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My Late Pick 4 Ticket Sunday at Santa Anita

June 6, 2020 | By Jerry Shottenkirk

Everyone likes the outstanding sprinter Whitmore, but fans of Flagstaff feel slighted and have waited since mid-April for his return.
Whitmore won Oaklawn’s Grade 3 Count Fleet Sprint by three-quarters of a length over Flagstaff, who broke 11th and last, motored through traffic and came within three-quarters of a length of Whitmore at the end. He was flying, and with any kind of luck at all probably would’ve had his picture taken.

Flagstaff is back home at Santa Anita on Sunday for the Grade 2 Triple Bend Stakes (Race 8, 7 p.m. ET) to face highly regarded McKinzie and three others in the seven-furlong race, which is the third leg of the Pick 4.

Flagstaff became on of the top sprinters on the West Coast when he was third behind Omaha Beach in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Sprint Championship. He won the Damascus Stakes and took the Grade 2 San Carlos. He has been very close to the pace in nearly all of his races, with the Count Fleet as a glaring exception.

McKinzie, as we all know, is a Grade 1 regular and usually runs longer distances, but in December of 2018 he rallied from 12th and won the Grade 1 Malibu Stakes at seven furlongs in widening fashion. He can get tuned up early and he certainly has the overall class edge. He’s been off since he was 11th in the $20 million Saudi Cup. His usual string of good works has followed and he’ll undoubtedly be outrun in this one.
Both are on the suggested Pick 4 ticket, which amounts to $60.
Here’s a look at the other late Pick 4 races:

Race 6 (6 p.m. ET, optional claiming)
It’s all about finding the right level, and the connections of SASH have done just that. Sure, they tried him in the Grade 1 Frank Kilroe, and the result was a 10th-place finish, but he’s back to his optional claiming $40,000 price, and he has a win and a good 2nd (last out) at the level. He gets the edge, but it’s not enough of an advantage in which he stands alone on the ticket. SWAMP SOUFFLE made a strong run for third last out and is capable of getting there today, and JULIUS was very good in two-turn races last year and gets to stretch out after competing in sprints.

Race 7 (6:30 p.m. ET, maiden claiming)
Maiden claimers are the easiest to figure, especially when it’s an evenly matched bunch.
RED DIAMOND makes her debut and Hall of Famer Ron McAnally won with a first-timer last week, so this gal will try to continue that barn’s success. PREDICTABLE TULLY has had four U.S. starts after three in Great Britain and has been fairly close in all tries here. Moved early and hung late last time and a well-timed move will make her tough. MOREAVINO is a Justin Phillip filly making her initial start midway in her 4-year-old year. She has a steady string of works and looks ready to give it a go. MISS ALEGRIA was an even fourth in a decent spot in her debut and can be expected to improve off that effort.

Race 9 (7:30 p.m. ET, maiden)
This is a head scratcher, much like the 7th race. APPROVED FOR FLYBY was closed up early and faded to third, 10 lengths off at the end. She’s likely to improve. LOVELY FINISH ran on late and was getting to the winner. She’s been second in four of six and has been able to get over the hump. Maybe today is the day. LIBERALISM was on the board in all three starts, will be a front-end factor and could stay. A MELIS has trained very well for her first start and likely will get a fair share of support. ANNA FANTASTIC has several good works and is ready to make her debut. Could surprise.

Here’s the suggested late Pick 4 at Santa Anita Sunday:
6) #2 Sash, #5 Swamp Souffle, #6 Julius.
7) #1 Red Diamond, #3 Predictable Tully, #5 Moreavino, #9 Miss Alegria.
8) #1 Flagstaff, #5 McKinzie.
9) #1 Approved for Flyby, #6 Lovely Finish, #8 Liberalism, #9 A Melis, #10 Anna Fantastic.
50-cent Pick 4: 2-5-6 with 1-3-5-9 with 1-5 with 1-6-8-9-10 ($60).
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Paul Leiner

Belmont Park Picks 6/7

Sun Jun 07, 2020 6:19 am
Here is three races from Belmont. Enjoy the day.

Race 1
#5 Appletini $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 5-1-7

Race 5
#7 Pacific Jazz $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 7-2-4

Race 9
#14 Therapist $10 w/p/s
$2 exacta box 14-2-1
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Al Cimaglia: Hawthorne Racecourse Late Pick 4 Analysis

June 7, 2020 | By Al Cimaglia

The horsemen at Hawthorne Racecourse have been anxiously awaiting a Sunday night of racing since the middle of March. Tonight's 13-race card has a 0.50 Late Pick 4 slated to begin in Race 10 and it will be my focus. The sequence has a $25,000 guaranteed pool.

The driver with the hottest hands on Saturday was Bobby Smolin with three trips to the winner's circle. The leading trainer was Ronnie Roberts with two wins.

Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

Race 10

3-Swans Mission (12-1)-Even qualifier at HoP but did race the back half in 57.4 and should be forwardly placed with this post draw.
5-I Thank You (5-1)Had a breaking problem in the past but qualified without any issue. Leonard can keep her in the hunt early, could get sucked around and roll by late.
8-Stella Kemp (5-1)-Had a pair of qualifiers at HoP and might be ready for a big try off the bench. Trixton filly is 0-9 but has faced some tough competition. Fits much better with this group and should offer a square price.

Race 11

2-Lookintomyeyes (3-1)-Qualified at ScD and also had a nice start on 5/27. Has been in the hunt in 5 of 6 races in 2020. Does have a win and a third-place finish at Haw in two starts. Will look for a big try off the recent effort.
3-Slow Your Roll (4-1)-Qualified in 56.4 at Nfld after winning back on 3/8 at Haw. Steps-up but still fits with this crew and has done well in 2 Haw starts.
6-Spicy Lil Hope (6-1)-Comes off an even qualifier and is 0-7. But Husted seems to put this 3-year-old filly in play and will take a swing for a square price.

Race 12

1-Dandy Dude (10-1)-Finished off the qualifier in fine fashion and has hit the board in 13 of 19 Haw starts. Drawing the rail helps and has the gate speed to be on or near the lead throughout at nice odds.
6-Western Vinny (3-1)-Comes off a solid qualifier and will likely be sent out to gain an up-close seat. Should be in the mix throughout and will be trying to take its third picture in 22 starts.
7-Lakeside Buddy (4-1)-Qualified at Haw with Leonard on 6/1 and has 2-second place finishes in 4 Haw starts. Leonard is a different set of hands, maybe he will squeeze a little more juice out of this 4-year-old and snag 3rd career win.

Race 13

2-Beachmaster Two (2-1)-3-year-old maiden is 0-11 but had 2 qualifiers at HoP and did face stakes level competition last year. Oosting has steered before and he has options from this post.
10-Rollinwithdesire (8-1)-Team Seekman trainee tuned up at HoP with a good qualifier. Has some speed and went the 2nd half in .57 on 5/30. There are a few who could blast out and if pace is hot chances for success go up at a price.

0.50 Pick 4

3,5,8/2,3,6/1,6,7/2,10
Total Bet=$27
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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Belmont Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#4 Party in the Sane Price player didn't like the 1m last time but has some solid sprint form to fall back on, meets an extremely weak crew, and lures top finishing rider Rosario; mows them down late.
#1 Lookbothways Class dropper makes sense on that angle alone, and her figures are as good as the rest, though taking 7-2 or so from this draw, with no margin for error, seems dicey; second-best.
#2 Overtime Olivia Logical sort has lost her speed a bit of late, so maybe the blinkers will pick her back up, and if she clears and runs her best, the rest would be in real trouble; could forget to stop.
Race Summary The price will be right on the 4, and with such a modest group opposing her 5-1 or so seems very fair, especially with the monumental jock upgrade, so play her in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, as this is a deep field, and getting home a $12 third or fourth-choice winner would think the live tickets out quite a bit.

Belmont Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#8 Ever Dangerous Stalker impressed romping by 4 on debut at GP then found stakes waters a bit too tough last time, but he's back with friends here, drew perfectly, and would be a huge overlay if he's anywhere near this 6-1 ML; look out.
#6 Get Smokin Expected favorite has the speed to lead these and exits a quartet of stakes runs, and was n the money in the last three of them, so if he does get loose and slow it down, they won't ever see him again; figures to be a real handful.
#4 Talako Rousing MSW winner did so in fast time from far back into a slow pace on debut, though it came at Tampa, at 22-1 too, so it seems a bit fluky, not to mention he's impossible to take if he's near this 2-1 ML; making him prove it.
Race Summary That 6-1 ML on the pick can't possibly happen, as he's as fast on paper as anyone here and drops out of a stakes, but even 4-1 would be fair and worth an aggressive win and place bet, and you'll get some added value by using him in the early Pk5, and to kick off the early Pk4 as well, since that debut win was a beauty, and there's no reason he can't better it on the drop off a better-than-it-looked stakes run last time.

Belmont Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#9 Point Him Out Debut winner did so at Tampa against open foes, so this rise in class to face winners isn't quite as drastic, as these are NYBs, and Stidham is as good as they get, and patient too, so the gut says there's a lot more than meets the eye here; upset special.
#8 Graded On a Curve The obvious horse to beat will be bet hard for Brown and Irad, who is white-hot to start the meet, and he's clearly best on paper too, but at 6-1-2-2 there's no upside here, and a penchant for settling for a secondary award as well; trying to beat at false odds.
#2 Jack the Cat Stretch runner is another who comes in from Tampa, with some solid form against winners on display too, but his lack of positional speed is a big worry, especially in a full field where working out a trip won't be that easy; limiting his use to underneath only.
Race Summary The risk-reward will be there on the 9, as 5-1 or so is the right price to find out if he can handle the class rise, so play him in all the slots, and especially to late Pk5, and to kick off the late Pk4 as well, since he'll offer value into the teeth of the 8, who will likely be singled on the budget tickets, even though he's having trouble finding the path to the winner's circle.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Woodbine - Race #4
Picks Notes
#9 More Chances Cuts back off the fading effort going long at GP, but the past sprint efforts are solid enough to suggest that this trip might be enough to get him home.
#4 Have a Souper Day Looks like a player on paper, but he always takes cash and somehow finds a way to come up short. Not for me unless he is offering a significantly better number than he has in the past.
#7 Casanova Kitten Solid debut last year stamps him as one with a bit of talent, but this is a sharper trip than he saw in that main-track route, so tread lightly if the price gets short.
Race Summary More Chances has some cutback appeal in this spot with some back sprint runs locally that suggest the trip is within his scope on the lawn.

Woodbine - Race #6
Picks Notes
#9 Four Aces High Has been in with better in a trio of turf starts so far, and perhaps the blinkers coming off gives him enough to get over the top here.
#4 Born to Be King He was knocking on the door late last year, and though he's heading the right way, the question is whether to take a short price off the bench.
#11 Better Boogie Another who was just missing with similar company last year, and his tactical speed should serve him well from this wide draw.
Race Summary Four Aces High can be tough here if the form transfers to the main track, and if he can bounce back off a dull run to close his 2019 campaign, he's right there again.

Woodbine - Race #8
Picks Notes
#10 Grom Worth a swing at a big number, as he owns some back races that at least keep him in the hunt here. He'll need everything to go his way, but at something like maybe 30-1, that's a chance I'm willing to take.
#6 Trappeze Artist Tactical player looks legit, but he also tends to come up wanting a bit late in the lane, so he could be vulnerable again at an underlaid price
#8 Stormfuhr Hit or miss form is a bit of an issue, but he should be in line for a really good trip with these and might offer the right kind of mid-range price.
Race Summary Grom will be a big number here and is worth a flyer. He can fall into a really nice tracking trip and has fired big shots off the bench in the past.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #5
Picks Notes
#1 Dancingwithjimmieb Trejos picked up the mount last time and this filly responded with an easy maiden win; is back to turf, where she was 2nd two back and can be a strong factor.
#2 Madame Barrister Has been in with stronger company and was 4th two back; can be effective at this level.
#8 Cookie Cove Was an easy turf winner last out and is fast enough to gain good position; fits well.
Race Summary Dancingwithjimmieb won a race that came off the turf last time, but her grass races are good enough to make her a player form the start.

Gulfstream Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#3 Ain't Wasting Time Was away poorly last in his 1st off the claim for the Medina barn and he'll like get a better trip; has been in much tougher races and that should help him here.
#1 Valid Quest Was sharp in his last three and has enough speed to keep good inside position; Maker barn continues to do well.
#2 First Rate Was in the mix from the beginning and was a daylight winner last out; should be tough in his 1st vs. winners.
Race Summary Ain't Wasting Time can get a better break today, has a good chance to carve out a good trip just behind the speed and can rally past the leaders in the drive.

Gulfstream Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#3 Olympic Games Was competitive in France and Italy and is in a good spot for her 1st U.S. attempt; Clement-trained filly has two months worth of works and looks ready to roll.
#6 Always Shopping Won the G2 Gazelle last sprint and weakened to 3rd in in her 1st in 11 months; likely to improve in her return.
#12 Traipsing Has won two straight and came off a 1.5-year layoff for an allowance win; uncoupled stablemate of top choice can make a late run.
Race Summary Olympic Games is a classy filly with a European background and this is not the toughest spot for her welcome into American racing.
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