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Jeff Siegel's Gulfstream Park Wagering Strategies - 4/16/20

April 16, 2020

Jeff Siegel’s Daily Analysis & Wagering Strategies
Gulfstream Park
Thursday, April 16, 2020
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Specifically designed for the rolling exotic player, Jeff Siegel’s “Daily Analysis and Wagering Strategies” isolates those horses that should be included in daily doubles, pick-3s, pick-4s, pick-5s, and the pick-6.
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It is recommended that Jeff’s selections be used to augment the reader’s own personal handicapping, though excellent results can be achieved by applying the rolling exotic strategy specified by Jeff’s analysis. Jeff’s recommended plays are intended for players with a moderate budget; however, readers are encouraged to adjust Jeff’s wagering strategy to fit their preferred investment level.
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Grade A=Highest degree of confidence.
Grade B=Solid Play.
Grade C=Least preferred, or pass.
Grade X=probable winner but odds are not likely to offer wagering value.
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The selections are available every racing day after morning scratches. For updates, please follow us on twitter @jsiegelracing.
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RACE 1: Post 1:00 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 1-Aerodynamtic; 4-Just Sayin; 5-Strella’s War; 6-She Fled the Scene

Forecast: The Thursday opener is a contentious restricted (nw-2) $20,000 middle distance turf claimer for fillies and mares. We can see any one of four winning it, so we’ll spread in our rolling exotics but otherwise pass the race. Just Sayin seems as good as any and is listed at 6-1 on the morning line, so due to price considerations we’ll put her slightly on top. Raised a notch after missing by a head when rallying against the race flow last month (and earning a career top speed figure in doing so), the daughter of Big Drama picks up T. Gaffalione (who apparently jumped off She Fled the Scene to ride her) and should be within striking range throughout with every chance to produce a winning late kick. But here’s the rub: she’s been a beaten favorite in each of her last four starts, although she at least did manage to hit the board in all of those races. Let’s just say she’s overdue. She Fled the Scene always has preferred to run second or third rather than win but she’s a very strong fit based on speed figures and is dropping to her lowest level ever. She’s another that projects to enjoy a good second-flight trip and then have dead aim with it counts. Aerodynamic handled a maiden $16,000 claiming field with authority last month while earning a competitive number and was promptly claimed by A. Sanchez off T. Pletcher. The daughter of Verrazano tackles a tougher crew on the raise but gets the rail and blinkers and should be pressing or stalking the pace throughout. Strella’s War ran well in a similar spot last month when third, beaten a length, and today switches to L. Saez. Her recent numbers are below her best but with her top effort she can be dangerous, so we’ll toss her in.
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RACE 2: Post 1:34 ET. Grade: C
Use: 2-Lime; 8-Quinoa Tifah

Forecast: The first maiden 2-year-old race of the season brings out - predictably enough - a W. Ward-trained fast-working filly. Lime (7/5) has been honed to win right now for a barn that excels in these kinds of races and the daughter of the nondescript Medaglia d’Oro stallion Iqbaal sports a bullet three furlong grass drill in :34.3 that catches the eye on paper but really wasn’t all that great, as she actually was second best of a team. See, here’s the thing: she’s not a top filly by any means, but she certainly won’t have to be one to beat this field. Arindel has two home-bred runners in the field, the better of the two most likely being Quinoa Tifah, who has recorded a series of good times leading up to the race. The daughter of Gemologist probably has some ability and should be more than fit, but the J. Alvarado barn is currently working on a 21-race losing streak (according to the DRF stats) with debut runners. We’ll double the race in our rolling exotics in a race that might be best left alone.
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RACE 3: Post 2:07 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Weekend Dreamer; 9-Violent Fight

Forecast: We’ll double the third race, a maiden claiming grass sprint restricted to 3-year-olds. Weekend Dreamer improved a ton in his first try on grass (and just his third overall) when leading until the final strides of a similar maiden $25,000 grass dash for 3-year-olds, only to get nailed on the money by a flying deep-closer. The Candy Ride gelding had displayed some zip but no stick in two previous outings on dirt, so it looks like he’s found his niche as a turf sprinter. However – and this why he’s a very cautious top pick - the field finished in a heap in his last race and he did enjoy a pristine front-running trip, so it’s entirely possible that the raw form flatters him somewhat. Also, his low percentage connections don’t inspire confidence. Violent Fight returns in 14 days after being out-footed in a quick race over the course when facing a considerably tougher maiden $50,000 field. We’re going to assume the M. Casse-trained colt will improve considerably with that effort behind him combined with a class drop and the presence of T. Gaffalione, who rides him back for a barn that has solid stats with second-timers. Neither one of these can be backed with confidence, so feel free to spread deeper if your budget allows.
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RACE 4: Post 2:39 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-Probably Grace; 9-Take Charge Again; 10-Luxe Diamond

Forecast: Luxe Diamond earned a very strong speed figure when blitzing a maiden $12,500 field here last month and today shows up in a restricted (nw-2) $6,250 sprint for fillies and mares, not exactly a sign of confidence from a low percentage outfit currently on a 35-race losings streak dating back to this same filly’s win in early March. She is drawn comfortably and gets a break in the weights with the switch to bug boy C. A. Torres, so if the daughter of Fort Larned can somehow manage to turn in two alike she can score right back. Probably Grace isn’t particularly fast on numbers but she sure has been popular at the claim box for whatever reason, having been haltered in her last three starts, most recently for $12,500 by L. Rivelli. In her first off the claim for a barn that has superior stats with this angle, she shows up for $6,250 and switches to one of the barn’s go-to riders, V. Lebron, so maybe she can snap back to the form that saw her win her debut by six lengths last November at Hawthorne in what was a fast race for the level (and apparently the reason why she keeps getting claimed). Take Charge Again has been disappointing in her last pair so she’s another dropping to the bottom trying to find her current winning level. The J. Cibelli-trained daughter of Take Charge Indy has a few back speed figures that are better than par for this level and has a prior win over this track and distance so we’ll toss her in as well.
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RACE 5: Post 3:11 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 5-Wicked Mercury; 11-Summer in the City

Forecast: Wicked Mercury may be the most reliable in this one mile maiden claiming turf miler after finishing a reasonable third over this course and distance last month and appears to have found her friends today at the $50,000 level. Her numbers are solid for the level, so if nothing else in here improves dramatically the J. Cibelli-trained daughter of Wicked Strong could be set to graduate. Summer in the City wasn’t terrible in her debut sprinting on turf vs. much stronger straight maiden rivals last month and should go much better stretching out and dropping in class today for T. Pletcher (solid numbers with second-timers). She retains L. Saez and projects to be forwardly placed throughout and have every chance. We’ll try to survive and advance using just these two in a race in which nothing, really, would surprise us.
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RACE 6: Post 3:43 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 1-Rhythm With Soul; 6-Lookin At Roses

Forecast: This restricted (nw-2) $30,000 claiming turf miler is absolutely loaded with front-speed types, so the natural inclination is to isolate those that figure to benefit the most from the projected race-shape. Lookin At Roses has the proper deep-closing style that is likely to be promoted, and the improving son of Lookin At Lucky, from a solid outfit with rising speed figures and a two good races over the course, fits the bill. Rhythm With Soul is intriguing as well. Away since finishing unplaced in the Pilgrim S.-G3 at Belmont Park in the fall of his 2-year-old season, the son of Munnings won his debut at Saratoga so we know he can fire fresh and is realistically spotted by a barn that does well with layoff runners. He’s also a first-time gelding and will race with blinkers, so there are a few reason to believe he’s live and well-meant. Both should be included in rolling exotic play.
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RACE 7: Post 4:15 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 3-January Won; 7-Genghis; 8-Dizzy Sight

Forecast: January Won is one of several big class droppers in this restricted (nw-2) $25,000 claiming one-turn miler in what appears to be a fire sale for once-promising 3-year-olds from major outfits. The son of New Year’s Day was a first-out maiden winner like a nice prospect at Saratoga last summer and then was tried in pair of graded stakes races (he was overmatched and non-competitive in both), including the Breeders’ Futurity-G1 at Keeneland last fall. The K. McPeek-trained colt returns cheap, but shows a series of decent recent workouts, most of which occurred at the stable’s off-site training center (Summerfield, in Ocala). His win in his racing debut tells us he’s capable of firing fresh. Genghis is another surfacing in a seller for the first time and has a prior win over this track, so we’re expecting the Florida-bred colt to display improvement after exhibiting enough ability to be stakes-placed in listed company last November. The son of Brethren switches to E. Zayas and should make his presence felt from off the pace. Dizzy Sight, freshened since early January and switching to a low profile outfit, shows a healthy recent work tab at Palm Beach Downs and is another dropping in for a tag for the first time. He’s got the kind of early speed to make him a strong early factor at the very least and he could stick around for a while if the early fractions are moderate, as is projected.
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RACE 8: Post 4:46 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 2-Hero Up; 8-Drama Dixie

Forecast: This is a fairly yucky $12,500 claiming miler restricted to 3-year-olds. We’ll use two in a race that probably is best ignored. Drama in Dixie plummets in class for owner/trainer D. Fawkes and should improve as a first-time gelding against this soft bunch. Away for six weeks but with a healthy recent work pattern, the son of Big Drama ran well for T. Gaffalione two races back when second in a $30,000 seller, and a repeat of that performance today should be good enough. That said, he’s eight of eight on the draw (not ideal) and his sole victory came via disqualification, so at 5/2 on the morning line there’s not too much value to be found. Hero Up just graduated from a weak group over this course and distance with a career-top speed figure and is realistically spotted right back with bug Boy A. Burgos staying aboard. He’s clearly a need-the-lead type and from his low draw seems certain to employ gate-to-wire tactics again. These are the two we’ll be including in rolling exotic play but not with any great deal of enthusiasm.
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RACE 9: Post 4:23 ET. Grade: B
Use: 1-Cajun Brother; 6-R Mercedes Boy; 9-Just Kidding

Forecast: Just Kidding, a solid runner-up at this level in his last two outings, should fire a similar shot today and always must be respected because of his ability to win on the lead or from a stalking/pressing position. The veteran gelding is reunited with L. Saez and his affection for the Gulfstream Park main track (first or second in seven of 12 starts) makes him the slight pick on top in a competitive affair with a several possibilities. R Mercedes Boy, freshened since December, shows a strong series of drills for G. Baxter (superior stats with layoff runners) and on numbers fits very well with this group, assuming he returns as well as he left. A three-time winner from just eight career starts, the son of Overdriven remains eligible for this first-level allowance Florida-bred sprint because all three of his victories were earned when facing claiming company. Cajun Brother outran his moderate workouts when winning his debut in open company at a huge price last month and today tackles state-bred foes while moving into the first condition. From the rail he has only one way to go – on the lead, gate to wire – and with a recent bullet three-furlong breeze (:35 1/5, fastest of eight) the M. Yates-trained gelding could bet set for a forward move. He won’t be 36-1 today. We’ll prefer Just Kidding on top but include all three in our rolling exotics.
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RACE 10: Post 5:38 ET. Grade: C+
Use: 4-Quarky; 8-Celebration; 9-Captain Ron; 10-Long Blade

Forecast: This is a deep, difficult turf sprint for entry-level allowance older runners that likely will produce intense early speed and a race flow that might favor the stalkers or the deep closers. Spread as deeply as you can. Captain Ron is quick enough to be on the lead but proved two runs back that he can stalk and pounce if the situation dictates. A three-time winner over the local lawn and a former $10,000 claimer, the veteran son of Speightstown exits a tougher grass dash last month and should appreciate this one-level class drop. He’s one of several that are capable of winning. Quarky was fairly fast on speed figures as a 3-year-old and returns in a logical spot for a low profile but competent outfit while being reunited with regular pilot L. Saez. His work tab at Tampa Bay Downs is short and sweet and other than his debut (he finished a distant second in maiden $25,000 sprint on dirt) he’s never raced off a layoff, so we’re not quite sure what we’re going to get. But we have to use him. Celebration has several speed figures in his chart that are better than par for this level but he’s another that has never really run well unless he’s on the front end. It’s difficult to envision the veteran English-bred gelding getting his kind of trip but if he does the English-bred gelding certainly will be capable of outrunning his morning line of 8-1, so at that price he’s worth including. Long Blade, cheaper on paper than most of these but much improved of late, has won his last four but against claiming and starter’s allowance company. He can stalk and win and his numbers are rising, so at 10-1 on the morning line he’s another price chance that you probably should consider.
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RACE 11: Post 5:24 ET. Grade: B-
Use: 6-Very Amusing; 7-French Quarter

Forecast: Bottom-rung ($6,250) older horses sprint five and one-half furlongs in the Thursday nightcap. French Quarter is a thoroughly genuine and consistent nine-year-old gelding and seems likely to fire another big shot after just winning an $8,000 seller over this track last month. Victorious 13 times during his long career, seven of which have been accomplished over the Gulfstream Park main track, the son of Speightstown does his best work as a stalker/pouncer, though he’s probably a bit more comfortable at trips farther than five and one-half furlongs. Very Amusing crushed a restricted (nw-3) $8,000 field three weeks ago with a career top speed figure and will be tough if he can do the same against this cheaper but considerably tougher open field. He’s another that does his best rallying from the second flight and picks up E. Zayas, who replaces P. Lopez who opted for French Quarter at entry time but will not ride for a few weeks due to an injury.
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Brian Nadeau's Daily Picks

Gulfstream Park - Race #1
Picks Notes
#1 Aerodynamic Recent MCL winner was claimed away from Pletcher by Sanchez, so there's no doubt regression could come today, and facing winners is never easy, but this post is perfect, there's tons of upside off just three starts, and with just a 13-1-6-2 favorite to deal with, there's no reason this miss can't be a factor; doubles up.
#6 She Fled the Scene Aforementioned favorite is clearly the gal to beat off her last two, which were against better and brought about the best figures here, but again, she's no win machine, and loves settling for scraps, not to mention she has no upside after all those starts, so if the pick does improve, she's going to be vulnerable; second-best.
#5 Stella's War Logical sort actually beat the chalk the last time she ran, but the former has since run twice and really elevated her game, which would have this filly looking up, and she's another who, with a 12-1-3-2 record, has shown she's more interested in running underneath than on top, yet she'll be an underlay here too; tread lightly.
Race Summary The risk-reward will be there on the 1, at 7-2 or so seems a fair price to take on the class rise, since this is a group there for the taking, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially to kick off the early Pk5 as well, since she's likely going to be the third-choice in the wagering, which means a win over the 5 and 6 would knock a lot of tickets out right off the bat.

Gulfstream Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#4 Varsovia Rousing MCL winner rises in class but sure looked good winning for fun last time, catches a group with plenty of speed to aid her stalking style, and meets no world beaters; look out.
#10 Luxe Diamond Fellow MCL winner did it more impressively than the pick, as she won off by almost 10, and this outside attack post will help, but the other speed might sap her late; still, plenty scary.
#1 Incredible Miss Turf runner will now make her first start for DeVaux on the dirt, and she has some back dirt form that makes her a player here, though the rail clouds things a bit; still, worth a look.
Race Summary You're not seeing the 10-1 ML on the pick, but even 6-1 or so looks fair on a miss who enters off a breakthrough win and catches the right kind of group to make a dent into right back, so give her a look in all the slots, and especially the early Pk5/Pk4, as she could fall through the wagering cracks, which means a win would go a long way in spicing up both sequences.

Gulfstream Park - Race #6
Picks Notes
#5 Bourbon Currency The deserving chalk has been facing better of late while sprinting but has some very solid prior route form, catches a group loaded with speed, and has the right kind of stalking/closing style to take advantage; love his chances here.
#6 Lookin At Roses Heavy hitter hasn't lost a beat in two starts since begin claimed away from Gargan by Preciado, is another who can settle back off the speed and make a late run, and could offer a hint of value as well; looms the main danger.
#1 Rhythm With Soul Price player is the 'mate to the pick and may need this, as he hasn't been out since 9/18, when he didn't fire in a GIII 2yo stakes, so something went amiss, but Kimmel is sharp, and this dude is all grown up now; worth a look.
Race Summary We kick off the big Rainbow 6 carryover with a seemingly open race, at least in terms of the ML, but the 5 looks like he gets all the best of it, and he's the best horse to begin with, which only furthers his credentials, so play him aggressively to win and place, while getting some added value by singling him to kick off the sequence, as that's not a move the betting public likes to endorse in the opening leg of a sequence, so not only will it allow for more coverage in the deeper upcoming legs, but it will also add some value to what looks like a potentially stiff favorite as well.
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Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks

Oaklawn Park - Race #4
Picks Notes
#5 Zanesville The recent races aren't much to look at, and he may never be getting back to something near his best, but this is the first time he has been in this 'easy' even though this is far from a soft spot for the level. The expected price on a capable barn will make it worth the risk on the drop.
#9 Take Charge d'Oro Think there are some reasons to hope for better with this guy today after failing to do much in a couple of Broberg starts, but the barn has been ice cold all meet long, so I'd want something better than the 6/1 ML price.
#1 Laddie Boy Looks like the one to beat, but like 'd'Oro' he's going for the same cold Hartman barn, and this is too competitive a race to take an underlaid price on anyone, let alone a runner out of a 3-for-60 barn.
Race Summary Zanesville gets the price call in a race where the unusually icy Hartman barn brings a pair of solid shooters. Zanesville has never been a star, but he has also never come close to racing in a spot like this, so there is at least some hope he wakes up enough to get in the frame at a price.

Oaklawn Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#8 Curlin Grey Might get just a bit overlooked in this spot with three or four other capable players, and he's probably got enough tactical speed to find a good spot in the early stages.
#2 Frost or Frippery Just handled some of these in a really good effort, and he has had enough time to recover from that huge effort to have a real chance to run back to it here.
#12 Carlos Sixes Would have given this guy top call if he had drawn a few stalls further inside, as he's got the positional pace to work out a great trip from right up on the split -- the worry is that he's going to have to work too hard to get into that spot from this wide draw.
Race Summary Curlin Grey will get a bit of a class test in this spot, and he has been beaten in short fields in both of his last two starts, but the price figures playable and he might fall into the right trip just behind the pressing and spying types.

Oaklawn Park - Race #8
Picks Notes
#6 Seeds of Time Nothing wrong with the way this guy has climbed the class ladder in recent starts, and it means something when Tom Amoss goes right back in on a horse that was just claimed away from him. That was evident in the good runner-up finish in restricted stakes company at Delta last out, and he's a fine fit here. 20/1 ML offering would be more than fair.
#5 Letruska Can't wait to see what this filly is made of in a spot like this. She's 7-for-7 lifetime on the dirt with 44 3/4 lengths of victory margins in those wins. Toss the turf clunker and let's see how she stacks up in a legit allowance spot after drilling highly restricted types at Gulfstream.
#12 Calf Moon Bay She's not really a likely winner in here, but I'm a little bit interested in the fact that she's *still* not in for a tag after the last two races and comes right back in the same kind of spot. Suppose there is a case to be made for protecting her as a GSP broodmare, but she gets blinkers on and brings a couple of intriguing works with her. Underneath?
Race Summary Seeds of Time is offered at 20/1 on the morning line, and though she's meeting some classy types, she's doing so while in really good form for a barn that clearly has a lot of confidence in her right now.
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Jerry Shottenkirk's Daily Picks

Remington Park - Race #2
Picks Notes
#1 Ron Stone Cowboy Was 3rd from the No. 4 post last time and moves to the rail here; has enough speed to stay in touch and can benefit from taking the shortest route home.
#2 Holy Storm Like the top choice, he gets a much better post, having left from the No. 6 last out; can get to the front and will be dangerous throughout.
#3 Celee Chico Has a good chance to vie for the lead and was an easy winner in his 1st of the year; capable of another big effort.
Race Summary Ron Stone Cowboy can stalk a pair of frontrunners and has the kick to succeed. Will be tough with a ground-saving run.

Remington Park - Race #7
Picks Notes
#7 A Fancy Fearless Pyc Was a non-threatening 3rd at this level, keeps Flores aboard and continued improvement can get him to the winner's circle.
#6 Smoke Em All Sis Lost all chance when she bumped an opponent at the start; her best might be good enough at this level.
#9 Rockets Return Was competitive in allowance races last year and opened the year with a drop in class; capable of a big effort vs. these.
Race Summary A Fancy Fearless Pyc improved in his latest and runs back in a spot in which he should excel; troublesome late.

Remington Park - Race #9
Picks Notes
#3 Whooz Your Daddy Drops in class from a 6th-place finish, needed that start and can get back to winning ways; at his lowest level.
#1 Fast N Furious 123 Has been on the board in 14 of 21 starts; his last win came in Colorado last year and he's been in some decent allowance races.
#2 Ajax Won vs. N2L rivals two back and has a good work for his credit; would not be a big surprise at this level.
Race Summary Whooz Your Daddy has been with much better than these and can recover from an off-the-board finish last time; has the class to prevail.
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE

04/16/20, GP, Race 7, 4.15 ET
04/16/20,GP,7,1M [Dirt] 1:33:01 CLAIMING. Purse $22,000 (includes up to $3,000 FHBPA-FOA - FHBPA Florida Owners Awards). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. Three Year Olds, 120 lbs.; Older, 127 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race At A Mile Or Over Since March 16 Allowed 2 lbs. Claiming Price $25,000 (Races Where Entered For $16,000 Or Less Not ConsideredIn Allowances).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 9 Khozy My Boy 15-1 Saez L Iwinski Allen JT 36.63 1.40/$1
096.99 6 Big Hambone 10-1 Gaffalione T Walsh Brendan P. FL 28.61 1.22/$1
096.58 3 January Won 3-1 Lopez P McPeek Kenneth G. EC 36.63 1.40/$1
093.95 2 Holy Muchacho 7/2 Davis D McPeek Kenneth G. 36.63 1.40/$1
093.94 4 Neverstopdreaming 8-1 Jaramillo E De La Cerda Armando 36.63 1.40/$1
093.89 7 Genghis 8-1 Zayas E J Alvarado Juan 36.63 1.40/$1
093.11 8 Dizzy Sight 9/2 Vasquez M A Swick Don S 28.61 1.22/$1
092.72 1 K W Captain Hook 12-1 Lebron V Tomlinson Michael A. 36.63 1.40/$1
091.63 10 Awesome Party 8-1 Torres C A Pletcher Todd A. W 36.63 1.40/$1
089.68 5 Chinomado 15-1 Reyes L Sanchez Amador Merei 28.61 1.22/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 34.64, ROI 1.26/$1
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Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE

04/16/20, OP, Race 4, 2.35 CT
04/16/20,OP,4,1 1/16M [Dirt] 1:40:01 CLAIMING. Purse $20,000. FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. Weight, 124 lbs. Non-winners Of A Race Since February 16, 2020 Allowed 3 lbs. A Race Since January 16, 2020 Allowed 6 lbs. Claiming Price $16,000 (Races Where Entered For $10,000 Or Less Not Considered In Allowances).
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Best in race Flags - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
After scratches, a horse P# must be the top rated horse for the WPC and ROI to be valid.
Rating P# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer Flags WPC ROI *
100.00 2 Driven to Compete 7/2 Garcia M Contreras Cipriano JSEL 60.00 2.16/$1
099.34 1 Laddie Boy 3-1 Elliott S Hartman Chris A. F 26.15 0.78/$1
099.05 7 Five Star Kip 8-1 Mojica O Broberg Karl C 55.00 1.78/$1
097.84 5 Zanesville 10-1 Talamo J Amoss Thomas M. T 26.15 0.78/$1
096.44 6 All About Ashley 5-1 Hill C Hawley Wesley E. 26.15 0.78/$1
096.34 9 Take Charge d'Oro 6-1 De La Cruz W Hartman Chris A. 31.03 1.01/$1
095.92 10 Tashkent 10-1 Santana. Jr. R Prather. Jr. John Henr 26.15 0.78/$1
095.71 4 On Patrol 8-1 Baze T Vance Thomas D. W 26.15 0.78/$1
093.19 3 Hannity 15-1 Roberts C Haran John 26.15 0.78/$1
092.69 8 He Will 15-1 Felix J E Hollendorfer Jerry 26.15 0.78/$1
* Top rated horse with "Dirt Surface Not fst/wf" - WPC 28.71, ROI 0.92/$1
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - SO - 9.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 97

FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN 2019 - 2020 OR CLAIMING PRICE $16,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 16, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 16, 2019 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 CHARLIE'SARCHANGEL 3/1

# 2 FROST OR FRIPPERY 7/2

# 11 RED AGAIN 10/1

CHARLIE'SARCHANGEL looks strong to best this field. Has been right there on the wire most every time lately. Is worth careful consideration and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (91 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Lately Talamo has been hot which may give the edge to this colt. FROST OR FRIPPERY - Looks very strong against this group of horses and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. Could beat this field given the 92 Equibase Speed Fig garnered in his last outing.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park
PURCHASE
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Claiming - 350y on the Dirt. Purse: $10100 Class Rating: 86

QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 WHOOZ YOUR DADDY 5/2

# 7 AMERICAN TEMPTATION 10/1

# 1 FAST N FURIOUS 123 5/1

My pick for this event is WHOOZ YOUR DADDY. Overall the speed figures of this animal look respectable in this competition. Going in a short race gives this gelding a strong shot. Could beat this field given the 74 speed figure recorded in his last outing. AMERICAN TEMPTATION - With Alvarez controlling the reins on him, this gelding will probably be able to break out early for this event. Must be given a shot - I like the figures from the last race. FAST N FURIOUS 123 - His chances to score are much better this time around facing this less demanding bunch. The average class figure alone makes this entrant a key contender.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
PURCHASE

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #7 - Post: 4:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $22,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 BIG HAMBONE (ML=10/1)
#7 GENGHIS (ML=8/1)
#2 HOLY MUCHACHO (ML=7/2)
#4 NEVERSTOPDREAMING (ML=8/1)

BIG HAMBONE - Utilizing this rider/handler combination is a good choice. Faced tougher in the last race at Gulfstream Park. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker group, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of probable winners in this race. This gelding is in superb form right now. Finished third last out and comes back rapidly. GENGHIS - Ran last time out against a better field at Gulfstream Park. The move down in class ranks should suit him well. HOLY MUCHACHO - This colt is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of McPeek. The recent bullet 47.6 work should put this colt on track for today's outing. Came home fast last out at Gulfstream Park. That type of move bodes well for his chances today. NEVERSTOPDREAMING - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your betting money onto this jockey/trainer combination.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JANUARY WON (ML=3/1), #8 DIZZY SIGHT (ML=9/2), #10 AWESOME PARTY (ML=8/1),

JANUARY WON - This steed hasn't been near the victor at the finish line recently. Be concerned about this 3 year old versus the older ones. Will do better with more racing experience. Won't be easy for this mount to beat this bunch off of that last rating. Not probable to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's Equibase class figure, so put him on the likely underpriced contenders list. DIZZY SIGHT - Hasn't been doing anything at all recently. AWESOME PARTY - Be apprehensive of this 3 year old versus the veterans. Will do better with more experience. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to earn a better speed rating than in the last race to vie in this dirt route.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #6 BIG HAMBONE to win if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,6,7] with [2,6,7] with [2,4,6,7,9] with [2,4,6,7,9] Total Cost: $36

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass
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Paul Leiner

Horse Picks 4/16

Thu Apr 16, 2020 7:44 am
Got two races for you today from Gulfstream Park. Yesterday Federale won but Devils Rule ran out of gas. Stay safe and goodluck.

Race 1
#3 Catsoutofthebag $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 3-1-5

Race 9
#6 Mercedes Boy $10 win/place/show
$2 exacta box 6-9-5
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