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Sunday's Playoff Slate

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(@mvbski)
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Sunday's Playoff Slate
By Judd Hall

Perhaps last Wednesday was just an apparition.

How else could we explain the underdogs going 3-1 on the opening night of the Stanley Cup Playoffs?

Regardless of that night, order seems to have returned as the “chalk” has gone 6-2 since then. We’ve also seen some stout defense during the first few nights of the postseason, giving the ‘under’ a 6-3-3 advantage so far.

There are four games on the card for Sunday, two of which put some Eastern Conference series conceivably out of reach.

Let’s make our plays in order of rotation.

Flyers at Capitals

Philadelphia looked every part of its “Broad Street Bullies” heritage last Friday, boxing in Alex Ovechkin and holding him to no shots until late in the contest. The Flyers even held Washington to just four shots on goal in the opening period.

The Capitals weren’t going to be denied a win at home to start the series by scoring three times in the final period…the final lamp lighter coming from Ovechkin to allow the Caps to win as $1.50 home favorites, 5-4. It was their eight straight victory and 12th in the last 13 games played.

Now Washington is in a position to go up two games to none in the best-of-seven series, but recent history is against them. The Caps are 10-16 SU when they’re coming off of a win where the ‘over’ hit. Meanwhile, the ‘over’ came in pairs in that instance as well as proven with a 16-9-1 mark.

I think the Caps are going to come out on top here in another high scoring scuffle.

Bet: Washington (-150) and the ‘over’ (-125)

Canadiens at Bruins

The Habs continued their season long dominance over Boston into Game 1 of the series, claiming a 4-1 victory with a punishing defense and offense that took advantage of a skittish Tim Thomas between the pipes.

These two old time foes will be meeting up for Game 2 on Saturday in Montreal, so we’re going to be a back-to-back situation on Sunday.

The Bruins are 4-8-5 when playing with no rest between games. Meanwhile, the Canadiens are 6-5-1 in the same situation.

Regardless of the outcome of today’s game, Montreal is the smart pick.

Bet: Montreal (+150)

Devils at Rangers

The Rangers took the best of what the Devils had to offer and still came away with a 2-1 victory at the Prudential Center to go up two games to none in their Eastern Quarterfinals matchup. New York has rallied behind Sean Avery, who has two goals in this series, including the game winner from Friday’s confrontation.

The venue for this turnpike tussle changes to Madison Square Garden with the Blueshirts in a commanding position to close out the series. And the odds are good it will end in the Big Apple as well.

New York has won its last four tilts over the Devils at home, with the ‘under’ going 3-0-1. That seems like the smart wager to me.

Bet: New York (-165) and the ‘under’ 4 ½ (-105)

Sharks at Flames

San Jose came out determined to not falter like it did in Game 1 against the Flames. The Sharks’ Evgeni Nabokov posted his sixth career playoff shut out against Calgary, 2-0, to level the series at one win apiece. Of course, it also helps to have a defense that limits Jarome Iginla and company to just 21 shots on goal.

Calgary comes home knowing that they can beat this Pacific Division champion. The Flames also know that they’ve won two of their last three at home versus San Jose. It’s the right spot for them to put the fear of God into the Sharks.

Bet: Calgary (+110)

vegasinsider.com

 
Posted : April 12, 2008 10:04 pm
(@mvbski)
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NHL LONG SHEET

PHILADELPHIA (42-30-0-11, 95 pts.) at WASHINGTON (44-31-0-8, 96 pts.)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-5 (+4.5 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.7 Units)

MONTREAL (48-25-0-10, 106 pts.) at BOSTON (41-30-0-12, 94 pts.)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 21-4 (+16.3 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 21-4-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
12 of 23 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.1 Units)

NEW JERSEY (46-31-0-7, 99 pts.) at NY RANGERS (44-27-0-13, 101 pts.)

There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 16-14 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 16-14-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
18 of 24 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+11.2 Units)

SAN JOSE (50-24-0-10, 110 pts.) at CALGARY (43-31-0-10, 96 pts.)

Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 39-14 ATS (+19.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-5 ATS (+5.1 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games this season.
CALGARY is 14-6 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
SAN JOSE is 19-10 ATS (+8.2 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less this season.
SAN JOSE is 71-42 ATS (+26.2 Units) in April games since 1996.
SAN JOSE is 111-123 ATS (+272.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 8-6 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 8-6-0 straight up against SAN JOSE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

 
Posted : April 12, 2008 10:07 pm
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