Free Premium Service Plays For Friday 3/20/20

Kyle Marley

MMA

2:30 PM ET

Cage Warriors 113:

Morgan Charriere (-215) vs. Darko Banovic (+165): Charriere

Charriere looks pretty solid on the feet and with his grappling. Banovic looks like a decent wrestler with big power and I thought he looked pretty good as well. I was more impressed with Charriere, so I am going to pick him to get the win. I like his striking more and I think he can have success with his kicks and slow Banovic down with his leg kicks. I wouldn't want to lay -200 or more on him for a straight play, so I would say he is a parlay piece only.

Mason Jones (-200) vs. Joe McColgan (+160): Jones

Mason Jones is 8-0 and only 24 years old. He is pretty flat-footed but, other than that, his striking is pretty solid. I expect him to be the one controlling where this fight takes place. I didn't see anything from McColgan to make me want to pick him, so I don't hate Jones as a straight play or parlay piece.

Luke Shanks (-135) vs. Samir Faiddine (-105): Shanks

I give Faiddine the edge on the feet and I think he is the faster and more explosive striker who will be looking to keep this fight standing. But I like Shanks in this fight because I think he can hang on the feet and I like his edge in the wrestling and grappling departments. I see him getting this fight to the ground and either winning rounds that way or finding a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

Dusko Todorovic (-215) vs. John Phillips (+165): Phillips

Phillips is mainly a brawler and he always has a knockout chance. Todorovic is the more well-rounded fighter and has more ways to win. He keeps his chin up too much for my liking and I wouldn't be shocked to see him get knocked out. So this price over -200 makes this a dog-or-pass fight for me.

Paddy Pimblett (-300) vs. Declan Dalton (+220): Pimblett

I like Pimblett because of his ground game. I think he will look for takedowns early and often, and I think he can get a finish. I wouldn't want to lay -300 on him straight so I would rather use him as a parlay piece, but I think this is his fight to lose.

Coner Hignett (-110) vs. Darren O'Gorman (-110): Hignett

I think O'Gorman is the slicker striker with the better movement, and I think he is the better grappler as well. Hignett looks decent on the feet, but I think he has the power and the wrestling edge. I wouldn't lay juice on either of these guys because It does look like a 50-50 fight. If the line shifts, then I wouldn't hate to have a small play on the underdog, whoever that is. I will take Hignett as my pick though.

Lewis Monarch (-137) vs. Kingsley Crawford (+110): Monarch

Monarch is the more experienced and well-rounded fighter. He has pretty good striking and decent submissions, but doesn't look like a great wrestler. Kingsley looks like the more dangerous striker, and he is only 22 so he should be improving each fight. I think Monarch should be favored but, if I knew this fight would stay standing, I wouldn't hate a shot on Crawford. I will lean with Monarch because I think he will have the edge on the ground.

Matthew Bonner (-137) vs. Jamie Richardson (+110): Bonner

Both guys have solid power and I think this could be a fun one. Either could get a knockout, but I think Richardson needs it more because Bonner has more ways to win. I will lean with Bonner because of his edge in versatility.

Adam Amarasinghe (-345) vs. Jake Bond (+260): Amarasinghe

Bond looks like a decent finisher, but it appears he has been fighting meager competition, so I am not sure how to assess him. Amarasinghe looks solid but he is priced way too high and most of his fights are amateur fights. I would say this is a dog-or-pass fight on the betting line, but I will take Amarasinghe to get the win.

James Hendin (-333) vs. Kris Edwards (+250): Hendin

Hendin is a 4-0 prospect and he looks pretty good. Edwards is the more experienced fighter, but I didn't see anything to think he is better than Hendin. I don't hate Hendin as a parlay piece.
__________________

Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Aqueduct - Race #2
Picks Notes
#5 Shamrock Kid Stalker looked good winning over lesser with ease last time, and while this group is tougher, he also goes off the Gullo claim (22%), and catches a field loaded with speed; look out.
#1 Durkin's Call Underachiever never gets there yet is always bet, but on the stretchout, with a positive race flow for his closing style, he could finally make a big dent; looms the one to fear late.
#2 Danebury Stiff ML favorite is the best of the speed, and the close 2nd at the level last time makes him a big player here, but all the speed to his outside won't help; comes unglued in the lane.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 5 but that 2-1 ML in a six-horse field seems fair, as he probably should be favored based on the race flow and his new trainer, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some built-in value by singling him in the early Pk5 and to kick off the early Pk4, as he gets all the best of it here, and the win last time might be good enough to beat this field as is.

Aqueduct - Race #5
Picks Notes
#9 Choose Happiness Mott charge didn't take a lot of money in her sprint debut for a patient barn, but she ran on a bit late, now stretches out, and meets a group there for the taking; upset special.
#6 Sharp Starr Closer is another who should appreciate the added ground, as she's been improving and running on late, though she's also burned a lot of money in her two starts; second-best.
#4 Eloquent Speaker Logical contender was bet hard on debut then was a distant 2nd, and so she certainly figures, but at 2-for-50 it's tough to play anything for Jeremiah right now; mixed signals.
Race Summary The price will be right on the 9, and sure, she needs to improve a lot of that debut, but there's no reason to think she won't, as this was probably the spot they had in mind all along, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to end the early Pk5/Pk4, in the late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, as she could completely fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in blowing up all four sequences.

Aqueduct - Race #6
Picks Notes
#4 No Distortion Atras claim (26%) goes for a barn that is hot at the meet, catches a group full of speed, and could offer a hint of value as well off the meek 4th last time; expecting a huge run.
#10 Win With Pride Stalker was 3rd, but 3 1/2 lengths ahead of the pick last time and now goes off the Rodriguez claim (16%), so he too could move up, but the wide draw worries; scary, but no lock.
#6 Aristocratic The speed beat the top-2 last time in a game wire job, but there's a ton of pace to both sides, so wiring won't be easy, plus he could bounce as well; willing to make him prove it.
Race Summary Pace makes the race and there's a ton of it here, and that will really help the chances of the 4, who is likely to move way up for his new barn too, so give him a look in all the slots, and make sure to use him in the late Pk5/Pk4, since he's got a big chance at turning the tables on his biggest two rivals.

Sam Houston - Race #3
Picks Notes
#3 Midkinghtwar Price player likely needed his comeback against better when a middling 7th, should improve off that, and meets a modest crew, and potentially vulnerable heavy favorite; can upset.
#2 Winter Wolf Stiff favorite certainly hits hard, but note the big run last time was on turf, and his dirt form isn't overwhelming, so at underlaid odds, he's worth trying to beat on top; second-best.
#6 Can If I Can Allowance dropper was tossed to the wolves in an N2L last time off solid but slow debut win, so he's another who eligible for a wakeup call in this spot; do not ignore at a nice price.
Race Summary That 8-1 ML on the pick sure seems like a lot of value, since, aside from the 2, there's no one here to fear, so give him a look in all the slots, and in the early Pk as well, since budget players will be singling the chalk, even though he's got little margin for error, which means a win by 'War would really blow things up.

Sam Houston - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 Right Lane Markusz Turf specialist hasn't shown any dirt form, so draw a line through his last, and focus on the grass runs, which are simply better than this group; mows them down late.
#7 Father Bryan Pace presser drew a nice post for his style, and his turf races of late, against better, have been very solid, and he'll get first run on the pick off the turf too; major player.
#4 No Mo Hooch Tricky read was all-out to beat MSW foes, so the rise to winners won't be easy, plus this post isn't ideal, and it's not like he's overly fast on figures either; tread lightly.
Race Summary That 5-1 ML on the pick would be a big overlay, as he's best on his turf form and should be favored here, so play him in all the slots, and especially the early Pk4 as well, since this is a deep field, and getting home a $10 winner or so will undoubtedly knock out a lot of tickets that are spreading deep.

Sam Houston - Race #8
Picks Notes
#2 Cowgirls Like Us Perfectly draw filly was in a tough spot off the July layoff facing stakes foes, but she's back with friends here, will only be that much tighter off the return, and should trip out just off the speed too; love her chances here.
#3 Terra's Angel The speed set a slow pace and ran well to be 2nd last time, and you can envision the same set of circumstances playing out here, as there's no one to run with her early, so she could get brave late; the one to catch.
#5 Curlin's Journey Logical contender was in 2nd behind 'Angel the entire way last time and could never get by her, and with this post she'll be in the same spot today, which doesn't exactly bode well for her chances; underneath, if at all.
Race Summary You won't get rich on the 2 but there are four here who will be bet, which means maybe you get 7-2 or so on a gal with more upside than anyone else, the best post of anyone else, and an ace in Calhoun calling the shots too, so play her aggressively to win and place, while getting some additional value by singling her in the Pk5 and late Pk4 as well, since she looks primed for a run that the rest
__________________

Indian Cowboy

5-unit Play. Australia A-League.

Take Sydney FC PICK(-175) over Western Sydney Wanderers. (Friday @ 4:30 am est) (For this to Win, Sydney FC must Win by 1 or more goals, if this is a Draw, if is a Push, Regulation + Injury time.
__________________

Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Charles Town - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 Empress Heart Should be right up on the splits early with the filly drawn inside of her, and the wider draw should let her get a slightly easier trip than that one.
#2 Mesmerizingpegasus Speed will have some company from the top choice, and the trip could get a bit tough if she's taking pressure along the rail the entire way.
#4 Clerestory She finishes with a decent, grinding effort every so often, and that sort of try might allow her to just chase the top pair early and hang around for a piece.
Race Summary Empress Heart gets the best of the draw tonight, and the drop in class should be enough to get her home against a group that isn't all that imposing outside of 'pegasus.

Charles Town - Race #5
Picks Notes
#2 Greeley and Ariana Has been going a bit evenly while facing better in recent starts, and the drop back in for $5,000 should make her tough.
#5 Lil Sweetheart Pace player really doesn't meet much other speed in this spot, so it'd be no surprise to see her get brave late and win this.
#9 Dynacastle Steps up to this next condition while racing off the claim, and she has been slowly heading in the right direction in recent races. Not out of it from close range.
Race Summary Greeley and Ariana gets the call and is playable at something near the 4/1 ML price. Lil Sweetheart is the big danger and would be appealing near her ML offering, too.

Charles Town - Race #8
Picks Notes
#8 I'm a Lawman Ran well enough in the local debut last time out, and he should be right there with this bunch that lacks any other really menacing types.
#4 Too Many Coronas Will be tough if he can bring anything similar to that last one, but he was 14/1 that day and will be a much shorter number tonight. Not sold that he's running back to it.
#2 The Son Wind Has a little bit of finishing ability that might bring him along for an underneath piece with this group.
Race Summary I'm a Lawman is likely to be tough with this group, and if his price is anywhere similar to that of Too Many Coronas, he's the play.
__________________

Hey Shazzz, I appreciate you posting horse racing being I am a player.. Mite be alittle boring for most people ,but I've been playing the ponies for MANY yrs.. Thanks for ALL you do brother..
Ranger

Hey Shazzz, I appreciate you posting horse racing being I am a player.. Mite be alittle boring for most people ,but I've been playing the ponies for MANY yrs.. Thanks for ALL you do brother..
Ranger

Army we have to bet on something while crazy shit is going on.

Good luck my friend

Frank Carulli's Daily Picks

Miami Valley - Race #1
Picks Notes
#3 MOSEE TERROR Memory should serve classy 12-year-old well in this spot.
#4 STANHOPE Discount latest, trapped for half-mile and flattened out in stretch two back.
#1 AND WE’LL SEE YA Starts fresh from rail, 10yo seeks 39th career victory.
Race Summary Mosee Terror was scratched sick in a tougher spot last week, making the 47-race winner an all-or-nothing type play on the switch to a 30-percent barn. Give him the benefit of the doubt and play 3-1 and 3-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#5 TAJMEALLOVER Third against sharpie from post 8, takes magnified class drop.
#2 MISS MADY Took money, led into stretch on drop to this level, faded to third.
#4 SO AWESOME Romped in return qualifier, was 15/4-5-2 to start 3yo season last year.
Race Summary Tajmeallover, a 50-race winner, could strike again on the class drop. She rallied second-over in the snow three back, raced against her best style from post 8 two back and got up for third behind the 1-to-5 winner last week. Play 5-2 and 5-4 exactas.

Woodbine-Mohawk Park - Race #3
Picks Notes
#5 TAX SAVINGS Led throughout to win off layoff, trotted evenly on class hike.
#1 THE FIXER Exits fast race, solid numbers prior, finally gets post relief.
#9 EIGHTOCLOCKSTORM Duel took its toll on odds-on favorite, post 9 no bargain.
Race Summary Tax Savings wired a 10-horse field in his seasonal debut, then trotted evenly behind the pace-controlling winner on the step up in class. He can spring the upset with McNair and at least should be used in all gimmick wagers.
__________________

Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#3 Il Faraone Has an impressive late move on occasion and will get plenty of speed in front of him; likely to be overlooked at the mutuels.
#1 Gray Beau Has been getting shuffled back going in one-turn mile races and gets a big boost by running two turns today; has a good late move most of the time and could reel in this group.
#2 Yes I See Finished a non-threatening 3rd and could benefit from running longer and around two turns; has been in stronger races.
Race Summary Il Faraone, like most late runners, isn't consistent, but when he fires he's very tough to stop; steps up in class but looms as a possible upsetter.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#2 K W Captain Hook Has been in much stronger races and drops to a level at which he should succeed; chance to score.
#5 Conquer Has run off to early leads and could be very difficult if he can relax a bit on the front end; serious player.
#1 Verdict Is In Lost a photo last time and goes down a notch in class; can be in the mix from the outset.
Race Summary K W Captain Hook gets some class relief and should find that these will come back to him late.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#1 Dubby Dubbie Has been outrun in much tougher races recently and has run well at similar levels as this; could be strong on the front end of this one.
#5 Faraway Kitten Was claimed in his latest and steps up for the Tharrenos; graded stakes winner capable of a big effort here.
#7 Vettori Kim Ran an even 3rd at this level last out and has some races on his form that would make him tough against these.
Race Summary Dubby Dubbie has been class-challenged a lot and looks like a better fit at this claiming level.
__________________

Mike Money McClure

AUSTRALIAN RULES FOOTBALL

10:45 PM ET?

Friday, March 20 @ 9:46 PM - Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers - Pick: Essendon -14.5

This is a big number, but Essendon is the better team and crushed Fremantle by 32-points on the road in Round 22 last year. The Dockers are improved, but this line should be closer to -17.5 in the "neutral" environment.

Saturday, March 21 @ 1:36 AM - Adelaide Crows vs Sydney Swans - Pick: Crows -4.5

Adelaide is the stronger team in basically every aspect of the game. Expect this line to move closer to -6 by game time.

Saturday, March 21 @ 4:26 AM - Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Geelong Cats - Pick: Geelong Cats +9.5

This game should be much closer than the market is suggesting. I would make this line Sydney -6.5 in this environment. Ruckman Darcy Fort and Esava Ratugolea will keep the Cats within the number. Take the points.

Saturday, March 21 @ 4:26 AM - Gold Coast Suns vs Port Adelaide Power - Pick: Port Adelaide Power -13.5
__________________

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE

03/20/20, OP, Race 5, 3.23 CT
1 1/16M [Dirt] 1.40.01 CLAIMING. Purse $44,000.
Claiming Price $40,000, if for $35,000, allowed 2 lbs. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta - 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / 50 Cent Pick 5 (Races 5-9)
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 4 Lighthawk 4-1 Mojica O Diodoro Robertino JTSEW 39.39 1.52/$1
096.97 6 Defender 12-1 Felix J E Mason Ingrid F 35.92 1.38/$1
096.81 7 Parade Field 7/2 Bridgmohan J V Barkley Jason 35.92 1.38/$1
096.20 1 Lionite 6-1 Santana. Jr. R Asmussen Steven M. 35.92 1.38/$1
096.08 8 Hitch 10-1 Garcia M Asmussen Steven M. 35.92 1.38/$1
096.06 9 Mississippi 5-1 Talamo J Moquett Ron 35.92 1.38/$1
095.45 2 Carte Blanche 9/2 Cannon D Hawley Wesley E. C 35.92 1.38/$1
094.56 3 Cosmologist 8-1 De La Cruz W Martin William N. 39.39 1.52/$1
093.61 10 Nice Work(b+) 20-1 Baze T Puhich Michael L 35.92 1.38/$1
092.90 5 Don't Forget 15-1 Rocco. Jr. J Von Hemel Donnie K. 35.92 1.38/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.43, ROI 1.13/$1
__________________

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $64000 Class Rating: 78

FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $13,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING OR STARTER AT A MILE OR OVER ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $80,000 (1.5% AFTERCARE

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 HOLMDEL PARK 9/2

# 4 MAKINGCENTS 7/2

# 8 STONEZAPPER 7/2

My pick in this contest is HOLMDEL PARK. Has posted formidable Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. She looks competitive in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this group of horses in this race. MAKINGCENTS - Has posted strong Equibase Speed Figs in dirt route races in the past. No strangers to the winner's circle, Englehart and Vargas ought to have this filly breaking away from the field. STONEZAPPER - Might best this field here, showing quite good figs of late.
__________________

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Tampa Bay Downs - Race #5 - Post: 2:48pm - SO - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $21,200 Class Rating: 94

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT (ML=9/2)
#6 SWEETLY MAID (ML=15/1)

SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT - A thoroughbred coming back this rapidly after a good effort is a good omen. Popular handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. This one is live today. SWEETLY MAID - This rider and conditioner have a favorable ROI when they join forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 DAY BY DAY (ML=6/5), #7 CAUGHT UP IN YOU (ML=7/2), #2 CLEARWATER (ML=6/1),

DAY BY DAY - This mare hasn't been getting the job done as the public's top choice. Last effort was too good. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' today. CAUGHT UP IN YOU - Don't think this steed has what it takes to cross the finish line in first this time around. CLEARWATER - Hard to keep following this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse. This less than sharp equine ran a common fig last time around the track. She shouldn't improve and will probably lose in today's event running that figure.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 SUZIE'SSTEPPINOUT is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
Pass
__________________

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turfway Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $14000 Class Rating: 80

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE FEBRUARY 20 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, FOR EACH $2,500 TO $10,000 1 LB.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 MY SWEET BABOO 2/1

# 5 GOING TO TEMPLE 4/1

# 6 TWELVE MONARCHS 9/2

MY SWEET BABOO looks quite good to best this field. Has been constatntly racing well recently. Should be considered a key contender on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. She has formidable class ratings, averaging 90, and has to be considered in this race. GOING TO TEMPLE - Had one of the best speed figures of this group in her last affair. Is worth a close look and may be a bet - strong speed figures (70 average) at today's distance and surface lately. TWELVE MONARCHS - She has been running very well lately while recording strong speed figures.
__________________

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Penn National - Race #7 - Post: 8:43pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,800 Class Rating: 61

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#7 NO NO NOAH (ML=8/1)
#4 THE TRAIN (ML=6/1)
#5 BOLOGNESE (ML=5/1)

NO NO NOAH - Atop this racer on January 8th and Davis is back again in the irons this race. This racer ran out of the top three at Penn National last time out on a track listed as good. He should improve in this event without the off-track conditions. THE TRAIN - Looking at today's class figure, this thoroughbred is meeting an easier field than in the last race at Penn National. Going on Lasix for the first time. While a general handicapping angle, it's still quite an important piece of information. BOLOGNESE - I think that this contest's shorter distance should help this gelding. I like to play this angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp effort within the last thirty days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 WEST FORK (ML=8/5), #3 EL FENOMENO (ML=5/2), #6 BULLAGER (ML=8/1),

WEST FORK - This chalk horse ran on Feb 21st and hasn't had a morning drill since then. Finished second in his most recent performance with a pedestrian speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this group. EL FENOMENO - Finished fifth on March 2nd after the extended vacation. Doubtful if there will be any change in this event. This horse hasn't been in the money in either of his last couple of races. BULLAGER - 8/1 is not offering enough value for any mount in a sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs that hasn't hit the board in a short distance event recently. Just can't bet on this racer. Didn't show me anything last time out or on February 21st.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 NO NO NOAH is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
__________________

Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Santa Anita Park
PURCHASE

03/20/20, SA, Race 7, 4.08 PT
1M [Turf] 1.31.03 ALLOWANCE OPTIONAL CLAIMING. Purse $57,000.
Claiming Price $80,000 (Rail at 30 feet). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $15,000 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING ORSTARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $80,000
$1 Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $2 Rolling Double - $0.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
. . . .
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 2 West Sider 6-1 Bejarano R Baffert Bob TFC 32.41 1.31/$1
099.43 8 Liar Liar (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Baltas Richard S 31.98 1.17/$1
098.40 1 Jurgen 6-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Sadler John W. 31.98 1.17/$1
098.21 7 Governance 8-1 Velez J I Baltas Richard WL 31.98 1.17/$1
097.75 6 Last Opportunity (IRE) 6-1 Prat F Drysdale Neil D. J 31.98 1.17/$1
097.30 9 K P All Systems Go 5/2 Cedillo A Mullins Jeff 31.98 1.17/$1
096.67 5 Bad Beat 15-1 Roman E A Kitchingman Adam E 32.41 1.31/$1
096.26 4 Kanderel 6-1 Smith M E Mandella Richard E. 31.98 1.17/$1
095.89 3 Commander (FR) 8-1 Espinoza A Miller Peter 35.94 1.62/$1
* Top rated horse with "Turf Surface Not fm/hd" - WPC 28.00, ROI 1.02/$1
If Race Is Off Turf
Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 2 West Sider 6-1 Bejarano R Baffert Bob TFEC 40.00 1.72/$1
098.51 8 Liar Liar (IRE) 5-1 Rispoli U Baltas Richard S 40.00 1.72/$1
098.22 7 Governance 8-1 Velez J I Baltas Richard WL 40.00 1.72/$1
097.27 6 Last Opportunity (IRE) 6-1 Prat F Drysdale Neil D. J 40.00 1.72/$1
095.46 1 Jurgen 6-1 Valdivia. Jr. J Sadler John W. 40.00 1.72/$1
095.24 9 K P All Systems Go 5/2 Cedillo A Mullins Jeff 38.06 1.36/$1
095.20 4 Kanderel 6-1 Smith M E Mandella Richard E. 38.06 1.36/$1
093.87 3 Commander (FR) 8-1 Espinoza A Miller Peter 40.00 1.72/$1
093.63 5 Bad Beat 15-1 Roman E A Kitchingman Adam 38.06 1.36/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 30.00, ROI 2.49/$1
_________________

Jonathon Kinchen

The four-race sequence begins at 3:25 p.m. ET with Race 5 and goes through Race 8.

Overview
Big fields and some lukewarm favorites make the late Pick 4 at Aqueduct on Friday an intriguing opportunity. Using the A-B-C-X method for multirace wagers, my all-A ticket will be a 3x3x3x2 play, but I will also put together three-A, one-B tickets.

Aqueduct 5th
1 Bankers Daughter (4-1) -- I'm not crazy about the rail draw, but this one just might be better than these. She ran two nice races as a 2-year-old, and her last start -- her second as a 3-year-old -- suggests she has another step forward. If she works out a trip from the rail, she might win easy.

3 Micromillion (7-2) -- She doesn't feel fast enough, but I always lean on Hall of Fame trainers (Todd Pletcher in this case) in races like this that appear below the par for the level.

6 Sharp Starr (5-2) -- She has been bet in both starts and might have been best in her last race, but she missed the break under an apprentice jockey. Now, in her third career start, she gets the meet's leading rider in Manny Franco. If she breaks well, she will be tough.

5 Kilkea (15-1) -- She spent a ton of time on the rail in her last start and could improve at a big price.

A: 1,3,6
B: 5

Aqueduct 6th
1 Missle Bomb (4-1) -- He hasn't raced in 187 days and draws the typically uncomfortable rail. He has won off a layoff but has tried five times. Everything on paper suggests to use him, but the price is likely going to be shorter than I would prefer. I'm using him, but I wouldn't talk anyone off of tossing.

6 Aristocratic (7-2) -- This 6-year-old gelding has big speed. He might have to deal with other pace in the race, but he appears to be the best of the speed. He has three wins in seven starts at Aqueduct and has missed the board only once.

10 Win With Pride (3-1) -- He chased Aristocratic honestly in his last race. Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is winning at 20 percent in 2020 and is 26 percent in his career with horses making their first start with him. The outside draw is a big advantage.

9 Reed Kan (15-1) -- This longshot will need to get lucky and be loose on the lead. His pace figures going 6½ furlongs suggest that the cutback to six furlongs could be a big boost.

A: 1,6,10
B: 9

Aqueduct 7th
7 Pot of Hunny (8-1) -- You never know what you are going to get from horses stretching out in distance, but I like this one. She ran evenly in both of her starts. That typically leads to success when horses stretch out. She's definitely an "A" on my ticket.

8 Stonezapper (7-2) -- I like this one. She's not stretching out as much as Pot of Hunny but has the same even running style. She and Pot of Hunny are my top two.

1 Courageous Girl (3-1) -- The speed figure in her last race was a lifetime best and better than any other filly in this race has run. However, I just don't trust the figure; it seems like an outlier. There's a chance she is figuring things out so I'll use her, but I don't trust her.

6 Holmdel Park (9-2) -- Her last four races were good, but I feel they were one cut below what she needs to run on Friday. She needs to take another small step forward. The good news is that she is adding blinkers. Maybe that will be the key.

A: 1,7,8
B: 6

Aqueduct 8th
11 Adios Amigos (3-1) - He drops in for the $25,000 claiming tag. He has done most of his running on the turf, but his debut last April on dirt suggests that this one might be tough. He should get pace to close into.

8 Bronze Lion (6-1) -- He has some speed. He was inside speed in his last start, and the outside draw could help this one's chances.

10 Come On E.V. (12-1) -- Trainer Rudy Rodriguez is only 14 percent with first-time starters in his career, but this guy has the looks of one that could get it done. Beware stranger danger.

5 Kilmarknock (4-1) -- His last race was bad, but that was run at nine furlongs. The cutback to a sprint should be more to his liking.

A: 8,11
B: 5,10

Aqueduct Pick 4 Grid
All-A ticket
$1 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($54)

Three-A, one-B tickets
$.50 Pick 4: 5 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 9 with 1,7,8 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 6 with 8,11 ($9)
$.50 Pick 4: 1,3,6 with 1,6,10 with 1,7,8 with 5,10 ($27)

Total wager: $108
__________________

Gjelstad and Norheim

Soccer

Belarus Premier League

Dinamo Brest v. Smolevichi-STI (11 a.m. ET)

Money line: Dinamo Brest -900

Against the spread: At +2.25, back Smolevichi-STI.

Total goals: Under 3

Likely score: Dinamo Brest 2, Smolevichi-STI 0

Dinamo Minsk v. Ruh Brest (1 p.m. ET)

Money line: Dinamo Minsk -225

Against the spread: At -1, back Dinamo Minsk.

Total goals: Under 2.5

Likely score: Dinamo Minsk 1, Ruh Brest 0
__________________

The Sharp Plays

Oaklawn

Highest Power Rated Horse

Race 9

#2 Copper King (3/1)
__________________