numbers)
Bruins:
Goals For: 3.11
Goals Against: 2.44
Power-Play: 33.3%
Penalty Killing: 79.2%
Blue Jackets:
Goals For: 4.00
Goals Against: 2.17
Power-Play: 38.9%
Penalty Killing: 87.5%
Prediction
This has been an exciting series to this point, and shouldn`t change any as it heads to Columbus. The Bruins have played well on the road, but the Blue Jackets have made their home ice a death trap for opponents. Bobrovsky looks like he has shaken off the rust from a weeklong layoff and the defense was stellar in front of him in Game 2. We look for that to continue in Game 3 as Columbus jumps out in front in the series.
The total is set at 5.5 for this contest and considering that both games have gone under at five total goals for each contest it is easy to go with the under in this one as well. We expect another 2-2 as regulation ends, sending this contest to overtime as well where the Columbus Blue Jackets win, 3-2.
San Jose Sharks (-104) vs. Colorado Avalanche (+115)
The Colorado Avalanche tied this series with a 4-3 victory in Game 2. San Jose took a 1-0 lead coming out of the first period, but three unanswered goals by Colorado put them in command of this contest. Brent Burns would cut the deficit to one before Nathan MacKinnon looked like he had sealed it with his fourth goal of the playoffs which just 62 seconds left in the contest. However, Burns would add his second goal of the game with 11 seconds left in regulation, but the Sharks could not get the equalizer as Colorado went on to win 4-3.
Goaltending Matchup:
Martin Jones did not play poorly in Game 2, allowing three goals on 31 shots. He has allowed five goals through the first two games of this series. Jones has a 3.04 goals-against average and a .907 save percentage through his first nine games in the playoffs.
Despite giving up the late goal, Philipp Grubauer looked very good in Game 2, stopping 31 of 34 shots. He has now given up seven goals in the series. In his first seven games of the playoffs, Grubauer has a 2.34 goals-against average and a .924 save percentage.
Trends to Watch:
The San Jose Sharks are…
5-1 in their last six games at home.
4-0 in their last four games.
7-3 in their last 10 games on a Sunday.
The Colorado Avalanche are…
4-1 in their last five games.
10-23 in their last 33 games on a Sunday.
3-13 in their last 16 conference semifinals games.
Stat Pack: (Playoff Numbers)
Sharks:
Goals For: 3.44
Goals Against: 3.44
Power-Play: 23.7%
Penalty Killing: 73.5%
Avalanche:
Goals For: 3.29
Goals Against: 2.71
Power-Play: 20.0%
Penalty Killing: 78.9%
Prediction
Could this be déjà vu for the Colorado Avalanche, dropping the first game of their series before sweeping their opponent in the next four contests? Or is this just business as usual for the San Jose Sharks, splitting the first two games, maybe even falling behind in the series before battling back to win? Truthfully, Game 3 is not that pivotal for San Jose at all but is a big deal to Colorado. They clearly want to maintain home-ice advantage now, so look for them to come out flying on their way to victory.
The total is set at 6.0 for this contest, and these two teams have produced seven goals in each of the first two games. We expect the over here as well, as Colorado wins 5-3.
67Boston -68 Columbus
COLUMBUS are 41-24 ATS (15.6 Units) against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game in the current season.
69San Jose -70 Colorado
SAN JOSE is 22-30 ATS (-11 Units) revenging a close loss vs opponent of 1 goal or less in the last 3 seasons.
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NHL
Long Sheet
Tuesday, April 30
BOSTON (54-28-0-9, 117 pts.) at COLUMBUS (52-31-0-5, 109 pts.) - 4/30/2019, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 59-62 ATS (-28.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 52-36 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
COLUMBUS is 7-2 ATS (+3.9 Units) in April games this season.
BOSTON is 212-168 ATS (+43.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 since 1996.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+7.8 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BOSTON is 24-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-5 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-5-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+5.4 Units)
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SAN JOSE (51-31-0-9, 111 pts.) at COLORADO (43-32-0-14, 100 pts.) - 4/30/2019, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 33-17 ATS (+50.7 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN JOSE is 137-90 ATS (+22.7 Units) in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 91-58 ATS (+25.1 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
COLORADO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 7-3 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 7-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+7.0 Units)
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NHL
Tuesday, April 30
Trend Report
Boston Bruins
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 9 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 9 games on the road
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Columbus
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Columbus
Columbus Blue Jackets
Columbus is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Columbus is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games
Columbus is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Columbus's last 12 games when playing Boston
Columbus is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
San Jose Sharks
San Jose is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games
San Jose is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games
San Jose is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Jose is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games on the road
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Colorado
San Jose is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Colorado is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing San Jose
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Jose
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NHL
Dunkel
Tuesday, April 30
Boston @ Columbus
Game 67-68
April 30, 2019 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.278
Columbus
12.888
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Columbus
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Columbus
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Columbus
(-115); Over
San Jose @ Colorado
Game 69-70
April 30, 2019 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
10.569
Colorado
12.100
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-120
6
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-120); Under
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The San Jose Sharks and the Colorado Avalanche are set to face off at the Pepsi Center in Game 3 of the Western Conference Semis. The match gets going at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 30, and fans at home will be able to catch the game live on NBC Sports Network.
San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche Odds
San Jose (+100) is entering this one as the underdog to Colorado (-120). The Over/Under (O/U) is set at an even 6 goals and originally opened at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Those odds have shifted since they opened, and they presently sit at -115 for the over, -105 for the under.
Though the team is 51-40 straight up (SU) this season, San Jose has actually lost 10.4 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 53 of its outings have gone over the total, while 35 have gone under and just three have pushed. This 2018-19 Sharks team is 22-22 SU on the road.
After accounting for the sixth-best power-play unit in the regular season (finding net on 23.7 percent of all chances), the Sharks have been able to score on 23.7 percent of their postseason power play chances. Their penalty kill has gone from 79.9 percent in the regular season to 73.5 percent in the playoffs.
The Sharks’ offensive skaters attempted 33.0 shots per game in the regular season, leading to 3.5 goals per contest (ranked second overall in the NHL). In the postseason, the team’s maintaining an average of 32.6 shots on goal 3.4 goals per game.
Averaging 24.9 saves per game with a .898 save percentage, Martin Jones (42-29-5) has been the primary option in goal for San Jose this season. If head coach Peter Deboer chooses to rest him, however, the team may roll with Aaron Dell (11-16-4 record, .884 save percentage, 3.19 goals against average).
Colorado is 43-46 straight up (SU) and has lost 8.9 units for moneyline bettors thus far. 44 of its contests have gone under the total, while 43 have gone over and just two have pushed. This year, the team is 23-20 SU as the home team.
The Avalanche have converted on 21.8 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a mark that places it in the top-10 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked 25th overall, and it’s successfully killed off 78.6 percent of all opponent power plays.
Semyon Varlamov has stopped 27.8 shots per game as the top selection in the crease for the Avalanche. Varlamov has 20 wins, 29 losses, and nine OT losses to his credit and has maintained a poor .909 save percentage and 2.87 goals against average this season.
San Jose Sharks vs. Colorado Avalanche Free Picks
Prediction: SU Winner – Avalanche, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes
For both of these clubs, the total has gone over in three of their past five outings.
San Jose has managed 29.4 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Colorado has been attempting 40.4 shots per game over its last five home outings.
San Jose skaters recorded 18.4 hits per game last season, while the Avs forced 20.4 hits per matchup.
Coming into the matchup with three wins each in the series Columbus Blue Jackets and the Boston Bruins meet in the critical Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. NBC Sports Network will air the matchup, and the opening face-off takes place at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 30.
Boston Bruins vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Odds
Columbus (-120) is currently favored over Boston (+100), and the Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 6 goals. The line for betting that total stands at -130 under, +110 over.
Boston is 54-37 straight up (SU) and has netted moneyline bettors 1.3 units this year. 49 of its matches have gone under the total, while 38 have gone over and just four have pushed. As the away team in 2018-19, the Bruins are 22-22 SU.
Following a regular season where they scored on 26.5 percent of all power-play chances (the third-strongest), the Bruins have connected on 33.3 percent of their power plays in the postseason. Their penalty kill’s gone from 79.9 percent in the regular season to 79.2 percent in the playoffs.
The Bruins’ offensive attack attempted 32.9 shots per game in the regular season, resulting in 3.2 goals per outing (ranked 11th overall in the NHL). In the postseason, the team is up to an average of 35.1 shots on goal (while being up to 3.1 goals per game).
Averaging 25.5 saves per game with a .915 save percentage, Tuukka Rask (32-23-6) has been the best option in goal for Boston this season. If Boston chooses to rest him, however, the team could turn to Jaroslav Halak (22-18-4 record, .922 save percentage, 2.34 goals against average).
On the other bench, Columbus is 52-36 straight up (SU) and has earned 8.8 units for moneyline bettors this year. 49 of its matches have gone under the total, while 33 have gone over and just six have pushed. It’s 24-19 SU at home this season.
The Blue Jackets have converted on just 17.2 percent of their power play opportunities this year, a mark that’s ranked 28th in the NHL. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked third overall, and it’s successfully killed off 85.0 percent of all opponent power plays.
Sergei Bobrovsky has stopped 26.1 shots per game as the top netminder in the crease for the Blue Jackets. Bobrovsky has 42 wins, 26 losses, and two overtime losses to his credit and has maintained a .914 save percentage and 2.53 goals against average this season.
Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets Betting Predictions
Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Blue Jackets, O/U – Over
Notes
Betting Notes
Over Columbus’ last ten outings, six of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 5-1 in those games).
Penalties and power plays could prove to be critical in this matchup. The Bruins are 26-17 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than their opponent and 37-24 in games where they serve fewer than 10 total penalty minutes. The Blue Jackets are 27-13 when they serve fewer penalty minutes than the opposition and 44-29 in games where total penalty minutes are in the single digits.
Boston is 2-3 in games decided by a shootout this season while Columbus is 2-1 in shootouts.
Four of Columbus’ last five games gone under the total.
Boston is ranked 13th this season with 10.0 giveaways per game. That figure has trended upward recently, as the team’s averaged 11.4 giveaways over its last 10 games and 12.8 giveaways over its last five.
Columbus skaters have averaged 5.8 giveaways over its last five home games, an improvement from its season average of 7.3 giveaways per game (the 3rd-fewest in the NHL).