Free Picks: Breeders Cup Service Plays for Friday, November 6,2009

Globeform

SANTA ANITA -FRIDAY 6 NOVEMBER

RACE 3

Breeders’ Cup Marathon: Stronger than last year

by Geir Stabell

Muhannak landed this event twelve months ago and he will be shooting for back-to-back
wins as he goes in the Breeders’ Cup Marathon on ‘Ladies day’.

His task is going to be an altogether different one, however, as the field for the 1 3/4-mile test
is shaping up to be a lot stronger this time round. Godolphin’s gritty St. Leger (G1) winner
Mastery heads a strong team of Europeans, which also includes Royal Ascot winner Father
Time.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP MARATHON

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 3/4 miles Pro-Ride / Purse: $500,000

Horses ranked according to Globeform ratings, weights and
our weight-for-age scale (Euro 3yo: -9lb). Top ranked runner on
100, with others ranked down in pounds. Contenders presented
with sires, trainers, GF ratings last four starts (l-to-r), jockeys

Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds (lb).
One length equals about 0,75lb over this distance.

100 – NITE LITE (Thunder Gulch) / T Pletcher / GF 115 -? – 115 – 111 / J R Velazquez
100 – CLOUDY’S KNIGHT (Lord Avie) / J Sheppard / GF 115 in 2007 // 112 – 111p / R B Homeister Jr
..99 – MUHANNAK (Chester House) / R Beckett / GF 114 in 2008 / 0 – 0 – 112 / R Moore
..98 – ELDAAFER (A. P. Indy) / D Alvarado / GF 113 -? – 105 – 0 / R Bejarano
..96 – MASTERY (Sulamani) / S bin Suroor / GF 105 -0 -109 – 109 – 116 / L Dettori
..95 – FATHER TIME (Dansili) / H Cecil / GF 108 – 115 – 107 – 112 / E Ahern
..96 – BLACK ASTOR (Black Minnaloushe) / L Lewis / GF ? – 106 – 111 – 0 / A Solis
..93 – GANGBUSTER (Langfuhr) / K Desormeaux / GF 108 – 95 -? – 108 – 102 / K Desormeaux
..93 – SIR DAVE (Untuttable) / J Carava / GF 108 -101 – 108? – 0 / J Rosario
..88 – MAN OF IRON (Giant’s Causeway) / A O’Brien / GF 0 – 100 – 95 – 108 / J Murtagh

European three-year-olds are to the fore of the betting in the Marathon, but it is worth noting
that they are only getting a four-pund pull at the weights. Our wfa age scale gives the ‘weight
difference’ as 9lb over 1 3/4 miles at this time of the year. In other words, Mastery, Father Time
and Man Of Iron have all been handed rather a raw deal. If the race had been run in England
they would be much better off wight-wise. That said, Europeans normally possess a lot more
stamina than US based runners and Mastery and Father Time should both be respected.
Staying 1 3/4 miles here takes less doing than at courses like Doncaster and York, so perhaps
one should use 8lb as the ‘wfa’ factor in this case.

NITE LITE and CLOUDY’S KNIGHT top the ranking and it is the latter that catches the eye
as a really interesting bet. He is best priced at 14-1 with English Bookmakers and that is
tremendous value. He will be a lot shorter at Santa Anita. Don’t forget, this horse beat Group
1 winners Ask and Quijano when taking the Canadian International (G1) in 2007. He appears
to be on his way back to that level of form now, and trainer Johathan Sheppard has clearly
done a great job with the old gelding. Frank Kirby trained him previously, to win 10 races, and
Sheppard has saddled him to win both starts for his barn this year. Cloudy’s Knight finished
strongly from off the pace in the 12-furlong Sycamore Stakes (G3) at Keeneland last month,
and won by a head from the ex-Irish Winchester. He had won the Kentucky Cup Turf (G3)
quite easily on his comeback in September, and the fact that he did not ‘bounce’ second time
out after a lengthy spell on the sidelines augurs well. He is definitely our pick here.

MASTERY came good in the St. Leger Stakes (G1) in England, where he had the King
Edward VII Stakes (G2) winner FATHER TIME back in fourth. Stamina made the difference
that day and if we get a strong pace Mastery should come out on top again. He showed great
determination t get by his stable companion (and favourite) Kite Wood and win the Leger by
three quarters of a length. Monitor Closely, who had beaten Mastery when enjoying an
uncontested and soft lead in the Great Voltigeur Stakes (G2) at York in August, was third,
while Father Time was a non-staying fourth. Father Time is a small horse and likely to act well
over the Prio-Ride, so to see him go better here is not unlikely. He was visually impressive
when running out a 4-length winner of the King Edward VII Stakes (G2) at Royal Ascot in
June (admittedly in a sub-standard field).

MUHANNAK, winner of this event last year, came back to form (after some dull efforts) when
fifth in the Cumberland Lodge Stakes (G3) at Ascot six weeks ago. Mawatheeq, who won that
event, has since been second in the Champion Stakes (G1) at Newmarket, only half a length
behind Henry Cecil’s Classic contender Twice Over. Muhannak was 3 3/4 lengths behind
Mawatheeq at Ascot but he finished just behind Red Rocks (fourth) and any of these two
would be favorite if lining up for the Marathon. Red Rocks goes for the Turf, a race he won
back in 2006. Writing Muhannak off does not seem like a wise move.

NITE LITE has a good chance based on ratings but he is likely to find the distance a bit too
far, having produced his best form when setting the pace over 12 furlongs.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 4 CLOUDY’S KNIGHT
B: 6 MASTERY
C: 2 MUHANNAK, 5 FATHER TIME
RECOMMENDED BETS

WIN: 4 Cloudy’s Knight

6 EXACTAS

A: 4 and 6 boxed / reversed
B: 4, 6 with 2, 5
2008 BREEDERS’ CUP MARATHON

1 – MUHANNAK (Chester House) R Beckett / P Smullen -Globeform 113

2 – Church Service -GF 110
3 – Big Booster -GF 108 Won by head, 3/4 length

Race 4

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 mile Turf

Purse: $1 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings most recent starts (l-to-r), jockeys

108 – JUNIA TEPZIA (Rock Of Gibraltar) / P Schiergen / ?P – 108p / K Fallon
105 – LA NEZ (Storm Creek) / E Kruljac / ?p – 102p – 105p / M Smith
105 – LILLIE LANGTRY (Danehill Dancer) / A O’Brien / 105 – 100 – 99 / J Murtagh
105 – HOUSE OF GRACE (Limehouse) / K McPeek / ?P – 105p / M Luzzi
104 – TAPITSFLY (Tapit) / D Romas / ?p – 104p – 99 / R Albarado
104 – SMART SEATTLE (Smart Strike) / G Motion / 100p – 104p / J Rose
102 – JUNGLE TALE (Lion Heart) / S Asmussen / ?p -?p – 102p / S Bridgemohan
101 – ELUSIVE GALAXY (Elusive City) / B Cecil / 101 – 98 / R Bejarano
..99 – HATHEER (Storm Cat) / K McLaughlin / 89p – 99p / A Garcia
…? – ROSE CATHERINE (Speightstown) / T Pletcher / ?p -?P / J Castellano
..96 – LISA’S KITTEN (Kitten’s Joy) M Maker / 88p – 90p – 96p / J Leparoux
..95 – POTOSINA (Cactus Ridge) / M Shuman / 85p – 95p / J Velazquez

Reserves

..99 – DAD’S CRAZY (Langfuhr) / T Pletcher / 0 – 89p – 99p / G Gomez

..94 – IN THE SLIPS (More Than Ready) / J Mullins / ?p – 85p – 94p / G Gomez

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

JUNIA TEPZIA, brought over from Italy by Team Valor, gets Kieren Fallon in the saddle and
this looks a prticularly strong combination. The Irish bred daughter of Rock Of Gibraltar ran a
remarkable race on her debut at Merano in August. Racing over a mile, she ran totally against
a well-established track bias to win by 2 1/2 lengths from Lolamar. A break followed and Junia
Tepzia resurfaced in the Premio Coolmore (LR) over 7.5 furlongs at San Siro in early
October. She was up in the firing line from gate to wire, and scored comfortably by 3 1/4
lengths from Padana. This is clearly a filly going places and, trained by Peter Schiergen and
ridden by Fallon, she has a lot going for her. With normal improvement, she will not be easy
to beat.

LA NEZ won the Cal Cup Juvenile Fillies in determined style last time out, a success that will
have done her confidence a world of good, following her battling third in the hotly contested
Del Mar Debutante (G1) four weeks earlier on (behind Mi Suente and Juvenile Fillies bound
Blind Luck). This Storm Creek filly has an experience edge on many of these rivals, her form
is bordering on Grade 1 winning class, and she is a Californian. The third placed filly in the
Cal Cup, Whispering Hush, came back to win a decent maiden at this venue last Saturday.

LILLIE LANGTRY, a precocious but now also somewhat exposed filly from Ireland, has
shown form both in her homeland and in England giving her a shot but, as a Ballydoyle
runner, she will almost certainly be overbet in this race and offer no value whatsoever. It took
her a long time to assert her superiority in lesser company last time out, and she makes only
limited appeal.

HOUSE OF GRACE, representing Ken McPeek, and the Graham Motion trainee SMART
SEATTLE were separated by just a nose when they dominated the Jessamine Stakes at
Keeneland three weeks back. HATHEER was a well-beaten third. Dropping back to a mile
may not be to House of Grace’s liking, as she came from off the pace over 8.5 furlongs at
Keeneland, while Smart Seattle raced closer to the action and gets chance of turning the
tables this weekend.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 11 JUNIA TEPZIA
B: 5LANEZ
C: 3 SMART SEATTLE, 7 HOUSE OF GRACE, 8 LILLIE LANGTRY

RECOMMENDED BETS / JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
WIN: 11 Junia Tepzia
14 EXACTAS

A: 5 and 11 boxed / reversed
B: 5, 11 with 3, 7, 8
C: 3, 7, 8 with 5, 11
36 TRIFECTAS
A: 11 with 3, 5, 7, 8 with 3, 5, 7, 8
B: 3, 5, 7, 8 with 11 with 3, 5, 7, 8
C: 3, 5, 7, 8 with 3, 5, 7, 8 with 11
2008 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF
1 – MARAM (Sahm) C Brown / J Lezcano -Globeform 112p

2 – Heart Shaped (Storm Cat) -GF 112

3 – Laragh (Tapit) -GF 110p Won by: Nose, 1 length

GLOBEFORM’S BEST FRIDAY LONGSHOTS

CLOUDY’S KNIGHT / MARATHON (8-1) Previous Grade 1 winner over 12 furlongs, in much
better company than this, two nice wins after comeback, and huge at 8-1 for the opening
race. He can be backed at 14-1 in England.

JUNIA TEPZIA / JUVENILE FILLIES TURF (8-1) Could not have been more impressive in
her two starts in Italy, probably not far off top class in Europe, still 8-1 here, unbelievable…

DEVIL MAY CARE / JUVENILE FILLIES (8-1) Unbeaten Pletcher filly showed big
improvement from first to second start, when beating a previous stakes winner in a Grade 1,
this is her third outing and she can step up again. Again, 8-1 looks way too big to me. GS

Race 5

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES (G1)

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 1/16 miles Pro-Ride / Purse: $2 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings most recent starts (l-to-r)

109 – NEGLIGEE (Northern Afleet) / J Terranova / ?P -?p – 109p / R Maragh
107 – DEVIL MAY CARE (Malibu Moon) / T Pletcher / ?p – 107p / J Velazquez
107 – SHE BE WILD (Offlee Wild) / W Catalano / ?P – 104p – 107p / J Leparoux
106 – BLIND LUCK (Pollard’s Vision) / J Hollendorfer / ?p – 100p – 106p / T Baze
105 – BEAUTICIAN (Dehere) / K McPeek / 93p – 105 – 101 / R Albarado
…? – CONNIE AND MICHAEL (Roman Ruler) / M McPeek / ?P / K Desormeaux
102 – ZILVA (Successful Appeal) / G Motion / ?p -?p – 102p / J Rose
101 – ALWAYS A PRINCESS (Leroidesanimaux) / B Baffert / ?p – 101p / G Gomez
…? – BIOFUEL (Stormin Fever) / R Baker / ?p -?p -?p / E R Da Silva
100 – BICKERSONS (Silver Deputy) / J B Kelly / ?p – 89 – 100 / J Rosario
..95 – CHAMPAGNE D’ORO (Medglia d’Oro) / J Daley / 0 – 95p – 90p / M Garcia
…? – MS VANEZZA (Successful Appeal) / J Vazquez / ?p -?p / J S Rocco Jr

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

NEGLIGEE was visually so impressive in the Alcibiades Stakes (G1) at Keeneland a month
ago, and she gets the vote, in what is a tricky contest. Mainly fillied with lightly raced types,
and thus with several open to plenty of improvement, the Juvenile Fillies is a race where we
could get an upset. Three names do stick out on what we know about these, however, and
Negligee is the most likeable of the three. She won by half a length from the previously
unbeaten SHE BE WILD at Keeneland but was much the best and looked like a runner ready
for serious things. This is serious, and she will have to transfer the form to Santa Anita, and
step up again, to follow up. A strong filly with good tactical speed and a late kick, she has the
class you are looking for in championship races, and juveniles often do well over new tracks.
The Pro-Ride will hardly be an excuse for Negligee.

DEVIL MAY CARE ships in from the East Coast, with wins at Saratoga and Belmont on her
CV, and Todd Pletcher’s filly is definitely also one to consider. After breaking her maiden at
Saratoga, she jumped right into the highest grade and beat Awesome Maria (previously
impressive in the Matron) by a head, as the pair finished well clear of the third placed Noona
Mia. Then there was a ‘mile’ back to the rest of them, and Devil May Care’s form appears
solid. Not many fillies run like that on their second career outing. A late foal, she has just the
right profile to improve significantly again.

BLIND LUCK, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and a winner of the Oak Leaf Stakes (G1) here
last month (always a significant prep), is the local favorite. She is coming up the traditional
route, having run also in the 7-furlong Del Mar Debutante (G1), where she finished really well
to be second a length behind the very smart Mi Sueno. Interestingly, the Juvenile Fillies Turf
runner La Nez checked in third that day and how she performs earlier on the card will give us
an indication to Blind Luck’s chances. Though Blind Luck moved forward in the Oak Leaf and
we know she is classy. She sat off the pace once again in the 8.5-fuirlong contest, and
delivered a late kick that took her first past the post, 2 1/2 lengths ahead of Always a
Princess, who beat Bickersons by a neck for second. Most likely, Blind Luck has the
measure of these two again, and she is in with an obvious chance of winning this edition of
the Juvenile Fillies.

SHE BE WILD took three races at Arlington Park prior to her second behind Negligee in the
Alcibiades (G1) and she should not be written off. She won for fun when landing the Arlington-
Washington Lassie (G3) in September and probably learnt a lot from her run at Keeneland.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 10 NEGLIGEE
B: 7 DEVIL MAY CARE
C: 3 BLIND LUCK, 8 SHE BE WILD
D: 1 ZILVA
RECOMMENDED BETS
WIN: 10 Negligee
6 EXACTAS

A: 7 and 10 boxed / reversed
B: 10 with 3, 8
C: 7 with 3, 8
20 TRIFECTAS
A: 10 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8
B: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7
C: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8
36 SUPERFECTAS
A: 10 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8
B: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8
C: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7
2008 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES (G1)
1 – STARDOM BOUND (Tapit) C Paasch / J M Smith -Globeform 115p

2 – Dream Express (Bernstein) -GF 112
3 – Sky Diva (Sky Mesa) -GF 109

Won by: 1 1/2 lengths, 1 1/2 lengths

Defending champion: Forever Together
landing the 2008 Filly & Mare Turf.

Race 6

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP FILLY & MARE TURF (G1)

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 1/4 miles Turf

Purse: $3 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings last four runs (l-to-r), jockeys

119 – FOREVER TOGETHER (Belong to Me)
/ J Sheppard / 118p -118 – 119 – 119p -114p / J Leparoux

117 – MAGICAL FANTASY (Diesis) / P Gallagher / 112p -117 – 116p – 116p / A Solis

117 – PURE CLAN (Pure Prize) / R Holthus / 115 – 117 – 111p – 117 / G Gomez

116 – MIDDAY (Oasis Dream) / H Cecil / 116 – 109 – 115p – 112 / T Queally

115 – DYNAFORCE (Dynaformer) / B Mott / 106p – 109 – 115 -0 / K Desormeaux

115 – VISIT (Oasis Dream) / R Frankel / 110 – 110p – 108 – 115 / J Velazquez

114 – RUTHERIENNE (Pulpit) / C Clement / 114 – 113 – 113 – 110p / A Garcia

112 – MARAM (Sahm) / C Brown / 112p in 2008 / 106p – 108p / J Lezcano

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

FOREVER TOGETHER, such an impressive winner of this event last year, has maintained
that level of form and must have a great chance of winning the Filly & Mare back-to-back.
Proven over the course and distance, the daughter of Belong to Me is coming off a string of
rock solid performances. She is the logical choice. True, she ran below her best last time out,
but that was when trying to close into a moderate pace over a mile on soft ground at
Keeneland, and she performed much better than it looks on paper. Checking in third, 1 1/2
lengths behind the high-class winner Diamondrella (runs in Turf Sprint), was not at all a bad
effort. Prior to that, Forever Together had failed by just a nose in her attempt at giving
Princess Haya 11lb in the Canadian (G2) at Woodbine. The latter came back to run a
respectable third in the E P Taylor Stakes (G1) and, believe it or not, Forever Together
reproduced her previous best rating when second to Princess Haya. Wins in the Jenny Wiley
(G2) at Keeneland in April and Diana Stakes (G1) at Saratoga in August sandwitched a
second place finish to Diamondrella in the Just A Game (G1) at Belmont Park in June.
Forever Together got up to beat Carribean Sunset by a head at Saratoga (Rutherienne
third), to take the prestigious Diana back-to-back.

A model of consistency, she takes the highest Globeform rating into the battle, she has a
world class rider on her back and an equally solid team in her corner of her ring. In short;
there is simply no reason to bet against Forever Together on Friday.

MAGICAL FANTASY is not far behind on ratings, only about a length inferior to Forever
Together, and this is the course specialist. She has two wins from two runs at Santa Anita,
and her three runs over this distance have resulted in two wins. Not a bad record, particularly
when you are competing at the highest level almost every time you race. Magical Fantasy
won the Yellow Ribbon Stakes (G1) over the F&M trip last time out, getting up to beat Visit by
half a length. She had a bit in hand, and it was a solid prep indeed. It came off a layoff since
her success in the John Mabee (G1) over 9 furlongs at Del Mar in August, when Magical
Fantasy defeated the subsequent stakes winner Gotta Have Her (Turf Sprint bound) by a
measured length while conceding 4lb. So, with narrow but very game wins in the Santa
Barbara (G2) here at Santa Anita in April and the Gamely Stakes (G1) at Hollywood Park in
May, Magical Fantasy goes into the Filly & Mare Turf off four straight wins. She has improved
this year, and looks sure to take a hand at the finish. Pat Gallagher’s contender has been in
the top three in 16 of her 19 starts. Wanna’ have her on your Trifecta ticket? Thought so…

PURE CLAN produced her career best when taking the Flower Bowl Stakes (G1) at Belmont
Park a month ago. Finishing really gamely from just off the pace, she ran out a comfortable 2
3/4-length from Criticsm, who gave the form a nice boost by winning the Long Island Handicap
(G3) at Aqueduct last Sunday. Pure Clan is a filly that has been threatening to run a huge
race for some time, and she seems to be priogressing. She was last in the F&M last year, but
is much better these days and should not be written off. This is her optimum trip, she comes
here at the top of her game, and further improvement is not at all unlikely. If that happens,
Pure Clan holds a great chance.

DYNAFORCE, who had Pure Clan two places behind when winning the Beverly D Stakes
(G1) at Arlington in August, is in the same class but more exposed. The distance may also be
an issue with her. She won the Flower Bowl (G1) over 1 1/4 miles at Belmont last year, but that
was by getting away with a soft lead on yielding ground. Dynaforce’s best form has otherwise
come over shorter.

MIDDAY is very popular in the English betting markets and – at first glance – that may make
some sense, but her form has been overrrated in many a column. She was beaten just a
head by Sariska (who had yet to peak) in the Oaks Stakes (G1) at Epsom Downs in June,
and that still ranks as her best performancem despite a 2 1/4-length win over Rainbow View in
the Nassau Stakes (G1) at Goodwood in August. Both these races were run on soft ground
(officially Epsom was ‘good’ on Oaks day but there was definitely some give in the turf) and
Midday – small as she is – thrives under such conditions. Ten furlongs on firm ground at
Santa Anita will be altogether different. She cannot be dismissed of course but at the current
prices Midday is poor value.

One point regarding Group One races for fillies and mares in Europe: A number of such
events were upgraded a few years ago, in an attempt at keeping fillies and mares in training,
and G1 events for the females are not as tough to win as they used to be – since there are
too many of them.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 2 FOREVER TOGETHER
B: 4 MAGICAL FANTASY
C: 5 PURE CLAN D: 6 MIDDAY, 7 DYNAFORCE
RECOMMENDED BETS

WIN: 2 Forever Together

EXACTA BOX: 2 and 4 (reversed)

9 TRIFECTAS

A: 2 with 4 with 5, 6, 7
B: 2 with 4 with 1, 3, 8
C: 2 with 5, 6, 7 with 4
30 SUPERFECTAS

A: 2, 4 with 2, 4 with 5, 6, 7 with 5, 6, 7
B: 2, 4 with 2, 4 with 5, 6, 7 with 1, 3, 8

2008 BREEDERS’ CUP FILLY & MARE TURF (G1)

1 – FOREVER TOGETHER (Belong to Me) J Sheppard / J Leparoux -Globeform 119p

2 – Sealy Hill -GF 117
3 – Wait a While -GF 116 Won by 3/4 length, head

BC Filly & Mare Sprint: Ventura can win back-to-back

Having landed this event in impressive style last
year, Ventura now comes off a solid success in the
Woodbine Mile (G1) in Canada, and she must have
a great chance of repeating in the Breeders’ Cup
Filly & Mare Sprint (G1).

The ultra consistent Informed Decision is likely to
be her toughest rivals, though Godolphin’s duo
Sara Louise and Seventh Street are also capable
of a big run, as is Todd Pletcher’s candidate Game
Face.

Race 7

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP FILLY & MARE SPRINT (G1)

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 7 furlongs Pro-Ride

Purse: $2 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings last four starts (l-to-r), jockeys

124 – VENTURA (Chester House) / R Frankel / 122 – 117 – 119 – 120p / G Gomez
121 – INFORMED DECISION (Monarchos) / J Sheppard / ?p – 110 – 119 – 121 / J Leparoux
117 – GAME FACE (Menifee) / T Pletcher / 0 – 117 – 115 – 107 / E Prado
116 – SEVENTH STREET (Street Cry) / S bin Suroor / 116 – 110 – 116 – 116 / R Maragh
115 – SARA LOUISE (Malibu Moon) / S bin Suroor / 110p – 115p / L Dettori
112 – EVITA ARGENTINA (Candy Ride) / J Sadler / 108 – 100 – 112 – 97 / J Rosario
108 – SILVER SWALLOW (Alphabet Soup) / B Headley / 0 -?p – 104 – 108 / A Solis
106 – FREE FLYING SOUL (Quiet American) / B Headley / ? -? – 106p / M Smith
105 – ONLY GREEN (Green Desert) / F Head / 0 – 0 -0 – 106 / O Peslier

A small field assembles for the Filly & Mare Sprint, and this makes for more of a level playing
field than what is often the case in main track sprints in North America. Post-positions will not
have such an impact on the shape of this event.

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS BREEDERS’ CUP FILLY & MARE SPRINT

VENTURA will go off as a pretty short priced favorite, as she attempts to win the Filly & Mare
Sprint for a second time, and she is hard to oppose, especially following her impressive win in
the Woodbine Mile (G1) in Canada just under seven weeks ago. On that piece of form, the
Juddmonte mare would hold a winning chance against the boys in the Mile, but trainer Bobby
Frankel feels that she is not quite robust enough to run in a big field around the turf course –
so back to the 7-furlong sprint against her own sex she goes. Ventura produced a stunning
performance here twelve months ago. Having been right at the back early on, she simply
exploded in the straight and smashed as good a sprinter as Indian Blessing by 4 lengths. The
distance, and probably also the surface, was in Ventura’s favor but still… it was some run. If
she reproduces that form, she wins again. Her success in Canada was also well worth
watching. Ventura was confidently ridden by Garrett Gomez, who waited and waited before
unleashing her early in the straight. She swept past her nine rivals to beat Ferneley by a
length, with Sterwins third.

INFORMED DECISION is the obvious danger, as she is also a top class sprinter, is also
tremendously game and consistent, and as she has such a good record over artificial tracks.
She beat Ventura by a head when they clashed over this distance in the Madison (G1) at
Keeneland in early-April. Ventura was conceding 2lb though, and they meet at level weigths
this time. Ventura was laid off after the Madison, while Informed Decision has been kept on
the go and raced three times since. Her best piece of form came last time out, when the gray
daughter of Monarchos overcame what seemed an impossible position to beat the previous
G1 winner Carlsbad by almost a length in the 6-furlong Thoroughbred Club of America Stakes
(G2) at Keeneland. She is better over 7 furlongs and, with Ventura likely to take so much of
the action at the windows, Informed Decision will probably be the value bet here.

GAME FACE sits in third on the ratings ladder and she is also our third choice. The form she
showed when taking the Princess Rooney Handicap (G1) by almost seven langths from Keep
the Peace at Calder back in July was her career best, and – like this race – it came after a
break. Game Face ran another fine race to deny Keep the Peace once more in the Honorable
Miss (G2) at Saratoga in August. These runs both came on dirt, and her below par effort
when fourth to Informed Decision in the Presque Isle Downs Masters Stakes (G3) may not
augur too well for a crack at a B Cup Filly & Mare Sprint on Pro-Ride, but it was Game Face’s
first start over an artificial surface and she can do better this time.

Godolphin’s two runners, the Apple Blossom / Go for Wand winner SEVENTH STREET
(who has never been off the board in nine starts) and the lightly raced SARA LOUISE (a dual
Grade 3 winner) are both also capable of getting into the first three. Though seven panels
may be on the sharp side for Seventh Street. After all, her best form has come over 8.5 and 9
furlongs on dirt. These two will both be making their first start on an artificial track on Friday.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 9 VENTURA
B: 7 INFORMED DECISION
C: 3 GAME FACE
RECOMMENDED BETS

WIN: 9 Ventura

EXACTA BOX: 7 and 9 (reversed)

8 TRIFECTAS

A: 9 with 7 with 3
B: 7 with 9 with 3
C: 9 with 7 with 2, 6, 8
D: 7 with 9 with 2, 6, 8
12 SUPERFECTAS

A: 9 with 7 with 3 with 2, 6, 8
B: 9 with 7 with 2, 6, 8 with 3
C: 7 with 9 with 3 with 2, 6, 8
D: 7 with 9 with 2, 6, 8 with 3
2008 BREEDERS’ CUP FILLY & MARE SPRINT

1 – VENTURA (Chester House) R Frankel / G Gomez -Globeform 124

2 – Indian Blessing -GF 114
3 – Zaftig -GF 113p

Won by 4 lengths, 2 lengths

Breeders’ Cup Ladies Classic: Top quartet very close

With superstar Zenyatta going for a crack at the boys in the Classic proper, the Breeders’
Cup Ladies Classic (G1) looks a tricky race to handicap.

Eight names, are printed in the program, and it is hard to rule any of them out.

Careless Jewel, Cocoa Beach, Music Note and Zenyatta's barnmate Life Is Sweet
top the ratings, with very little between the four.

Race 8

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP LADIES CLASSIC (G1)

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 9 furlongs Pro-Ride

Purse: $2 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings last four starts (l-to-r), riders

121 – COCOA BEACH (Doneraile Court) / S bin Suroor / GF 121 in 08 / 110p – 111 – 113 / R Migliore
120 – CARELESS JEWEL (Tapit) / Josie Carroll / ?p – 117p – 120p – 119p / R Landry
120 – MUSIC NOTE (A.P. Indy) / S bin Suroor / 96 – 120 – 120 / J Castellano
119 – LIFE IS SWEET (Storm Cat) / J Shirreffs / 117p – 119p – 118p – 109p – 107 – 111p / G Gomez
115 – RAINBOW VIEW (Dynaformer) / J Gosden / 110 – 111 – 115 – 111 / J Leparoux
114 – PROVISO (Dansili) / R Frankel / 101 – 113 – 113 – 114p / J Velazquez
114 – LETHAL HEAT (Unusual Heat) / B Abrams / 109 – 110 – 109 – 114 / A Solis
111 – MUSHKA (Empire Maker) / Bill Mott / ? -112 -110 -111 / K Desormeaux

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

COCOA BEACH, a game second to Zenyatta last year, when she also won the Beldame
Stakes (G1) over a sloppy dirt track at Belmont and the Matriarch Stakes (G1) over a firm turf
course at Hollywood Park, is the top rated runner in this year’s Ladies Classic – assuming
Zenyatta runs in the Classic. Cocoa Beach’s best form would make her really hard to beat in
this race, but the trouble is that we have not seen her best for some time. Having raced four
times in 2009, the daughter of Doneraile Court shows steady improvement in her results,
though is some way below GF 121. She did shape a bit better last time out, with an even
finish for third in the Lady’s Secret (G1) over this course in October, beaten only by Zenyatta
and Lethal Heat. That was a touch better than her previous runs in ’09 but not good enough
to make her the selection this weekend. She may win and she may finish off the board, it’s
anybody’s guess.

Careless Jewel, a high class 3yo with 5 straight wins to her name, and Cocoa Beach’s
barnmate Muic Note make much more sense. Careless Jewel has enjoey easy wins in the
Delaware Oaks (G2), Alabama Stakes (G1) and Cotillion Stakes (G2) in her last three starts,
and she is more likely to improve than the experienced Music Note. Also, Julie Carrol’s star
looks more likely to relish the trip. Nine furlongs at Santa Anita’s Pro-Ride is not a stiff test of
stamina, but it will be right up her alley to set the pace here – and her rider should have a

tactical advantage, knowing that she stays further. Careless Jewel won the 10-furlong
Alabama, over a good dirt track at Saratoga, by 11 lengths from Milwaukee Appeal. She stays
so well, and Landry can therefore kick on early and take the sting out of some of her speedier
rivals. Such a scenario may set the race up for Life is Sweet but let’s deal with MUSIC NOTE
first. She won the 7-furlong Ballerina Stakes (G1) at Saratoga (sloppy track) in some style,
beating Indian Blessing and Informed Decision by a wide margin (both won big next out).
Music Note followed up in the 9-furlong Beldame Stakes (G1) at Belmont Park in early
October, notching her seventh career win by beating Unbridled Belle readily by 2 1/4 lengths.
Unbridled Belle also won next time she ran, so this form looks solid enough. Music Note races
prominently, and should be close to Careless Jewel throughout. She has a good chance.

LIFE IS SWEET is the one who can run by them all at the finish if the early pace is too strong.
She must be respected, despite having lost her last four races. Her life has been sweet, that’s
for sure, but it’s not easy to live in the shadow of a stable companion like Zenyatta. One of
Life is Sweet’s best races was her impressive off-the-pace success in the Santa Margarita
Handicap (G1) over this course and distance in March. Blowing past her rivals, she won by
2 1/2 lengths from Santa Teresita and recorded Globeform 119 in the process. Life is Sweet
has been in some tough spots since, and she never runs a bad race. One can argue that she
suffered from ‘pilot error’ both in the Hollywood Gold Cup (G1) in July (third to Rail Trip) and
the Lady’s Secret (G1) at Santa Anita in October (fourth to Zenyatta). Life is Sweet was given
far too much to do on both occasions. She loves a fast-run race, she is 3-for-4 over this
course and both of her runs at the distance have sent her to the winners’ circle. It could well
happen again on Friday.

PROVISO was disqualified from her ‘win’ in the Spinster Stakes (G1) at Keeneland and the
ex-French filly gets a lot of attention off that US debut. She was by far the best, beating fellow
Ladies Classic contender Mushka by 1 1/4 lengths while failing to keep straight at the business
end of the contest. Now, is that form good enough to win the Ladies Classic? No, it is not.
Next question; can Proviso improve? Quite possibly, though a ‘bounce second time off the
plane’ could just as well happen. She’s hard to place -and needs to be considered for Trifecta
and Superfecta players. Selections & betting plan -next page

2008 BREEDERS’ CUP LADIES CLASSIC (G1)

1 – ZENYATTA (Street Cry) J Shirreffs / M Smith -Globeform 127p

2 – Cocoa Beach -GF 121p
3 – Music Note -GF 117 Won by 1 1/2 lengths, 1 1/2 lengths

BC SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE

LEG 1: 1 Careless Jewel
LEG 2: 4 Zenyatta

GLOBEFORM’S PICK 4 PLAN

Race5 1–3–6–7–8-10
Race 6 2 Forever Together
Race7 7–9
Race8 1–2–7 36lines

BREEDERS’ CUP LADIES CLASSIC

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 1 CARELESS JEWEL
B: 2 LIFE IS SWEET, 7 MUSIC NOTE
C: 5 PROVISO, 6 COCOA BEACH
RECOMMENDED BETS
WIN: 1 Careless Jewel
4 EXACTAS

A: 1 with 2, 7
B: 2, 7 with 1
10 TRIFECTAS
A: 1 with 2, 7 with 2, 7
B: 1 with 2, 7 with 5, 6
C: 1 with 5, 6 with 2, 7
SUPERFECTAS
A: 1 with 2, 7 with 2, 7 with 5, 6
B: 1 with 2, 7 with 5, 6 with 2, 7
C: 1 with 5, 6 with 2, 7 with 2, 7
BC SPECIAL DAILY DOUBLE

LEG 1: 1 Careless Jewel
LEG 2: 4 Zenyatta

GLOBEFORM’S PICK 3 PLANS
Race 3 4 Cloudy’s Knight
Race 4 11 Junia Tepzia
Race 5 1 – 3 – 6 – 7 – 8 -10
Race 6 2 -4
Race 7 7 -9
Race 8 1 Careless Jewel
BEST DOUBLE WAGER
6 lines
4 lines
Race 3
Race 4
4 Cloudy’s Knight
11 Junia Tepzia

Mike Battaglia

Breeders' Cup Marathon

1 3/4 Miles (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Black Astor Solis A Lewis Lisa L 126 L 12-1
2 2 Muhannak (IRE) (2) Moore R L Beckett Ralph 126 L 12-1
3 3 Nite Light Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 126 L 4-1
4 4 Cloudy's Knight Homeister R B Jr Sheppard Jonathan E 126 L 8-1
5 5 Father Time (GB) (3) Ahern E Cecil Henry 122 FTL 3-1
6 6 Mastery (GB) (TOP) Dettori L bin Suroor Saeed 122 FTL 9-5
7 7 Sir Dave Rosario J Carava Jack 126 L 20-1
8 8 Eldaafer Bejarano R Alvarado Diane 126 L 30-1
9 9 Man of Iron Murtagh J P O'Brien Aidan P 122 FTL 8-1
10 10 Gangbuster Desormeaux K J Desormeaux J Keith 126 L 30-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / Daily Double / Pick 6 (Races 3-8) / BC Special H2H

Battagliaspicks 6-2-5

#6 Mastery (GB)- Darley stud homebred three year old won the million dollar Italian Derby in May beating 21 other colts and is coming off his most prestigious victory upsetting the field in the million dollar ST Ledger stake carrying 126 lbs. His wins have come on the turf but the only time he raced on a synthetic surface he missed by a length in only his second lifetime start. He gets in at 122 today and looks like a solid play.

#2 Muhannak (IRE)- won the Marathon last year in a game performance. He comes off a similar prep race, loves this track and will be a good price.
4th (1:08)

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

1 Mile (Turf) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Potosina (2) Velazquez J R Shuman Mark 122 L 20-1
2 2 Elusive Galaxy (IRE) (TOP) Bejarano R Cecil B D A 122 L 12-1
3 3 Smart Seattle Rose J Motion H Graham 122 L 8-1
4 4 Rose Catherine Castellano J J Pletcher Todd A 122 L 8-1
5 5 La Nez Smith M E Kruljac J Eric 122 L 20-1
6 6 Jungle Tale Bridgmohan S X Asmussen Steven M 122 L 15-1
7 7 House of Grace Luzzi M J McPeek Kenneth G 122 L 4-1
8 8 Lillie Langtry (IRE) (4) Murtagh J P O'Brien Aidan P 122 3-1
9 9 Hatheer Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 122 L 10-1
10 10 Tapitsfly Albarado R J Romans Dale 122 L 8-1
11 11 Junia Tepzia (IRE) (3) Fallon K Schiergen Peter 122 8-1
12 12 Lisa's Kitten Leparoux J R Maker Michael J 122 L 12-1
13 AE Lisa's Kitten Gomez G K Pletcher Todd A 122 L 15-1
14 AE In the Slips Gomez G K Lloyd James 122 L 12-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / Daily Double

Battagliaspicks 2-1-11-8

#2 Elusive Galaxy (IRE)- won at first asking beating 9 others in Ireland. She then rushed to contention but hung to finish second in start number two. She then finished full of run in a grade II to finish behind today's favorite #8. She has the edge as she stayed here in CA with turf trainer Cecil. She has 4 works here on this course and is a live long shot with Bejarano back in the irons.
5th (1:45)

Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Zilva Rose J Motion H Graham 122 L 30-1
2 2 Ms Vanenzza Rocco J S Jr Vazquez Juan C 122 L 30-1
3 3 Blind Luck Baze T C Hollendorfer Jerry 122 L 3-1
4 4 Beautician (2) Albarado R J McPeek Kenneth G 122 L 6-1
5 5 Bickersons Rosario J Breen Kelly J 122 L 20-1
6 6 Connie and Michael Desormeaux K J McPeek Kenneth G 122 L 4-1
7 7 Devil May Care Velazquez J R Pletcher Todd A 122 L 8-1
8 8 She Be Wild Leparoux J R Catalano Wayne M 122 L 8-1
9 9 Champagne d'Oro Garcia M Guillot Eric 122 L 50-1
10 10 Negligee (TOP) Maragh R Terranova, II John P 122 L 6-1
11 11 Always a Princess (3) Gomez G K Baffert Bob 122 L 6-1
12 12 Biofuel Da Silva E R Baker Reade 122 L 15-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Daily Double / Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)

Battagliaspicks 10-4-11

#10 Negligee- Loved her race when she won the grade I Alcibiades at Keeneland. . She runs best fresh as she won her debut. Maragh, one of NY best riders, is back aboard and her work here was best of 44. She appears ready to go and will be tough to beat.

#4 Beautician- had a rough trip having to check hard in the above Alcibiades, with a clean trip she will be close.
6th (2:23)

Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Turf (G1)

1 1/4 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Visit (GB) (2) Velazquez J R Frankel Robert 124 L 10-1
2 2 Forever Together (TOP) Leparoux J R Sheppard Jonathan E 124 L 5-2
3 3 Rutherienne Garcia Alan Clement Christophe 124 L 8-1
4 4 Magical Fantasy (3) Solis A Gallagher Patrick 124 L 3-1
5 5 Pure Clan Gomez G K Holthus Robert E 124 L 5-1
6 6 Midday (GB) Queally T P Cecil Henry 120 FTL 4-1
7 7 Dynaforce Desormeaux K J Mott William I 124 L 8-1
8 8 Maram Lezcano J Brown Chad C 120 L 15-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) / Daily Double / Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)

Battagliaspicks 2-1-4

#2 Forever Together- turf genius Sheppard and our pick won this race last year with Leparoux and used the exact same prep races.- The Grade I Diana , the Grade II Canadian and the grade I First Lady at KEE . This one could not be any sharper and although she was 3rd last out she made up 22 lengths going a mile on a soft course that she did not like to finish only a length behind. She will blow by this field late.
7th (3:02)

Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Filly and Mare Sprint (G1)

7 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $1,000,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Free Flying Soul Smith M E Headley Bruce 124 L 50-1
2 2 Sara Louise Dettori L bin Suroor Saeed 122 L 9-2
3 3 Game Face Prado E S Pletcher Todd A 124 L 10-1
4 4 Only Green (IRE) Peslier O Head Freddie 122 FTL 20-1
5 5 Silver Swallow Solis A Headley Bruce 124 L 30-1
6 6 Evita Argentina Rosario J Sadler John W 122 L 20-1
7 7 Informed Decision (2) Leparoux J R Sheppard Jonathan E 124 L 5-2
8 8 Seventh Street (3) Maragh R bin Suroor Saeed 124 L 4-1
9 9 Ventura (TOP) Gomez G K Frankel Robert 124 L 8-5

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Daily Double

Battagliaspicks 9-7-8

#9 Ventura- this is the best bet of the day. This filly won this race last year, loves the footing here and is coming off the same prep race, the WO Mile that she used last year. She was second in the Mile last year against the boys but this year she blew by the colts with little difficulty. Frankel took over her training last year and top rider Gomez has ridden her all 11 times and is 6-4-1 with 2 million in earnings. She shattered the track record and was easily best last year and is actually better this year.
8th (3:45)

Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic (G1)

1 1/8 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $2,000,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Careless Jewel Landry R C Carroll Josie 121 L 2-1
2 2 Life Is Sweet Gomez G K Shirreffs John 124 L 8-1
3 3 Mushka Desormeaux K J Mott William I 124 12-1
4 4 Lethal Heat Solis A Abrams Barry 124 L 20-1
5 5 Proviso (GB) Velazquez J R Frankel Robert 124 L 8-1
6 6 Cocoa Beach (CHI) (2) Migliore R bin Suroor Saeed 124 L 8-1
7 7 Music Note (TOP) Maragh R bin Suroor Saeed 124 L 9-5
8 8 Rainbow View (3) Leparoux J R Gosden John H M 121 L 6-1

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / SuperHi5 BC Special Daily Double

Battagliaspicks 7-6-8
#7 Music Note- Has been trained brilliantly since running third behind Zenyatta in this race last year after being forced to race wide. She won a 7f grade I at SAR in AUG then came back to take the grade I Beldame. She came here a month early to train on this footing and should beat up on this field.

#6 Cocoa Beach (CHI) Finished second in this race last year actually beating our top pick and this is a good exacta.

At the Breeders' Cup - Friday
By Mike Dempsey

It’s Ladies’ Day at the Breeders’ Cup (well, except for the Marathon), and it may be tough to top last year’s opening day at the Breeders’ Cup where Zenyatta stole the show with an impressive victory in the Ladies’ Classic.

This year she will take on the boys in Saturday’s $5 million Classic, and she won’t be the only female missing today.

The brilliant four year old filly Goldikova will race on Saturday, defending her title in the Mile against the boys.

In addition Dar Re Mi (Turf) and Fleeting Spirit (Sprint) have good shots of beating the boys tomorrow.

Three females take on the boys in the Turf Sprint: Gotta Have Her, Diamondrella, and Canadian Bullet,

While some talented females will wait until Saturday, Friday’s card is excellent, with a couple of wide open two year old races, and we get to witness Forever Together (Filly & Mare Turf) and Ventura (Filly & Mare Sprint) attempt to win back to back Breeders’ Cup races.

The final Breeder’s Cup race today is the Ladies’ Classic, which features a very interesting showdown between Careless Jewel and Music Note.

The two fillies will vie for favoritism, but don’t overlook Rainbow View, who was second in the E.P. Taylor (G1) at Woodbine on the grass last out, or Cocoa Beach, Life is Sweet, and Proviso.

As you can see below, I am giving Rainbow View the edge, as she likely is going to offer more value for the top spot than the two likely betting favorites.

There is a daily double combining the Ladies’ Classic with tomorrow’s Classic, which has the potential of producing a nice payoff.

SA Race 8 BC Ladies' Classic G1 (3:45 PT)

#8 Rainbow View 6/1

#7 Music Note 9/5

#1 Careless Jewel 2/1

#6 Cocoa Beach 8/1

Analysis: #8 Rainbow View gets the call here in her second start since arriving in North America. She found the last furlong too tough last out in the E.P. Taylor (G1). She took over the lead briefly with a furlong to go but could not hold off Lahaleeb, who is a Group 2 winner overseas and missed winning the Irish 1000 Guineas by a neck. Our top pick was beaten 2 1/4 lengths by Midday and in July was beaten just 1 1/4 lengths when fourth behind Goldikova. She tries Pro Ride for the first time for the Gosden barn that won last year's Classic with Raven's Pass and won the Juvenile Turf in '08 with Donativum. The trainer must have liked Leparoux's ride last out, calling Jimmy Fortune and telling him to stay home and take the day off. Fortune rode this gal in her first ten starts. She looks like the value of the race if we catch most of the 6/1 ML.

#7 Music Note looked sharp winning the Beldame (G1) last out at Belmont Park and earned a career top speed fig in the effort. The runner up in the race as Unbridled Belle, who came back to win the Turnback the Alarm (G3) in her next outing on Oct. 31. Her lone try on a synthetic surface came in this race last year where she was third, beaten three lengths by Zenyatta and 1 1/2 lengths behind runner up #6 Cocoa Beach. The filly has never been better and put in a couple of smart works over the surface here. She is going to be tough but expecting to see around 8/5.

#1 Careless Jewel comes in here riding a five race win streak. Her maiden and Alw-1 wins came over poly at Woodbine. She draws the rail and figures to be loose on the lead here. There are a couple on here that can keep her honest early and if Landry can't rate this gal in the early going she could be in deep waters late. She just has the look of an underlay in here.

Wagering

WIN: #8 to win at 4/1 or better.

EX: 7,8 / 1,6,7,8

TRI: 7,8 / 1,6,7,8 / 1,2,6,7,8

Live Longshots:

These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

TOBY TURRELL

Race 1
EXACTA 5-3-6
ROYAL PUNISHER
RIVIERA COCKTAIL
DEAL BREAKER
*Mr. Hot Stuff (11)

Race 2
STUNNINGLY
HALFAPONDAROSA
AROMATHERAPY
*Toro Bonito (10)
EXACTA 9-5-6

Race3
CLOUDY'S KNIGHT
MASTERY EXACTA
MAN OF IRON
*Eldaafer (8)
EXACTA 4-6-9

Race 4
LILLIE LANGTRY
HOUSE OF GRACE
SMART SEATTLE
*Tapitsfly (10)
EXACTA 8-7-3

Race 5
BLIND LUCK **BEST BET**
CONNIE AND MICHAEL
ZILVA
*Biofuel (12)
EXACTA 3-6-1

Race 6
DYNAFORCE
MAGICAL FANTASY
FOREVER TOGETHER
*Pure Clan (5)
EXACTA 7-4-2

Race 7
VENTURA
INFORMED DECISION
SARA LOUISE
*Evita Argentina (6)
EXACTA 9-7-2

Race 8

CARELESS JEWEL
LIFE IS SWEET
MUSIC NOTE
*Cocoa Beach (6)
EXACTA 1-2-7

Race 9
TUSCAN EVENING 9
CLOSEOUT
EXQUISITE
*Teamgeist (6)
EXACTA 10-3-14

*Alternate selection in case of scratch

BREEDERS' CUP

CLOCKER'S CORNER
RATINGS... SUPER VERY GOOD GOOD
1st Race:
ROYAL PUNISHER, stepping way
forward for the 'Jungle', impressing
11/1 1:14.0 (VERY GOOD)

5th Race:
BLIND LUCK, exuding a championship
quality leading into the big event
11/1 1:01.1 (SUPER)

6th Race:
MAGICAL FANTASY, working powerfully with Solis in the irons
10/31 1:00.4 (VERY GOOD)

7th Race:
VENTURA, calling this a 'yikes' five
furlongs, ready to explode
10/30 59.4 (SUPER)

8th Race:
CARELESS JEWEL, striking little
gray flew along, fun to watch train

10/27 1:11.1 (VERY GOOD)
PICK SIX PLAY

RACE 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th
HORSE 4,6,9 3,7,8 3 4,7 9 1

SUPER HIGH FIVE

10-3-14-6-7

KEY PLAY: 9th Race Exacta

RACE 1 EARLY PICK FOUR

1st Race -5
2nd Race -5,6,9
3rd Race -4,6,9
4th Race -3,7,8

($27)

RACE 5 Juvenile Fillies
BLIND LUCK won like a championship quality filly
in the Oak Leaf. Since then she has done nothing
but move forward. Excited to see if she can bring it
all together at the right time.

Play: $50 win: #3 BLIND LUCK
$10 exacta box: 1,3,6

RACE 5 LATE PICK FOUR

5th Race -3
6th Race -2,4,7
7th Race -9
8th Race -1,2,6,7

RON RIPPEY

BREEDERS' CUP DIRT MARATHON
THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, PURSE $500,000
1 3/4 MILES - ALL WEATHER

MASTERY looms the shortest-priced winner on the two-day Breeders' card. The powerful Godolphin stable colt has proven to be capable
at distances up to 2 miles (the race this year is an extended 1 3/4 miles), the key to picking a marathon winner, has been in the money in
7 of 8 races and is the only one in the field to have earned more than a million bucks. He has a huge class edge and leading rider Frankie
Dettori will be reunited with him for this long jaunt.

While 7 of 8 of his races have been on grass, the Saeed bin Suroor (31% winners this year) trained colt showed ability in his only race
on an artificial track closing strongly to miss by a half length. Mastery will be a single on many exotics tickets.

MAN OF IRON is the price play vs. the favorite by virtue of his 2 for 3 record on synthetic tracks and documented ability to get marathon
distances. All three of his victories have come this year showing considerable improvement from his 2-year-old campaign.

The same holds true for FATHER TIME, the probable second choice to Mastery. He has placed 4 3/4 and 1 1/4 lengths behind the favorite
in his last two races, can go this far and won his only race on a synthetic track.

NITE LIGHT is the best of the U.S. entries in the Marathon, which is no surprise given the Europeans success at long distances. He has
won three races at 1 1/2 and 1 5/8 miles usually sitting close to the lead. His best chance is to try to steal this race, but artificial surfaces
have been unkind to front-runners. Nevertheless, he has been on exacta tickets in 12 of 15 races and should be prominent for most of the
race.

SELECTIONS
1st - MASTERY (# 6) Consider as a key in exotics.
2nd - MAN OF IRON (# 9) Price play in exotics.
3rd - FATHER TIME (# 5)
4th - NITE LITE (# 3)

BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF - GRADE 2
TWO YEAR-OLD FILLIES, PURSE $1,000,000
1 MILE - TURF

TAPITSFLY looms a value play against some tough European contenders. She has been impressive working out over the Santa Anita turf
course with long, gliding strides. She also has enough early speed to steal this with Robbie Albarado aboard. The gray filly won her lone
start on the grass before losing a speed duel as the 1-2 favorite in her last start when the race came off the lawn. More important, Tapitsfly
has proven ability to get the mile distance, something some of her rivals lack.

By no means can Tapitsfly be used as a single on exotic tickets, but the potential is there to light up the toteboard.

LILLIE LANGTRY appears to be the one to beat in a tough race. The European import is the only one in the field with three graded stakes
races, where she finished first, second and third, and has been sent off as the odds-on choice in her last three starts. Lillie Langtry is by
far the top money earner ($952,637) in the field and has not been out of the money in her six career starts on the lawn.

JUNIA TEPZIA is the X factor. Unbeaten in two starts in Italy, she has the best breeding for the lawn in the field as an offspring of Rock
of Gibraltar, but hasn't faced any noteworthy competition. However, sharp Team Valor thought enough of her to acquire her. It appears
she will be closer to the pace than Lillie Langtry and get first run at the leaders. Don't dismiss.

SMART SEATTLE hasn't turned in a poor effort in three lifetime races. She lost to HOUSE OF GRACE when the race exited the grass course,
and was second to Tapitsfly in her previous start. Exotics contender.

SELECTIONS

1st - TAPITSFLY (# 10) Price play in exotics.

2nd - LILLIE LANGTRY (# 8)

3rd -JUNIA TEPZIA (# 11)

4th -SMART SEATTLE (# 3)

BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES - GRADE I
TWO-YEAR-OLD FILLIES, PURSE $2,000,000
1 1/16 MILES - ALL WEATHER

ALWAYS A PRINCESS will offer fair value. She will try to reverse a loss to Blind Luck when she was overhauled as the 3-1 favorite after
setting the pace in the Grade 1 Oak Leaf at Santa Anita. Garrett Gomez has elected to ride her and her ability to either come off the pace
(she won her debut rallying from 10 lengths back) or set the fractions will be a big advantage. Always a Princess is one of only a trio in
the field to have raced over the Pro-Ride surface, another big advantage.

However, in her most recent workout she had to be pushed to keep up with the pace early. That may cool bettors from landing on her
number. Prior to that recent drill, her workouts for trainer Bob Baffert had been excellent.

NEGLIGEE split fillies in time to beat some of this same field. And then Sunday she uncorked the most impressive workout of the day.
Negligee reeled off a 12.88 first eighth of a mile and came home in snappy 11.46, 11.59 and 11.39 fractions or a quick 34.24 for the final
three furlongs. That's race-horse time! She switched leads perfectly and galloped out with authority. Negligee is the one to beat.

BLIND LUCK would have been the one to bet following her three-wide victory over Always a Princess in the Oak Leaf. However, in her last
work, she drifted out badly and was pulled up at the finish.

CONNIE AND MICHAEL will look to some as the speed of the race, but that may doom her on the Pro-Ride surface. She romped in her
debut from Post 12 at Keeneland and retains the services of Kent Desormeaux. However, her speed could be her undoing on the artificial
surface.

SELECTIONS

1st - ALWAYS A PRINCESS (# 11)

2nd -NEGLIGEE (# 10) Price play in exotics.

3rd - BLIND LUCK (# 3)

4th - CONNIE AND MICHAEL (# 6)

BREEDERS' CUP FILLY AND MARE TURF - GRADE I
FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, PURSE $2,000,000
1 1/4 MILES - TURF

PURE CLAN has been a new filly since last year's flop in this same race. She has not finished out of the money since finishing 8 1/2
lengths behind Forever Together, thrives at this 1 1/4-mile distance (where she is 3 of 5) and comes off a powerful victory on soft turf in
the Grade 1 Flower Bowl, a race which has become a key prep for the Breeders Cup.

Except for that dismal finish in the Filly and Mare Turf last year, she has not been off the board in 15 career outings. She lured Garrett
Gomez to ride after Julian Leparoux opted to stay with the favored Forever Together.

Pure Clan has enough positional speed to get the jump on Forever Together and may just be a better filly at this distance.

FOREVER TOGETHER roared from 20 lengths back to only lose by 1 1/2 lengths in her last outing, but after winning 6 of 11 on the turf
she has lost her last two starts. No doubt she is the one to beat, but her late-surge style may leave her vulnerable at short odds.

RUTHERIENNE can not be left off any exotic tickets. She has finished in the money in 20 of 22 races and gives supporters a thrill every
time with her determined finishes. However, she hasn't raced this far and she lost her last four meeting with Forever Together.

MIDDAY is the only European entered in the Filly & Mare Turf. She has hit the board in four consecutive Group 1 races and has proven
herself capable at the 1 1/4-mile distance. She would not be a huge surprise to see the winner's circle and figures to be a key player on
exotic tickets.

SELECTIONS

1st - PURE CLAN (# 5) Price play in exotics.

2nd - FOREVER TOGETHER (# 2)

3rd - RUTHERIENNE (# 3)

4th - MIDDAY (# 6)

BREEDERS' CUP FILLY AND MARE SPRINT - GRADE I
FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, PURSE $1,000,000
7 FURLONGS - ALL WEATHER

VENTURA has an edge over INFORMED DECISION by virtue of a perfect 2-for-2 record at Santa Anita. She is a better finisher than
Informed Decision, a fact that will be helped by the 7-furlong distance. Although there is little to separate the pair, Ventura has the biggest
bankroll ($2,220,530) and figures to reverse the head loss to Informed Decision two races ago when she went five wide as the 2-5 favorite.

Synthetics? Ventura is 4 for 6 and Informed Decision 6 for 6.

They both must be utilized on exotics tickets. After that it's wide-open.

You can make a case for EVITA ARGENTINA, who got away slowly in her last start, but likes this track, the distance and the Pro-Ride surface. However, her late-running style leaves her vulnerable to a traffic jam.

SEVENTH STREET, a $1,000,000 Godolphin purchase, is in great form, however, has never run on an artificial surface or even on grass.
She has been favored in 7 of 9 career starts and has never been out of the money.

SELECTIONS
1st - VENTURA (# 9)
2nd - INFORMED DECISION (# 7)
3rd - EVITA ARGENTINA (# 6)
4th - SEVENTH STREET (# 8)

BREEDERS' CUP LADIES' CLASSIC - GRADE I
FILLIES AND MARES, THREE-YEAR-OLDS AND UP, PURSE $2,000,000
1 1/8 MILES - ALL WEATHER

MUSIC NOTE'S last two efforts have been monster victories, the best in her 7 for 11 career. She comes out of eight consecutive Grade 1
events, won 3 of 4 at this distance and is part of the powerful Godolphin stable. In her only Pro-Ride start – in this race last year – she
finished third to undefeated Zenyatta after a five-wide journey. She could be a single on some exotic tickets.

RAINBOW VIEW may have the best chance against the top pick. She was overtaken in her North American debut which was her seventh
straight Grade or Group 1 event. Rainbow View will stalk Music Note, hoping she falters to boost her 5 for 11 career record, although all
of those races have come on the grass. Coming off the turf may be to her advantage going on to the Pro Ride.

CARELESS JEWEL has won seven in a row, including three straight graded stakes victories, and been working out with authority. Her
desire to gun for the lead may be her undoing versus the top pair, but she is clearly the best of the rest.

COCOA BEACH has been close to Zenyatta twice and finished second to her in this race last year. She has the right style, but will be hard
pressed to overtake her Gondolphin stablemate Music Note. After being pushed in her latest workout she came back blowing for air. Not
a great sign.

A 1-2-3-4 cold superfecta with the top four picks would not be a shock.

SELECTIONS

1st - MUSIC NOTE (# 7) Consider as a key in exotics.

2nd - RAINBOW VIEW (# 8) Price play in exotics.

3rd - CARELESS JEWEL (# 1)

4th - COCOA BEACH (# 6)

TRACK BANDIT

BREEDERS' CUP LADIES' CLASSIC (G1), 8TH-OSA, $2,000,000, 3YO/UP, F/M, 1 1/8M, 3:45 P.M. PST, 11-6

PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
1 CARELESS JEWEL CARROLL JOSIE LANDRY R C 121
2 LIFE IS SWEET SHIRREFFS JOHN GOMEZ G K 124
3 MUSHKA MOTT WILLIAM I DESORMEAUX K J 124
4 LETHAL HEAT ABRAMS BARRY SOLIS A 124
5 PROVISO (GB) FRANKEL ROBERT J VELAZQUEZ J R 124
6 COCOA BEACH (CHI) *SUROOR SAEED BIN MIGLIORE R 124
7 MUSIC NOTE *SUROOR SAEED BIN MARAGH RAJIV 124
8 RAINBOW VIEW GOSDEN JOHN H M LEPAROUX JULIEN 121

The $2 million Ladies' Classic (G1) drew just eight, but the quality in this field makes up for the lack of quantity. This race could belong to standout sophomore CARELESS JEWEL (Tapit), who will likely be alone on the lead early for trainer Josie Carroll. The rapidly-developing gray has proven adept on multiple surfaces, beginning her career on the Polytrack before bringing her show to the dirt, bagging the Alabama S. (G1), Delaware Oaks (G2) and Cotillion H. (G2) in her last three, and her recent BRIS Speed ratings (103-104-110) are clearly good enough to get the job done here. The Kentucky-bred has won five straight in total by a combined 32 1/2 lengths while never facing a serious test, so it's hard to gauge how she will fare if another comes to her at some point in the lane, but she's not going to be facing serious early pressure here with no other front runners entered. We feel that she will be gone late under Robert Landry.

We toyed with giving top billing to RAINBOW VIEW (Dynaformer) from the outside post for genius European conditioner John Gosden. An otherworldly performer when unbeaten at two, the sophomore came back to earth somewhat this season but is still all class, as she proved in a concise tally in the Matron S. (Ire-G1) two back. We loved the filly's prep at Woodbine last out, when second in the E.P. Taylor S. (Can-G1), and we think she'll get a nice trip from midpack under Julien Leparoux.

We've always thought highly of multiple Grade 1 heroine COCOA BEACH (Chi) (Doneraile Court) and give her a decent shot on this day. The classy five-year-old has not been in perfect form in 2009, but only some of that has been her fault as she's been awkwardly placed throughout this campaign. A big second in this race in 2008 to Zenyatta (Street Cry [Ire]), the Godolphin colorbearer had a nice prep for this and has reportedly been impressive in the morning, so she could revert back to her performance last year. Richard Migliore has the call.

PROVISO (GB) (Dansili [GB]) appears to be peaking and could be a tough one to hold off with any improvement for Bobby Frankel. The bay four-year-old was a decent third behind Goldikova (Ire) (Anabaa) in the Prix Rothschild (Fr-G1) three back, prior to knocking off the boys in a subsequent Group 3 event in France. Last out, the Juddmonte homebred ran a big one when crossing the line first in the Spinster S. (G1), only to be disqualified for veering out late in the stretch under Rajiv Maragh. A straight course here with John Velazquez could lead to a victory.

The intriguing MUSHKA (Empire Maker) is in career form and was rightly elevated to first after encountering traffic late in the Spinster. Trained by two-time Ladies' Classic winner and Hall of Famer Bill Mott, the classy four-year-old has a solid turn of foot that might be better on synthetic surfaces, and the distance should be no problem for her. The lack of someone to run with Careless Jewel, though, could be an issue for the stalker. We still consider the well-bred lass to be an exotics threat at a nice price. The game LETHAL HEAT (Unusual Heat) will likely be closest to Careless Jewel early, but we're not sure that it will help her chances beneath Alex Solis. The hard-trying California-bred has run quite well in 2009 without winning a race, and she has yet to be worse than second at Santa Anita. We won't endorse her for the win, but the Barry Abrams trainee could easily sneak into the exotics at a price.

We don't doubt the talent of MUSIC NOTE (A.P. Indy), but we simply can't endorse her at short odds against this deep field. The superb filly has looked especially sharp lately, including a sterling score in the Ballerina S. (G1) two back, and she was a solid third in this test last campaign. The filly, who will be piloted by Maragh, is an obvious gimmicks player. Grade 1 queen LIFE IS SWEET (Storm Cat) is always at the mercy of the early tempo, so this race doesn't set up well for the talented four-year-old. Trainer by John Shirreffs, the late-running filly ran third against the boys in the Hollywood Gold Cup S. (G1) three prior but hasn't really fired since, so we have to look elsewhere.

TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-CARELESS JEWEL
2nd-RAINBOW VIEW
3rd-COCOA BEACH (Chi)

BREEDERS' CUP FILLY & MARE TURF (G1), 6TH-OSA, $2,000,000, 3YO/UP, F/M, 1 1/4MT, 2:23 P.M. PST, 11-6

PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
1 VISIT (GB) FRANKEL ROBERT J VELAZQUEZ J R 124
2 FOREVER TOGETHER SHEPPARD JONATHAN E LEPAROUX JULIEN 124
3 RUTHERIENNE CLEMENT CHRISTOPHE GARCIA A 124
4 MAGICAL FANTASY GALLAGHER PATRICK SOLIS A 124
5 PURE CLAN HOLTHUS ROBERT E GOMEZ G K 124
6 MIDDAY (GB) *CECIL H R A QUEALLY THOMAS 120
7 DYNAFORCE MOTT WILLIAM I DESORMEAUX K J 124
8 MARAM BROWN CHAD C LEZCANO JOSE 120

An outstanding octet of turf distaffers will travel 1 1/4 miles in Friday's $2 million Filly & Mare Turf (G1), and defending champ FOREVER TOGETHER (Belong to Me) is our top pick. She's finished in the money in all five starts this season against the top of her division, including a score in the Diana S. (G1), and netted 118 and 117 BRIS Late Pace ratings in her recent outings. The classy champion has not gotten the firm turf that she desires in four of her starts this campaign, and we wouldn't look too far into her third-place showing last out as it was clearly a prep for this. Some probably think she's lost a step, but we think she's sitting on a big one under Julien Leparoux.

PURE CLAN (Pure Prize) never picked up her feet in this one last campaign but is capable of a huge turnaround with her best for trainer Robert Holthus. The chestnut four-year-old romped in the Flower Bowl Invitational S. (G1) last out over soft turf, and we're fairly certain that she is much better on the firm going. The Kentucky-bred won the American Oaks Invitational S. (G1) in California last year, proving the weather should not hold her back, and if she gets a target to run down, she just might. Garrett Gomez picks up the mount.

MIDDAY (GB) (Oasis Dream [GB]) was almost our top selection as she enters off a pair of superb efforts overseas and has the most upside as a three-year-old. First in the field based on BRIS Class ratings, the Juddmonte homebred has put in an excellent 2009, including a facile score in the competitive Nassau S. (Eng-G1) two back, and she ran a winning race when third in the Prix de l'Opera (Fr-G1) last out. Conditioner Henry Cecil is as good as they get, and this one's versatile running style could separate her from all of the one-run closers in here.

RUTHERIENNE (Pulpit) has never run this far but is in excellent form and can't be dismissed for Christophe Clement. The 11-time winner has finished in the top three in every start in 2009, earning BRIS Late Pace numbers of 116 and 113, and should be primed for a major showing if she can endure the 1 1/4-mile trip beneath Alan Garcia. The way she adores the lengthy stretch at Woodbine indicates that 10 panels might be just right.

MAGICAL FANTASY (Diesis [GB]) has rolled to a trio of Grade 1 wins in succession for Paddy Gallagher and rates as the top local threat in this one. The chestnut filly has a huge closing kick but has proven to be more tractable this season, and her perfect mark in two tries at this distance bodes well for her chances in this test. This race is especially tough, meaning a clean trip is of the most importance, so she has as good a chance as any if Alex Solis finds clear sailing.

VISIT (GB) (Oasis Dream [GB]) was an excellent fourth in this affair a year ago (subsequently promoted to third) but did not build upon that showing in 2009, losing all seven starts. The well-bred four-year-old showed signs of life with a hard-fought second in the Yellow Ribbon S. (G1) most recently, offering further evidence that she loves this lawn, and the dark bay should be in front or right off a slow early tempo the rail. We could see her hanging on for a minor award at a square price.

We don't like MARAM (Sahm) much in this spot, but we acknowledge the fact that the filly is full of talent and not completely overmatched against this field. A winner of the Juvenile Fillies Turf over a strong cast last year, the lightly-raced sophomore just missed when third in the Pebbles S. in a perfect prep for this last out. The dark bay is a big question mark at 10 furlongs, and we are not thrilled that she drew widest of all, but a well-timed run and her ability to run this far against this type could give her a top three chance at a nice price. Multiple Grade 1 queen DYNAFORCE (Dynaformer) won the Beverly D. S. (G1) two back before throwing in the towel early in the Flower Bowl for trainer Bill Mott. The inconsistent but talented mare was an even eighth (subsequently promoted to seventh) in this event a year ago and faces an arguably better field this time around, so we'll pass on the six-year-old.

TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-FOREVER TOGETHER
2nd-PURE CLAN
3rd-MIDDAY (GB)

BREEDERS' CUP JUVENILE FILLIES (G1), 5TH-OSA, $2,000,000, 2YO, F, 1 1/16M, 1:45 P.M. PST, 11-6

PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
1 ZILVA MOTION H GRAHAM ROSE J 122
2 MS VANENZZA VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS ROCCO J S JR 122
3 BLIND LUCK HOLLENDORFER JERRY BAZE T C 122
4 BEAUTICIAN MCPEEK KENNETH G ALBARADO R J 122
5 BICKERSONS BREEN KELLY J ROSARIO JOEL 122
6 CONNIE AND MICHAEL MCPEEK KENNETH G DESORMEAUX K J 122
7 DEVIL MAY CARE PLETCHER TODD A VELAZQUEZ J R 122
8 SHE BE WILD CATALANO WAYNE M LEPAROUX JULIEN 122
9 CHAMPAGNE D'ORO GUILLOT ERIC GARCIA MARTIN 122
10 NEGLIGEE TERRANOVA JOHN P II MARAGH RAJIV 122
11 ALWAYS A PRINCESS BAFFERT BOB GOMEZ G K 122
12 BIOFUEL BAKER READE DA SILVA EURICO 122

A dozen juvenile fillies will vie in Friday's $2 million Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) on the Santa Anita Pro-Ride, and BIOFUEL (Stormin Fever) gets our upset selection in this race from the widest post. The Reade Baker trainee has won two of her three synthetic races, including a smashing, 4 1/2-length romp in the Mazarine S. (Can-G3) in her last start. The improving filly has low BRIS Speed numbers compared to her top foes, but she showed an explosive turn of foot in Canada and drilled a fast five-eighths for a sharp outfit. Eurico da Silva will pilot the filly at a big price.

DEVIL MAY CARE (Malibu Moon) was a stylish winner on Travers Day at Saratoga and returned with a gritty victory in the Frizette S. (G1) for Todd Pletcher. The filly earned a lifetime best 100 BRIS Speed figure last out and although she has no experience on this stuff, she has a ton of ability and could be a bit of an overlay in this wide-open field. John Velazquez will pilot the win contender.

Oak Leaf S. (G1) queen BLIND LUCK (Pollard's Vision) has the home court edge and deserves to be favored over this field for conditioner Jerry Hollendorfer. The ultra-talented chestnut has won three of four, with her lone loss coming in the Darley Debutante S. (G1) when second, and her running style suits this course to a tee. Tyler Baze has the call atop the filly, who should be in midpack before charging home late.

BEAUTICIAN (Dehere) has never run a bad one for Ken McPeek and is an interesting longshot play in this one. Second in the Spinaway S. (G1) and Schuylerville S. (G3) after a dominant debut tally, the gray finished a troubled fifth in the Alcibiades S. (G1) last time but could easily improve in her second two-turn and synthetic outing. She owns very respectable BRIS numbers, and we'll surely use the miss under Robby Albarado.

Oak Leaf third BICKERSONS (Silver Deputy) has very good early speed and proved ratable when nearly finishing second over this oval most recently. The Kelly Breen trainee gets a positive rider switch to Joel Rosario, posted three solid works over this strip in advance of this and should have a chance turning for home at a big number.

CONNIE AND MICHAEL (Roman Ruler) was simply awesome in a winning debut at Keeneland first out for McPeek, drawing off to a commanding, 7 3/4-length score. The bay miss was well-backed at first asking and overcame the 12 post with ease, and we love the fact that Kent Desormeaux retains the mount. The Kentucky-bred could be overbet, but she must be considered a threat at any odds. SHE BE WILD (Offlee Wild) had her unbeaten streak come to an end when getting caught late in the Alcibiades at Keeneland but remains a top challenger with her best. The Grade 3 victress has no serious knocks going against her, and while we don't particularly love her, we respect her chances in this affair.

Alcibiades queen NEGLIGEE (Northern Afleet) was visually impressive late in conquering her biggest field to date and looks like yet another contender in this puzzling event. The bay Kentucky-bred has excellent tactical speed, is proven at the trip and seems to have all the tools to be a major factor here for John Terranova. With that said, we think that at least 10 of these can win and won't settle for a small price with her from post 10. ALWAYS A PRINCESS (Leroidesanimaux [Brz]) set the pace and finished a game second in the Oak Leaf and keeps Garrett Gomez, who probably had numerous options in the field. The chestnut may have been hampered some by the rail draw in the Oak Leaf, but she drew even worse here (post 11) and could be caught wide early with plenty of speed signed on to her inside. We have mixed emotions about the obvious talent, but can't dismiss her in this well-matched group.

Alcibiades fourth ZILVA (Successful Appeal) had a nice prep race leading into this test but must still answer this class test for Graham Motion. The bay lass, who broke her maiden over the lawn at Saratoga two back, should save ground on the rail throughout but will likely need help in the form of a suicidal pace duel to challenge in this affair. Jeremy Rose has the assignment aboard the late runner. Blue Hen S. heroine MS VANENZZA (Successful Appeal) has outrun her sales price and odds in two career starts at Delaware and is a complete mystery in this cast. The twice-raced Kentucky-bred could move up on this surface just as easily as she can regress, so we can't blame anyone who uses her in the exotics at a huge price. CHAMPAGNE D'ORO (Medaglia d'Oro) is a maiden that looks out of her element.

TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-BIOFUEL
2nd-DEVIL MAY CARE
3rd-BLIND LUCK

BREEDERS' CUP FILLY & MARE SPRINT (G1), 7TH-OSA, $1,000,000, 3YO/UP, F/M, 7F, 3:02 P.M. PST, 11-6

PP HORSE TRAINER JOCKEY WT
1 FREE FLYING SOUL HEADLEY BRUCE SMITH M E 124
2 SARA LOUISE *SUROOR SAEED BIN DETTORI LANFRAN 122
3 GAME FACE PLETCHER TODD A PRADO E S 124
4 ONLY GREEN (IRE) HEAD FREDDIE PESLIER O 122
5 SILVER SWALLOW HEADLEY BRUCE SOLIS A 124
6 EVITA ARGENTINA SADLER JOHN W ROSARIO JOEL 122
7 INFORMED DECISION SHEPPARD JONATHAN E LEPAROUX JULIEN 124
8 SEVENTH STREET *SUROOR SAEED BIN MARAGH RAJIV 124
9 VENTURA FRANKEL ROBERT J GOMEZ G K 124

The $1 million Filly & Mare Sprint (G1) attracted defending champ VENTURA (Chester House), who dusted her foes a year ago for trainer Bobby Frankel from post 11 and figures to relish her outermost post here. Fresh off a win in the Woodbine Mile (Can-G1) on September 20, the talented five-year-old looks as strong as she did in 2008, and while she might have a tougher foe to knock off this season, she's still the top choice. The Juddmonte homebred has a potent turn of foot, registering a scintillating 126 BRIS Late Pace rating last year, and should be rolling in the final furlongs under Garrett Gomez.

INFORMED DECISION (Monarchos) is our 1A pick in here for Jonathan Sheppard, as she's perfect in six tries over synthetic surfaces, including a win over Ventura in the seven-furlong Madison (G1). The gray four-year-old reminds us some of Zenyatta (Street Cry [Ire]) in the way that it seems that there will never be too much ground for her to make up in the stretch, and her BRIS numbers are outstanding. The Kentucky-bred filly has had a perfect pair of shorter preps to ready her for this grand stage, and if the likely favorite slips even a little, Julien Leparoux and this miss will be waiting.

SEVENTH STREET (Street Cry [Ire]) is a candidate to buck the growing trend and win a race of this caliber in her all-weather debut. A classy, multiple Grade 1 winner from the connections of Godolphin, the well-bred chestnut seems perfectly suited to this seven-furlong trip and should get first run on the closers with her best, but we're just not sure if that will be enough to hold off the big two. We loved her win last time over a muddy track (108 BRIS Speed rating), and Rajiv Maragh will be back to guide the ultra-talented four-year-old. We will definitely spread with her on our tickets.

Unknown import ONLY GREEN (Ire) (Green Desert) is a multiple stakes queen who looks in deep against these, but we've learned over the years not to take horses of this caliber lightly on the biggest days. The bay filly has already put in nine starts in 2009 and looks a bit out of sorts in this field, but she won her last and gets Lasix for this. The sophomore hails from expert connections, and we'll use on the bottom of the gimmicks with Olivier Peslier.

Likely pace presence FREE FLYING SOUL (Quiet American) drew the rail and could lead the way early for Bruce Headley. The Kentucky-bred bay crushed a nice one last out and is perfect in three tries over this oval, so we don't agree with her 50-1 morning line. The four-year-old has a chance to round out some gimmicks with her best.

SARA LOUISE (Malibu Moon) has never run poorly and comes in off a pair of superb efforts, posting BRIS Speed figures of 105 on each occasion. The Godolphin colorbearer is undoubtedly a talent and could challenge the top pair late if she takes to the Pro-Ride, but that's too much of an if for us. Frankie Dettori will guide the obvious exotics contender.

Grade1 heroine GAME FACE (Menifee) was a useful fourth in the ultra-competitive Presque Isle Masters S. (G3) last out in her synthetic debut, which gave some hope to those in her corner. The accomplished chestnut will probably be a big overlay in this one, but we still can't see her being a serious factor. Edgar Prado has the call. Standout sophomore EVITA ARGENTINA (Candy Ride [Arg]) took the San Vicente S. (G2) against the boys on this surface but is stepping up severely in class. It's hard for us to endorse her with the likely lack of pace signed on. SILVER SWALLOW (Alphabet Soup) is commendable in the fact that she always packs a punch late for Headley, but she may be too slow to challenge against these rivals.

TRACK BANDIT SELECTIONS: 1st-VENTURA
2nd-INFORMED DECISION
3rd-SEVENTH STREET

Wunderdog

SANTA ANITA Race #3 (THE BREEDERS' CUP MARATHON)

op pick: #6 (MASTERY) - Godolphin-owened colt has been getting better all season and last out won one of Europe's most prestigious races, the "St. Leger" Stakes (Eng G1) and has proven that he need not bring his track with him as he's also raced well in Italy and France. Has "Polytrack" experience as he finished a close-up fourth in his first start of this year in the "Kentucky Derby Challenge" at Kempton Park on their artificial surface. Has a nice tracking gear and this distance is not a problem. The top selection.

2nd pick: #5 (Father Time) - Talented colt from a legendary English trainer (Henry Cecil). By the top sire "Dansili" he's finished in back of the top selection in his last pair by 3 1/2 lengths in the "St.Leger" and 1 1/4 lengths in the "Great Voltiguer" Stakes (Eng G2). Juddmonte home-bred broke his maiden on "Poly" at the small track of Great Leighs in his only race at age two. He's a major threat to the top selection.

3rd pick: #3 (Nite Light) - He's always had some ability, but his career has been compromised by many layoff lines during his career. Has the best speed and he proved two back at Turfway when he went wire-to-wire in the "Turfway Park Fall Challenge" that he can handle a synthetic surface. Speed has done well on this "all weather surface" at this meet and this son of "Thunder Gulch" must be left in the mix.

4th pick: #9 (Man of Iron) - Lightly-raced son of "Giant's Causeway" is two for three on the Dundalk "Polytrack" in Ireland and he's in the barn of one of the greatest trainers ever (Aidan O'Brien). Has some speed and may sneak away at big odds despite his connections.

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009
Breeders' Cup Marathon

Santa Anita Race 3 - 1 3/4m Non-graded 3yo and up, Purse: $500,000. Post Time: 3:35 ET

Race Synopsis
Black Astor will be sent right to the front and try to wire the field. Nite Light should be making 1st run on the pacesetter with Father Time and Mastery closing from off the pace. I expect the pace to be a lively one, which should set it up for my top 2 selections to be closing strongest in the late stages of the race.

First Selection: (6) MASTERY (Suroor Saeed Bin/Dettori Lanfranco)

There is no barn in the world that possesses the quality and quantity of regally bred and dominant racehorses than Godolphin. Most are trained by Saeed bin Suroor. Mastery was always considered the second string behind several of their long distances runners, but that changed quickly when he defeated the more fancied Godolphin runner Kite Wood in his last start, providing the stable a fifth win in the prestigious Group 1 St. Leger Stakes at a similar distance as the BC Marathon.

Mastery was bred by Sheikh Mohammed's Darley Stable and was transferred to Godolphin after his smart effort at Kempton. He had never run beyond 1 1/8 miles. This was about to change for his new connections. In 5 starts for the stable, Mastery has raced from distances of 1 3/8 miles up to 2 miles indicating that he has tremendous stamina.

As a 3 year old, Mastery will be facing older for the first time, but that is no concern to me, as he has proven to excel at marathon distances against top flight opposition, in contrast to the American’s who have shown spotty form against lesser competition than what the Euro shippers will face in the Marathon. Mastery enters the race off a 55 day rest. He has been training great and is a deserving favorite to take down top honors.

Second Selection: (5) FATHER TIME (Cecil H R A/Ahern E)

Like Mastery, Father Time is a 3 year old who exits the same race as Mastery in the St Leger Stakes. He experienced a good inside trip that day with dead aim on the leaders through the stretch, but had to settle for 4th, beaten 3 ½ lengths by Mastery. Father Time was bumped slightly nearing the wire, but this minor incident would not have resulted in a closer finish.

It’s amazing that his trainer Henry Cecil has never won a Breeders Cup race, but that could change with Father Time who would be no surprise if he were to turn the tables on his rival Mastery, who has defeated him twice in both their encounters.

One important factor that should not go unnoticed is the fact that Father Time broke his maiden in his debut over polytrack at a minor track in Great Britain. The question that must be answered is if Father Time can make up the difference in his lose at Doncaster to Mastery in the Marathon. I am going to speculate that Santa Anita may suit him better than 1 3/4 miles at Doncaster.

Third Selection: (3) NITE LIGHT (Pletcher Todd A/Velazquez J R)

Nite Light is my choice of the Americans to make the most impact on Mastery and Father Time. In 15 career starts, Nite Light has proven to be a gem of consistency, winning 6 times and placing 6 times. He has proven to be a quality long distance performer with 2 victories at 1 ½ miles. Nite Light is a very versatile 5 year old who can set all the pace from the outset or sit back in pursuit of the leaders and pounce on the far turn.

With speedball Black Astor in the field, the latter tactics will most likely be employed. He has only raced on polytrack once, and that was a decisive 5 ¾ length victory in a Grade 3 stake at Turfway Park on Sept 12.

Nite Light got away with murder on the front end, setting “snail” like fractions against far weaker than what he will face in the Marathon. He will be tested sternly for class against Mastery and Father Time, who have a lot more upside than Nite Light despite spotting him racing experience and age.

Nite Light has only won one race since Feb 16 2008, and has been a beaten favorite in 4 of 6 starts since that victory. Despite the negatives I have presented, the fact that he can stay the 1 ¾ mile distance, is consistent and trained by the always dangerous Todd Pletcher, Nite Light must be included in your wagers.

Fourth Selection: (4) CLOUDY'S KNIGHT (Sheppard Jonathan E/Homeister R B Jr)

Trainer Jonathan Sheppard and long distance performers have proven over the years to go hand in hand. Not only is Sheppard a master at developing runners on the flat as the distances increase, but the same can be said with his jumpers. This 9 year old, who is not only the elder statesman of this year’s Marathon, has also raced more times than any in the field, especially when you compare him to Mastery and Father Time, who have a combined 15 starts amongst them.

When Sheppard took over the training of Cloudy’s Knight following his eight place finish to end a very disappointing 2008 campaign, it was clear that much work had to be done to get him to regain some semblance of his excellent 2007 ledger, capped off with a nose victory in the Grade 1 Canadian International. Sheppard sent Cloudy’s Knight to the farm to enjoy a respite in the pasture. Last August it was time to start preparing him for a fall campaign.

First stop was in Kentucky Downs in the Grade 3 Kentucky Cup Classic. Despite having to wipe off months of rustiness, Sheppard had Cloudy’s Knight ready to win at 1 ½ miles. He did not disappoint with a decisive 2 ½ length victory. Very few trainers could accomplish this task with a 9 year old, but Sheppard is on a very short list of horseman who could do so. Next stop was the Grade 3 Sycamore at Keeneland. Most horses usually regress in their 2nd start off a long layoff, but that did not hinder Cloudy’s Knight, as he eked out a head decision over the classy Winchester and Yates Black Cat.

The question in the Marathon is if Sheppard and Cloudy’s Night have 1 more powerful effort to conquer Mastery and Father Time. I feel a good showing is in the cards but a victory would be a mild surprise. The Marathon was never really the target when he returned off the layoff. A matter of fact, Sheppard was going to enter him in the Red Smith at Aqueduct, but when he found out that the race was not at Belmont Park, which he thought it was, the decision to enter here was a better option according to him.

I’m not sure what the difference is running at Aqueuct or Belmont, but he certainly knows more than I do. I expect Cloudy’s Night to launch his rally on the far turn, but I do not feel his late kick will be enough to get the job done.

Wagering Strategy
In addition to the Superfecta and Pick 3 wagers in this race, it is also the first leg of the Pick 6. For those interested, I have given a recommendation for a ticket that wouldn't require a huge investment. The Pick 6 on Breeders' Cup days is usually even harder to hit than on normal racing days, so I would strongly caution against playing it unless you have a large budget and feel comfortable with that kind of investment in this wager that is hit at a very low frequency.

* Dime Superfecta: 5-6 / 3-4-5-6 / 3-4-5-6 / ALL = $8.40 for a dime wager

* Dime Superfecta: 5-6 / 3-4-5-6 / ALL / 3-4-5-6 = $8.40 for a dime wager

(These two wagers can be played multiple times, based on your personal budget)

* Start a Pick 3 wager with three tickets:
Ticket 1: 6 / 3-4-7-8-9-11 / 3-4-6-7-10-11 = $36 for a $1 wager
Ticket 2: 6 / 4-8 / ALL = $24 for a $1 wager
Ticket 3: 6 / 4-7-8 / 3-4-7 = $9 for a $1 wager
.
*$2 PICK 6 TICKET: 6 / 4-7-8 / 3-4-7 / 2-4-5-6 / 9 / 7 = $72

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009

Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf

Santa Anita Race 4 - 1m (Turf) Non-graded 2yo Fillies, Purse: $1,000,000. Post Time: 4:08 ET

Race Synopsis
Off her maiden win on the grass, it is expected that Rose Catherine is fast enough to get the lead from the start unless Potosina, who breaks from the rail, is gunned. I expect a brisk pace from the outset. The main contenders will all be making their run as the field turns for home, but at a mile, with a short run to the first turn, many horses can be forced wide and steadied, which can cost them a placing. I have decided to go with a horse who I know will be up front early and who can avoid any congestion. At 8-1 morning line odds, I feel she's well worth the shot over a turf course where quality speed has held up well all meet.

First Selection: (4) ROSE CATHERINE (Pletcher Todd A/Castellano J J)

Originally a $410,000 yearling purchase by high-profile owner Paul Pompa Jr., Rose Catherine's connections must have been feeling somewhat distraught after they watched this expensive filly show some early speed and then throw in the towel readily in her first two career starts, both on dirt. After the second defeat, a fifth place finish where she was beaten by 7 lengths at Saratoga, top juvenile trainer Todd Pletcher took her back to the barn for two more months of training before bringing her back to the races.

Whatever Pletcher did during that time, coupled with a surface switch to turf, worked wonders. When Rose Catherine returned on October 11 in a 6F turf sprint, she was surprisingly favored at 8-5 over 9 rivals despite her poor form in both prior starts. A lot of people 'knew something' about this filly, and she certainly did not disappoint. Zooming right to the lead despite her outside post, she was always in command, and when she was let loose entering the stretch she exploded clear of her field to win by nearly 9 lengths, an enormous margin on turf. If the race was longer, I'm convinced that her margin of victory would only have been larger.

She took off thru a fifth furlong in :11-2/5, an extremely fast internal split, and one that might have taken some of the starch out of her in the stretch. But that wasn't the case, and Rose Catherine actually went FASTER in the final furlong, coming home in :11-1/5 despite getting very little urging from Javier Castellano.

We might be looking at somewhat of a turf freak here (and that is meant to be a major compliment), and while the class rise and longer trip raise some questions, I believe that her morning line of 8-1 and her expected 'value' at post time make her a very interesting filly to wager on. The turf course that she won over was on the dry and hard side, very similar to what she should encounter in this race. From a good inside post, while facing a field without a lot of other early speed, I believe that she can either lead from the start, or else press Potosina if that filly is gunned, then take charge before the second turn. Her speed may be a major advantage in this full field as all of her rivals behind her try to sort out their positions in the early going, while Rose Catherine gets the opportunity to relax up front.

Second Selection: (8) LILLIE LANGTRY (O'brien Aidan P/Murtagh John P)

There are some interesting 2 year old turf fillies from the US in this group, but once again I fancy 2 Europeans who I feel are simply better than their American counterparts. Trainer Aiden O’Brien has established himself as one of the finest horseman in the world. Year in and year out, his stable consists of horses with elite pedigrees from the finest stud farms. Lillie Langtry fit’s this profile. Right from the outset O’Brien had high expectations for her and she did not disappoint with a solid 2nd in her debut followed by a decisive win in a Group 3 stakes.

After a 2nd place finish in the Group 3 Albany, Lillie Langtry was freshened up for 48 days. She resurfaced in the Group 2 Dubutante. Dispatched at 1-5 odds, she did not disappoint, making a powerful sustained rally from last to draw clear in the late stages. This was her first start beyond 6 furlongs, which indicated to her connections that distance racing was on the horizon.

On August 30 at the Currah, Lillie would be facing her stiffest test in the Group 1 Moyglare Stud. Sent off at 3-5, right from the outset, you could see she was spinning her wheels over a very boogy course she simply could not handle at any point in the race. Not discouraged by her 3rd place finish, Lillie Langtry was entered back 34 days later in a softer restricted race which she easily won. Not to go unnoticed was the fact that despite the lesser competition, she ran faster as a filly than the top class male Oasis Dancer on the same card, who is one of the contenders in Saturday’s Juvenile turf.

Lillie Langtry is bred to relish a distance. O’Brien has been emphatic about looking forward to running on firmer ground at Santa Anita around 2 turns which he feels she will relish. To illustrate how much the European betting market fancies her, as of this writing, Lilly Langtry is 2nd choice in the betting to win next years 1000 Guineas.

Third Selection: (7) HOUSE OF GRACE (Mcpeek Kenneth G/Luzzi M J)

House of Grace began her career at Saratoga, breaking her maiden very impressively at 2 turns which is not easy to do for a 2 year old in their initial start. Despite an outside post over a “good” turf course, House of Grace was off slowly, and then sustained a powerful wide sweeping move to blow by 9 other rivals on her way to a 5 length victory.

Trainer Ken McPeek shipped her to Keeneland for the Jessamine which was scheduled for the turf but switched to the polytrack because of steady rain. This surface switch did not deter House of Grace to score once again, running down Smart Seattle in the shadow of the wire.

I have an old adage that until a horse loses, there is no reason to believe that in the right spot, they can win again. House of Grace is in the right spot Friday to have a major impact at the finish.

Fourth Selection: (3) SMART SEATTLE (Motion H Graham/Rose J)

If you fancy House of Grace, then you must strongly consider Smart Seattle. I was very impressed by her maiden victory in her debut at Saratoga going 5 ½ furlongs. Off that effort, I was confident that Smart Seattle would be very tough to beat stepping up into stakes company 21 days later. Despite being asked to stretch out to 1 1/16 miles around 2 turns, she ran very well to run 2nd to Tapitsfly who stole the race on the front end setting pedestrian fractions.

I watched the replay with owner George Strawbridge and trainer Graham Motion, and they could not have been any happier with her performance considering the obstacles she had to overcome. Smart Seattle needed one more race to get her into peak form for the BC, and that spot would be in the Jessamine on Oct 15 at Keeneland.

She would be making her first start over a synthetic surface and the result was a strong 2nd place finish, beaten a nose by House of Grace, who she squares off once again in the Juvenile Turf. I felt rider Jeremy Rose moved too early to the lead. With a livelier pace expected Friday and a more patient ride, I expect Smart Seattle to make her presence felt. This filly sports all the credentials to land into the winners circle if she moves foward off he last race and can avoid trouble.

Fifth Selection: (11) JUNIA TEPZIA (Schiergen Peter/Fallon Kieren)

If you are looking for a “live” longshot, you got one here in Junia Tenzia. If you can recall this years Goodwood Stakes at Santa Anita this fall, you will remember that the winner Gaitano Hernando upset the field at huge odds. He was making his first start for sharp owners Team Valor stables and ridden for the first time by world class rider Kieran Fallon.

Skip ahead to today’s Juvenile Fillies Turf, and you will notice a similar occurrence with Junia Tepzia for the same owner rider combination. She was purchased after her maiden win at a very minor track in Italy. 50 days later she resurfaced in a quality stake at San Siro a race in which Junia Tepzia was an easy winner.
Time Form gave her a 105 rating which is very good for a 2 year old filly with only 2 races under her belt. Even though both starts were in Italy, Peter Schiegen is considered a great trainer in Germany, so you know Junia Tepzia was in skilled hands right from the outset. With her strong pedigree and the fact that she broke her maiden at a mile first time out, Junia Tepzia will have no problem with a mile at Santa Anita. It’s just a matter if she is good enough and can overcome her tough outside post.

Wagering Strategy

* A win and place bet on (4)ROSE CATHERINE

* Exacta part-wheel 4-8 over 3-4-7-8-9-11 = $20 for a $2 wager

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009

Grey Goose Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies

Santa Anita Race 5 - 1 1/16m Grade I 2yo Fillies, Purse: $2,000,000. Post Time: 4:45 ET

Race Synopsis
As it often is, the Juvenile Fillies race looks like a highly-contentious affair that could be won by almost any of the entrants. A good post and 2-turn racing experience are important, but luck may also play a major factor in the outcome of the race, particularly when the late-runners come calling in the stretch and have to contend with some tiring speed horses in front of them. There's a good amount of early speed in the field, and at least 5 or 6 of the fillies have shown a preference for racing on or near the lead. This could set things up well for the stalkers and closers, and those are the horses that I'm gravitating toward as my top selections in the race.

First Selection: (3) BLIND LUCK (Hollendorfer Jerry/Baze T C)

When she made her career debut in a nondescript $40,000 maiden claiming race back on June 21, it would have been hard for anyone to imagine that this filly would become a Grade 1 winner just 3-1/2 months later. But that happens sometimes with young horses like this. They can ‘fool’ their conditioners with modest workouts in the morning, but then show an entirely different level of ability at race time.

After her 13-length debut victory over 9 rivals, Blind Luck was privately purchased by a partnership that includes trainer Jerry Hollendorfer, who is among the all-time leaders in career wins. He brought her back in an easy spot at Del Mar, and despite a very awkward break that left her dead last down the backstretch, she won with ease in what was little more than a paid workout. The jump in class from that starter allowance into G1 company in the Darley Debutante on Sept 5 was huge, but she handled it professionally and was a very strong 2nd behind even-money winner Mi Sueno, who has since been retired. Blind Luck again rallied from far back and finished fast in that ‘key’ race that has produced multiple next-out stakes winners.

Now that he knew he had a Grade 1 filly on his hands, Hollendorfer took the next logical step in her development and stretched her out to a route around two turns over this track in the G1 Oak Leaf on Oct 4. Showing more tactical speed than in her prior two starts, Blind Luck rated just 4 lengths off the pace, but still produced her same powerful stretch kick that saw her win by a widening 2-1/2 lengths at the wire. Her final 5/16 of a mile in :30-1/5 was outstanding for any horse, let alone a 2yo filly, and the final time of the race was the same as the G1 Norfolk for 2yo males on the same card.

That G1 win over this track and distance gives Blind Luck a ‘home field’ advantage over most in this race, and the fact that she was back on the worktab just 8 days after the Oak Leaf win says that the race took little out of her. More recently she recorded a stellar 6F stamina drill over this track on Oct 24. If she improves at all off her Oak Leaf win then she will be hard to deny, and there’s plenty of speed in this field to set up her late run.

Second Selection: (4) BEAUTICIAN (Mcpeek Kenneth G/Albarado R J)

After a debut win in fast time on June 5 this filly took on graded stakes company on July 29 at Saratoga and finished far clear of 3rd behind winner Hot Dixie Chick, who is the best 2yo filly that I’ve seen this year. She ran into that rival again in the G1 Spinaway and again finished a very good 2nd while more than 8 lengths clear of the rest of the field.

Continuing her pattern of stretching out further with each start, Beautician tried two turns and a synthetic track for the first time on Oct 9 in the G1 Alcibiades. Unfortunately, she had a disastrous trip, yet she still ran on well at the end, and might have been right there with better racing luck. Given her consistency against the best of her generation, Beautician must be considered a top contender in this race for trainer Ken McPeek, who’s is an outstanding trainer of young horses.

Third Selection: (7) DEVIL MAY CARE (Pletcher Todd A/Velazquez J R)

I loved this filly in her Aug 29 debut, based on some things that I had heard from the Todd Pletcher barn, and she did not disappoint, winning in a romp at nearly 5-2 despite a very slow start that left her dead last early. She showed a world of ability that day, and apparently also impressed Pletcher, as he bumped her way up in class for the G1 Frizette on Oct 10. Unfortunately, she had another awkward break in that race, but then rushed up to stalk the pace, which was very fast for the distance. She led in upper stretch and then held off a late bid by the favorite to win in another impressive performance.

I feel that this filly could be ‘any kind’, and if she can ever get away from the gate cleanly then she could really put on a show. However, she’s never raced or worked on a synthetic track, so the surface switch remains a big mystery. There’s also the matter of her bad breaks in both races, which may prove to be a habit, not just bad luck. If she breaks badly again then she’ll really put herself at a disadvantage against such a strong field.

Fourth Selection: (11) ALWAYS A PRINCESS (Baffert Bob/Gomez G K)

This highly-regarded Bob Baffert trainee won her career debut at nearly 7-1 against a strong field that included stablemate Crisis of Spirit, who has since won 2 straight, including a stakes race. Always A Princess had a rough start in that debut and found herself 10 lengths behind the leader after the first quarter mile. Jockey Garrett Gomez didn’t panic, and the pair made steady progress to get up in time despite the short 5.5 furlong distance.

Adding another 3 furlongs in her second start while bumping her way up in class to face G1 company was asking an awful lot, but Princess responded with a great performance in the G1 Oak Leaf. This time she broke cleanly and showed her natural speed to set a solid pace. She still held a clear lead into the final furlong, but weakened late behind the more seasoned Blind Luck, holding on gamely for the place. I expect further improvement in just her third start while back at the same trip as the Oak Leaf, but I think there’s the chance that Princess may ultimately prove to be better at shorter distances, as her dam was a sprinter.

Fifth Selection: (6) CONNIE AND MICHAEL (Mcpeek Kenneth G/Desormeaux K J)

Despite breaking from post 12 in a full field in her Oct 17 debut, this Ken McPeek trainee was hammered down to 5-2 favoritism, and did not disappoint. She zoomed right to the lead, quickly opened up, and then widened her margin to the wire, scoring by nearly 8 lengths in very fast time. Her performance stamps her as a potential star, but there are some concerns about her stepping up so much in class and stretching out to a route and two turns in just her second start.

Her dam is by Devil's Bag, a total sprint and speed influence, and neither of Connie and Michael's siblings to race in a route won. However, the dam herself did win her only route try, so there's some mixed signals as to whether or not this filly will be as good at this longer trip. It's also just her second start, and facing the best of her generation at this longer trip on just 3 week's rest while light on experience is a tall order. If she wins this, then we're certainly looking at something special. Even if she doesn't win, I do expect her to be a factor in the race, and probably not far back at the finish.

Wagering Strategy
Without a firm opinion on this race, I would not recommended any individual wagers. This is the final leg of our early Pick 3, and hopefully we'll be alive to some good payoffs. We'll also be starting a Pick 4 wager that 'keys' Ventura in the Filly and Mare Sprint.

* Begin a Pick 4 wager that includes three tickets:

TICKET 1: 3-4-6-7-10-11 / 2-4-5-6 / 9 / 1-7 = $48 for a $1 wager
TICKET 2: ALL / 4-5-6 / 9 / 7 = $36 for a $1 wager
TICKET 3: 3-4-7 / 6 / 9 / 1-2-5-6-7 = $15 for a $1 wager
.
NOTE: For those with smaller budgets who are not comfortable
investing $99 in this play, these tickets are listed in order
of preference. So, if you wanted to decrease the wager on the P4,
then use just TICKET 1.

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009

Emirates Airline Breeders' Cup Filly And Mare Turf

Santa Anita Race 6 - 1 1/4m (Turf) Grade I 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $2,000,000. Post Time: 5:23 ET

Race Synopsis
There is not much early speed in this race, so expect Dynaforce and Visit to set up shop on the front end. The pace is expected to be a moderate one, so those horses closing from off the pace must make well timed moves and not get suckered into a cat and mouse game between the 2 speeds.

First Selection: (6) MIDDAY (Cecil H R A/Queally Thomas P)

This year’s Filly and Mare Turf is short on European shippers, but unfortunately for the American’s, there is one 3 year old who they all have to beat, and that is very talented Midday. Midday established herself as a useful runner at 2, but this year as a 3 year old, she continues to improve leaps and bounds and enters this race in peak form for the great horseman Henry Cecil.

Midday started her year with a solid 2nd against colts at Epsom followed by a powerful win in a listed stake at Lingfield. Midday would take a huge boost in class in the Group 1 English Oaks June 5 at Epsom. Sent off at 5-1 odds, she could not have been more impressive dropping a head decision to the top class Sariska, while easily defeating another quality runner in High Heeled and Rainbow View. In reviewing the film of the race, Midday would no doubt have won if she did not experience a troubled trip when forced very wide with 3 furlongs to go in the race.

She was shipped to Ireland to face off once again with Sariska in the Group 1 Irish Oaks on July 12 at the Currah. Heavy rains turned the course into a bog, which she could not handle. Right from the start, Midday was just spinning her wheels, and by the time they ran 1 ¼ miles, she was done. Despite all this adversity, Midday ran on to be a well beaten 3rd at the 1 ½ mile distance, but she would have been closer if rider Quelly had persevered on her.

Midday would make amends in a big way 20 days later in the Group 1 Nassau Stakes where she trounced Rainbow View, while cutting back to her preferred distance of 1 ¼ miles. Cecil decided he needed to get one more race into her, and that was the Prix de l’Opera at Longchamp on Arc day. Cecil did not have her wound up tight as his main objective was the BC Filly and Mare Turf.

Despite being “short”, Midday ran a solid 3rd, beaten 1 ½ lengths. This effort should have him in peak form for the Turf, and despite being only 3 years of age, and facing mostly older more experienced runners, I feel she has the class and ability to get the job done.

Second Selection: (5) PURE CLAN (Holthus Robert E/Gomez G K)

It is my contention that Pure Clan will be overlooked a bit in the wagering and that would be a mistake. In my opinion, she is coming up to the race better than any of the other American distaffers. Pure Clan has been a gem of consistency throughout her career and is a better filly this year at 4 than she was at 3. In last year’s BC Filly and Mare Turf, she was victimized by a tough outside post and a very wide trip.

After the race, trainer Bob Holthus, put Pure Clan away until she resurfaced in June at Churchill. She was beaten a neck in a Gr 3 stake then followed that up with a decisive win in the Gr 3 Modesty at Arlington. 29 days later, Holthus shipped her back to Arlington for a run in the Gr 1 Beverly D. The ground was softer than the “good” listing, and she was never able to take strong hold of the surface until late in the race when she flew home to miss by a diminishing 1 ½ lengths as the 3-2 favorite. I also felt that Pure Clan was entered back to quickly. Her final prep for the BC was in the Gr 1 Flower Bowl at Belmont.

Running over very soft ground, Pure Clan blew by pacesetter Criticism to win handily. Criticism came back to win impressively last Sunday at Belmont. Pure Clan will get a rider change to Garret Gomez for the Filly and Mare Turf, which is a plus, as I feel he is a stronger finisher than Leparoux, who not unexpectedly sticks with last year’s winner Forever Together. Pure Clan is best suited to 1 ¼ miles and firm turf. She will be flying late, and it will take a good filly to hold her off in the final stages of the race.

Third Selection: (4) MAGICAL FANTASY (Gallagher Patrick/Solis A)

Magical Fantasy goes for her 5th straight win in the BC Filly and Mare Turf and her 4th Gr 1 win in a row. In truth, she has been beating up on mostly the same horses in those races. The BC will be a whole different ball game. Magical Fantasy will have to prove to me that she can perform as well against the finest fillies in the world at the 1 ¼ mile distance.

The fact that she has run very well on several occasions over this course, plays to her advantage, but I feel that may simply not be good enough to win. Like several others in the race, Magical Fantasy will have to rally from off the pace. She is grinder who knows how to “gut” it out late, but her closing punch is not as powerful as the fillies that I prefer. Nevertheless, she has the credentials to expect a good showing

Fourth Selection: (2) FOREVER TOGETHER (Sheppard Jonathan E/Leparoux Julien R)

Forever Together is the defending champion of this same race last year. Even though she has run well in all 5 starts this year, I just do not feel that she is coming into this race as good.

In 2008, Forever Together simply blew by horses late in the race on her way to several decisive victories. This year she is content running with horses through the stretch without having that killer instinct to kick away from her foes late. This was evident in the Gr 1 Diana at Saratoga where she won by a nose and once again in the Gr 2 Canadian International when she was beaten a nose in a race she should never have lost at 1-5 odds.

Forever Together’s last prep for the BC was the Gr 1 First Lady on Oct 10 at Keeneland. I felt that she was taken too far off the pace, but in deep stretch, had every chance to run down 2nd place finisher Tizaquena who was on the pace throughout.

Like last year in the BC, Forever Together will be stretching out to 1 ¼ miles for the 1st time this year. The verdict is still out on whether or not her closing kick will be more effective at the added distance, I have so much respect for trainer Jonathan Sheppard to have her ready to peak for this race, but she will be overbet, and is one of the horses in the Breeders’ Cup who I feel will is very vulnerable.

Wagering Strategy
* A win bet on (6)MIDDAY

* Exacta box 4-5-6 = $12 for a $2 wager

* Exacta box 5-6 = $8 for a $4 wager

* Exacta part-wheel 5-6 over 2-3-4 = $12 for a $2 wager

* Start a Pick 3 wager with three tickets:
Ticket 1: 2-4-5-6 / 2-3-7-8-9 / 7 = $20 for a $1 wager
Ticket 2: ALL / 9 / 7 = $16 for a $2 wager
Ticket 3: 4-5-6 / 9 / 7 = $9 for a $3 wager

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009

Sentient Jet Breeders' Cup Filly And Mare Sprint

Santa Anita Race 7 7f Grade I 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $1,000,000. Post Time: 6:02 ET

Race Synopsis
Longshot Free Flying Soul will probably be sent to the lead from her rail post, with even longer shot Only Green and Seventh Street in close attendance. The pace projects to be honest, but not overly fast, with a second flight probably made up of Sara Louise, Game Face, and Informed Decision. The remaining three come from off the pace, but probably won't be more than 8 lengths or so behind the pacesetters. This track has played pretty fairly in sprints in recent weeks, a contrast to the track last year at Breeders' Cup time, which seemed to help the closers.

First Selection: (9) VENTURA (Frankel Robert J/Gomez G K)

Although she’s spent the majority of her illustrious career racing on turf, this 5yo Bobby Frankel trainee is probably a little better on synthetic surfaces. She’s won 4 times from 6 starts on synthetic tracks, losing another Grade 1 race by just a head, and 3 of those 4 wins have been at this tough 7F distance.

Ventura wasn’t favored in last year’s Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf, with that distinction going to Indian Blessing, but she ran perhaps the most impressive race of anyone during the Breeders’ Cup weekend. This year, I think she’s even better, and her 2009 campaign was designed to have her peaking for this race.

In last year’s Sprint she was coming off a strong 2nd place effort in the G1 Woodbine Mile on turf against males. It was a perfect conditioning race for the cutback to 7F in the Sprint, and she rallied from far back in 11th to bury her field by 4 lengths. Her final time of 1:19-4/5 was one of the fastest times ever for 7F on any surface. This year she also used the G1 Woodbine Mile as a ‘prep’ following a layoff of more than 5 months, but this year she won that race, and did so in spectacular fashion. She rated back in 9th position for the first 6F of the Mile, and when let loose by jockey Garrett Gomez, she circled the field, inhaled the leaders past the furlong pole, and won clear. She roared thru the final quarter mile of that race in about: 22 flat, which is about as fast as any thoroughbred horse can possibly go at the end of a race. And remember, that race was off a layoff, and she was not fully cranked up for a peak performance.

Ventura went from Woodbine to Belmont Park for a couple of works, then was sent back to California for her final preparations for the Sprint. She posted an impressive 6F drill on Oct 24, and is on target for perhaps the best race of her career in this spot. There’s not an abundance of speed in this race, but in similar situations Ventura has rated closer to the pace than she did in last year’s sprint, when the fractions were blistering. Her explosive kick in the final quarter mile is just too much for any of these rivals to deny, and if Gomez can just keep her out of traffic trouble, then Ventura should be able to defend her Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint crown.

Second Selection: (7) INFORMED DECISION (Sheppard Jonathan E/Leparoux Julien R)

If not for the presence of Ventura, then this filly would probably be a solid favorite in this race. Over the past 13 months she’s won 7 of 8 starts, including two G1 victories and one G2 score at this 7F distance. She’s 5 for 6 lifetime at 7F, with her only blemish in the last 13 months coming over a quirky, sloppy track at Saratoga in the G1 Ballerina, when she still finished a good third behind Music Note, who is the choice in today’s Ladies’ Classic, and Indian Blessing, the reigning champion.

One of the most amazing races I’ve seen this year was Informed Decision’s win in the G1 Humana Distaff at 7F on May 2. She had a terrible trip, had to check in traffic, and was still back in 5th position with a furlong to go, 6 lengths behind the leader. It looked as if she had no chance to hit the board, let alone win the race, but she somehow found the heart and courage and raw strength to run down the four horses in front of her and win the race. In her most recent start she also had some traffic troubles but rallied boldly to run down speedball Carlsbad, flying thru her final furlong in: 11-3/5 at a 6F distance that’s shorter than she prefers.

Although she’s never raced over Santa Anita’s Pro-Ride track, Informed Decision has won over synthetic tracks at Keeneland, Arlington Park, and Presque Isle Downs, so there’s no reason to think that she’ll be any less effective over this track. She should be positioned in front of Ventura, and would be the most likely winner if that rival gets stalled in traffic.

Third Selection: (2) SARA LOUISE (Suroor Saeed Bin/Dettori Lanfranco)

This lightly-raced 3yo filly has never run a bad race in her career and could be sitting on a top performance as she makes her third start off a 9-month layoff. She was a G3 winner last year at age 2, and showed immediate improvement when she easily won the G3 Victory Ride at Saratoga in her initial start of 2009. She came back a month layoff in the G2 Gallant Bloom and missed by just a head to Indian Blessing in a very fast race, finishing well clear of the rest of her field. Since her last race, Sara Louise has been training steadily over the Santa Anita main track, acting very much at home in her preparation for her first race over a synthetic surface. She projects to sit a few lengths off the pace, in position to make her move whenever jockey Edgar Prado asks. With graded stakes wins at 6F and at a mile, this 7F distance seems perfect.

Fourth Selection: (3) GAME FACE (Pletcher Todd A/Prado E S)

This hard-knocking filly in the Todd Pletcher barn became a G1 winner with a thoroughly dominant win in the Princess Rooney at Calder on July 11, the pinnacle of a career in which she’s won 6 graded stakes. If she can somehow reproduce that effort today, then she might have a chance at an upset. However, her two races since that victory haven’t been of the same quality, and her 4th place finish behind Informed Decision on Sept 12 raises some concerns as to whether she’s as good on synthetic tracks as she is on dirt. She finished 4th of 7 that day, but we can’t automatically blame it on the synthetic track, even though it was her first race over a non-dirt surface. It’s possible that she just had an ‘off day’, as she’s had a few times in the past on dirt. Freshened for nearly 2 months since then, the time off is similar to that which preceded her Princess Rooney win, so she must be considered for at least a minor award if she rebounds in similar fashion.

Wagering Strategy
Back in Race 3 we began a Pick 4 that 'keys' Ventura in this race. We will hopefully be alive with one or more of those tickets, and thus will not invest much more in this race.
* Exacta 9-7, reverse for half as much

Wizard's Major Stakes for Friday, November 6th, 2009

Breeders' Cup Ladies' Classic

Santa Anita Race 8 - 1 1/8m Grade I 3yo and up Fillies and Mares , Purse: $2,000,000. Post Time: 6:45 ET

Race Synopsis
With undefeated champion mare Zenyatta being entered in the BC Classic against males, it makes this race a more contentious affair, at least on paper. However, there's not a lot of early speed in the race, and I expect Careless Jewel to take the lead from post 1 right out of the gate, with Music Note probably sitting closest. The pace projects to be on the mild side, which should find the early leaders still around and prominant at the finish.

First Selection: (7) MUSIC NOTE (Suroor Saeed Bin/Maragh Rajiv)

Last year as a 3-year-old, this daughter of top sire A.P. Indy, came within a head of winning championship honors as the best 3yo filly in America. If she had just gotten ahead of Proud Spell at the wire in the G1 Alabama, it would have been her, and not Proud Spell, who was named champion 3yo filly. Despite the lack of recognition, Music Note had a stellar campaign, capped off by an excellent third place finish in this race behind undefeated Zenyatta and stablemate Cocoa Beach.

Now at age 4, Music Note gives every indication that she’s better than ever. She’s more lightly-raced heading into the Ladies’ Classic, and with Zenyatta’s connections opting for the Breeders’ Cup Classic against males, this race is Music Note’s for the taking. She came up short on conditioning after making a big middle-move in her seasonal debut in the G1 Ogden Phipps at Belmont on June 13, a very strong ‘key’ race that produced three next-out stakes winners. Her connections gave her 2-1/2 more months to get into shape, and when Music Note returned in the G1 Ballerina on August 29, it looked as if she was racing at a distance shorter than she prefers. Despite having always been a horse that stalked or rated off the slower paces of route races, Music Note showed surprising early speed in the Ballerina and pressed the pace from the rail. New jockey Rajiv Maragh finally had enough of being in tight quarters along the rail, and sent Music Note to take command on the turn. Despite running faster early than she ever had before, she drew off with authority to leave world-class sprinters Indian Blessing and Informed Decision in her wake.

Stretching back out on October 3 to what I still consider to be her best distance, the 1-1/8 mile trip of the G1 Beldame, Music Note again showed good tactical speed to sit close to the pace. This field lacked the quality to be considered a true Grade 1 race, and Music Note took care of business as expected at very short odds. She won by ‘only’ 2-1/4 lengths, but it was a measured win done with consummate ease, and her field was left very strung out behind. She earned a career-best ‘figure’ for the race, and one could safely assume that she could have run a lot faster if she needed to.

Music Note is now a 5-time Grade 1 winner, with the average margin of victory in those five races being a surreal 6 lengths. I mention this because Music Note leaves no doubt as to her authority in her victories, compared even to undefeated champion Zenyatta, who’s BIGGEST margin of victory ever is 4-1/2 lengths. Music Note comes into this year’s Ladies’ Classic with just 3 starts on the year, compared to the 5 races that she had in 2008 prior to the Classic. I think she still has a forward move in her, and that we’ll see it in this race. Although Careless Jewel looks like the controlling speed in a race without a lot of early pace, Music Note’s newly found early speed should have her close to that leader, avoiding any possible tactical disadvantage. She showed last year that she likes this surface, and her three prior wins at this distance were all Grade 1 races.

Second Selection: (1) CARELESS JEWEL (Carroll Josie/Landry R C)

After an educational outing in her career debut when she was hard to handle but still managed to finish 3rd, this filly has reeled off 5 straight wins, with 3 of them coming against G1 or G2 company. Her 11-length win in the G1 Alabama was unbelievable, and might have been by even more if she didn’t have to check while in traffic on the first turn. She followed that with an extremely easy G2 win at Philadelphia Park on Oct 3, a race where she was well clear thru the stretch despite setting a very fast pace. The trouble line in the past performances indicate that Careless Jewel drifted out late, but that had nothing to do with something ailing her, but instead that she simply got lazy looking around for some competition and was goofing around.

Trainer Josie Carroll has Careless Jewel in great form, and the best-of-17 6F work over this track on Oct 27 tells us that she loves the surface. She also gets a good pace scenario in a field that doesn’t have a lot of early speed, so she’s expected to be on the lead or pressing the pace. Having won 3 races on the lead and 2 races from a stalking position, she’s shown the versatility to win from either position.

Third Selection: (2) LIFE IS SWEET (Shirreffs John/Gomez G K)

After getting a trainer change from Bill Mott to John Shirreffs and getting the second half of her 2008 3yo season off, Life Is Sweet came back as a much-improved filly. She won the G2 El Encino over this track off the 7-1/2 month layoff on Jan 18, and then won both the G2 La Canada and G1 Santa Margarita over this Pro-Ride surface. Although she’s lost 4 straight races since then, there’s every reason to believe that she’ll run a big race today while back on her favorite surface at a distance where she’s 2 for 2. She was a fine second to Zenyatta on May 23, then rallied from far back to finish 3rd of 13 against males in the G1 Hollywood Gold Cup. She followed that with her only sub-par race of the year when 4th behind Zenyatta on Aug 9, but a slow pace played a part in her lack of ability to rally in that race.

After a 2-month freshening, Life Is Sweet returned in the G1 Lady’s Secret against some of today’s rivals. Her very fast finish in about: 29 flat for the final 5/16 of a mile was hidden by the shape of the race, as they crawled along early and then flew home late. With a more honest pace expected today, Life Is Sweet’s strong late kick will be more effective, and she should also appreciate this stretch back to 1-1/8 miles.

Fourth Selection: (5) PROVISO (Frankel Robert J/Velazquez J R)

Racing on turf in France and England at ages 2, 3, and 4, this filly was Group 1 stakes-placed three times, but didn’t actually win a Group race until taking a G3 event in her 15th and final European start on Sept 6. That was actually a very strong field that included mostly males, and it’s noteworthy that the second place finisher beat champion Goldikova.

In her U.S. debut on October 11, Proviso was racing on a synthetic track for the first time while also stepping up to the Grade 1 level in the prestigious Spinster. She rallied boldly from back in 8th position to win clear on the wire, but was disqualified and placed 2nd for interference. That doesn’t diminish the fact that she ran a winning race at the G1 level, showing an obvious fondness for the surface switch. A repeat of that effort will certainly put her in the mix in this race, and it’s entirely possible that she can improve further in her second U.S. start while back at the same distance as the Spinster.

Wagering Strategy
Music Note will be my 'Pick Of The Day' for Friday, and the wagers below are the wagers that will appear on that sheet.
* A win bet on (7)MUSIC NOTE (If our Pick 3 play is not alive)

* $14 exacta 7 - 1, reverse for $6, total wager = $20

* $8 exacta partwheel 7 with 2-3-5-6, reverse for $2, total wager = $40