Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 4/17/19
There are three Game 4s scheduled for Wednesday, April 17, including the Toronto Maple Leafs looking to take a 3-1 lead in their series over the Boston Bruins. In other action, the Colorado Avalanche will be looking for the 3-1 lead in their series against the Calgary Flames as will the Nashville Predators against the Dallas Stars.
Featured Game
Boston Bruins(+105) vs.Toronto Maple Leafs(-125)
The Tampa Bay Lightning are not the only team on the ropes in their series, as the team with the second-best record in the NHL are close to finding themselves down 3-1 in their series. The Toronto Maple Leafs won Game 3 of their series over the Boston Bruins in a wild second. When all five goals were scored in that frame. Auston Matthews and Andreas Johnsson added a goal and an assist in the period and Frederik Andersen saved 34 shots.
Goaltending Matchup:
Tuukka Rask has lost five of his last seven decisions but has not played badly in the series. Rask has allowed just seven total goals through the first three contests, but his teammates have not been able to produce offensively for him. The Boston goaltender finished the regular season 27-13-4 with a 2.48 goals-against average.
Frederik Andersen has clearly been a difference maker in this series. He has also allowed seven total goals in the series, but just three combined in the two victories. Andersen posted a .944 save percentage in Game 3. The Toronto goaltender finished the regular season 36-16-5 with a 2.77 goals-against average.
Trends to Watch:
The Boston Bruins are…
5-2 in their last seven games on the road.
21-10 in their last 31 games.
1-6 in their last seven games against Atlantic Division teams.
The Toronto Maple Leafs are…
2-5 in their last seven games at home.
2-4 in their last five games overall.
3-7 in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games.
Stat Pack:
Bruins:
Goals For: 3.13
Goals Against: 2.59
Power-Play: 25.9%
Penalty Killing: 79.9%
Maple Leafs:
Goals For: 3.49
Goals Against: 3.04
Power-Play: 21.8%
Penalty Killing: 79.9%
Prediction
The Bruins have simply not found answers for Andersen. Rask has played well, but he has been outdone by his opposite number. On top of that, the Bruins are 2-8 in their last 10 trips to Toronto, which isn’t good news for a team that is desperate for a victory. Boston simply can’t afford to lose, but they are going to anyway.
The total is set at 6.0 for this contest. There have been five goals scored in every game of this series so far, so there is no reason to believe that the over is the right choice here either. On top of that, these two teams have gone under in each of the last four meetings and have gone under in four of the last five in Toronto. Take the Toronto Maple Leafs to win, 3-2.
Two Games to Watch
Calgary Flames (-116) vs. Colorado Avalanche (-105)
The Colorado Avalanche absolutely dominated Game 3. Nate MacKinnon got his team Rollingwood to power-play goals in the first period and he would add an assist in the frame as Colorado rolled to a 6-2 victory over the Calgary Flames. That gave the Avalanche a 2-1 lead in the series. Philipp Grubauer continues to impress in the series, stopping 27 of 29 shots.
Why Calgary Wins:
Avalanche are 3-7 in their last 10 conference quarterfinals games.
Flames are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these two teams.
Why Colorado Wins:
Avalanche are 10-4 in their last 14 games.
Avalanche are 7-0 in their last seven games at home.
Flames are 1-4 in their last five games.
Flames are 1-6 in their last seven conference quarterfinals games.
Home team has won four of the last five meetings between these two teams.
Mike Smith gave up six goals in his last start for Calgary.
Grubauer has allowed two goals or last in eight of his last 10 appearances.
What About the Total?
Gounder 6.0, because…
Calgary has gone under in four of their last five games.
Calgary has gone under in eight of their last 11 games.
Avalanche has gone under in 13 of their last 18.
Grubauer has allowed two goals in each of his last two games.
Nashville Predators (-105) vs. Dallas Stars (-115)
After a scoreless first period, Nashville scored two goals on their way to a 3-2 victory. Rocco Grimaldi and Filip Forsberg would light the lamp in the second frame and Mikael Granlund scored the game-winner with a little over eight minutes left. Pekka Rinne stopped 40 shots to earn the victory.
Why Nashville Wins:
Predators are 5-0 in their last five games on the road.
Predators are 6-1 in their last seven games.
Predators are 13-3 in their last 16 conference quarterfinals games.
Road team has won six of the last eight meetings between these two teams.
Predators are 5-1 in the last six meetings in Dallas.
Rinne has allowed three total goals in his last two games.
Why Dallas Wins:
Stars are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Stars are 5-3 in their last eight conference quarterfinals games.
Predators are 2-4 in their last six games against teams with a winning record.
Ben Bishop has allowed two goals or less in nine of his last 10 starts
What About the Total?
Go under 5.0, because…
Total has gone under in each of the first three games of this series.
Nashville has gone under in 24 of their last 37 games.
Nashville has gone under in 13 of their last 17 games on the road.
Dallas has gone under in 20 of their last 30 at home.
45Boston -46 Toronto
TORONTO is 19-20 ATS (-16.2 Units) against poor defensive teams - opponents average 29.5+ shots on goal in the 2nd half of the year in the current season.
47Nashville -48 Dallas
NASHVILLE is 16-7 ATS (8.6 Units) in road games against excellent power play teams - scoring on > 19% of their chances in the current season.
49Calgary -50 Colorado
CALGARY is 23-34 ATS (-19.6 Units) against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year over the last 2 seasons.
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NHL
Long Sheet
Wednesday, April 17
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BOSTON (50-26-0-9, 109 pts.) at TORONTO (48-29-0-8, 104 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 7:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 5-11 ATS (-8.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
TORONTO is 21-8 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games in the first round of the playoffs since 1996.
TORONTO is 22-18 ATS (-7.6 Units) in a home game where the total is 6 or more this season.
TORONTO is 22-24 ATS (+46.7 Units) second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 8-13 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 13-9 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 13-9-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.6 Units)
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NASHVILLE (49-30-0-6, 104 pts.) at DALLAS (44-33-0-8, 96 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 8:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 13-7 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 11-6 (+2.7 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 11-6-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
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CALGARY (51-26-0-8, 110 pts.) at COLORADO (40-31-0-14, 94 pts.) - 4/17/2019, 10:08 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 4-13 ATS (-10.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 21-13 ATS (+6.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 6 or more this season.
CALGARY is 18-11 ATS (+30.9 Units) in road games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 122-121 ATS (+273.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
COLORADO is 40-45 ATS (-59.4 Units) in all games this season.
COLORADO is 11-20 ATS (-10.8 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 9-3 (+4.9 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 9-3-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.8 Units)
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NHL
Wednesday, April 17
Trend Report
Boston Bruins
Boston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 games
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games
Toronto is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home
Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Nashville Predators
Nashville is 6-17 ATS in its last 23 games
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Nashville's last 15 games
Nashville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Nashville's last 9 games on the road
Nashville is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
Nashville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Nashville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas Stars
Dallas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas's last 21 games
Dallas is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games at home
Dallas is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 12 games at home
Dallas is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Nashville
Dallas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
Dallas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing at home against Nashville
Calgary Flames
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games
Calgary is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Calgary's last 11 games on the road
Calgary is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Colorado
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games
Colorado is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Colorado's last 18 games
Colorado is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Calgary
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