Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 4/24/20
Horse Races Today: Friday's Gulfstream Park Analysis & Odds
April 24, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
With just a handful of tracks still in action we got some good news the past couple of days about two of those racetracks extending their meetings.
Fonner Park, a minor track located in Nebraska received approval for 12 additional race dates which will extend racing at the track until May 31. The track is running from Monday to Wednesday each week.
Tampa Bay Downs announced yesterday that they received permission to extend their meeting until May 30.
We could see a few tracks open in May, including Santa Anita. The Stronach Group is in discussions with the Los Angeles County Health Department and County Supervisor Kathryn Barger.
I am anxious to see racing in New York return, but it seems likely June might be the earliest. Saratoga is scheduled to start in July.
In the meantime I’ll stick mainly with Gulfstream Park, which has benefited from most tracks being closed. The field sizes continue to be strong, and it is the same at Oaklawn Park and Tampa Bay Downs which has seen field size increase.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
Gulfstream Park Race 1 Analysis - 4/24
GP Race 1 Md $16,000 (1:00 ET)
#9 First in Line 9-2
#8 Florida Express 12-1
#6 Sultannes Crown 8-1
#2 Plan of Attack 6-1
Analysis: First in Line had to steady while caught in tight in between foes shortly after the break, stalked the early pace and made a mild late bid to finish fourth last out in his second career start. The gelding was seventh in his debut against $50,000 foes. He has a decent enough turf pedigree, by Uncle Mo out of a War Front mare, her first foal to race. He is in good hands with the Weaver barn and Saez sticks. A better start makes him a player in this spot.
Florida Express makes his local debut after three trips at Tampa Bay Downs. Last out he made a mild late run to finish fourth. The runner up Danceronthebeach came back to graduate in his next outing on April 11 against $32,000 foes. The Manning trainee drops into a softer spot here. He is out of a stakes placed Kafwain mare that has dropped two winners including one turf winner.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
Gulfstream Park Featured Race of the Day - 4/24
GP Race 8 OClm $75,000N1X (4:46 ET)
#5 Skye Snow 6-1
#2 Secret Stash 9-2
#7 Apogee 10-1
#3 Eve of War 9-5
Analysis: Skye Snow was a good looking maiden winner last out in her second career start on turf and third overall. She made a good late rally to get up and win by 3/4 of a length, rallying into a pretty sot second quarter. She was a game second two back at Fair Grounds in her first start on turf. The winner of that race as Hendy Woods, who came back to beat Alw-1 foes in her next start on March 15 at Fair Grounds. The $250,000 Keeneland purchase faces winners for the first time here and looks up to it.
Secret Stash put in a solid effort in her first go off a 4 1/2 month break in the Florida Oaks (G3). She raced near the back of the pack early, angled to the inside and then shifted out three wide into the stretch to rally to finish third, beaten 1 3/4 lengths. She was only beaten 1 1/4 lengths in a fifth-place finish in the Natalma (G1) at Woodbine last September in her first start in North America. She makes her second start off the bench here for Casse and looks well spotted here dropping out of graded stakes company.
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #8 Florida Express 12-1
R1: #6 Sultannes Crown 8-1
R2: #5 Gran Brandy 8-1
R5: #3 Chapa 12-1
R6: #1 The Gospel of John 10-1
R7: #7 Joe Di Baggio 8-1
R8: #7 Apogee 10-1
R9: #6 Believe Indeed 8-1
R10: #3 Kobe Fifty Two 12-19
Friday's Best Bet: Gangly can lumber home Oaklawn Park
By Jarrod Horak
Friday's 5th race from Oaklawn Park is a $40,000 claiming event for 3-year-olds traveling a mile and a sixteenth on the main track (Post Time - 4:06 p.m. ET).
#8 GANGLY (5-1) drops in for a tag and should get pace to chase. The Florida-bred hung in there against some decent foes in his past races, and might be able to get past these.
#3 Artemus Eagle (6-1) stalked wide and could not find his best stride in the stretch vs. $50,000 foes April 9. His winning rider Martin Garcia stays put, and it might be best if he saves ground stalking the pace this time.
#7 Icecap (8-1) never picked up his feet in the common April 9 affair. He was very good breaking his maiden Feb. 16, and might bounce back.
#4 River Finn (6-1) removes blinkers and that is a strong move for Brad Cox. He should attend the pace.
Wagers:
#8 to win
Exacta Box 3-8
Exacta 3-8/4-7
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)
April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)
April 11 - PROVERB ($7.60), Exacta ($33.60), Trifecta ($48.70)
April 15 - Blue Harbor/Mr. Tickle/Yo Y Me Trifecta ($127.50)
April 17 - Sekani/The Mary Rose/Choctaw Charlie Trifecta ($48.30)
April 20 - SHE'S ALL WOLFE ($2.80), Trifecta ($89.00)
April 21 - CANEY'S GHOST ($5.80), Quinella ($9.00), Trifecta ($14.10)
April 23 - LUNA FORTIS ($25.40)
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Oaklawn Park
PURCHASE
Oaklawn Park - Race 2
Daily Double / Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)
Starter Allowance $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 1:35P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $12,500 OR LESS IN ONE OF THEIR LAST THREE STARTS. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE JANUARY 24, 2020 ALLOWED 6 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * JOSIE THE E F FIVE: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. TIZANILLUSION: Horse 's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. STURDY ONE: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's thi rd or fourth start after a layoff. RANSOMED: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
JOSIE THE E F FIVE
10/1
5/1
2
TIZANILLUSION
9/2
7/1
1
STURDY ONE
5/2
7/1
8
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO
12/1
7/1
5
RANSOMED
3/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
SWEET TATUM
4
12/1
Front-runner
91
82
91.8
68.4
57.9
2
TIZANILLUSION
2
9/2
Front-runner
87
78
84.6
80.4
75.9
7
JOSIE THE E F FIVE
7
10/1
Alternator/Front-runner
93
81
78.2
77.8
73.3
1
STURDY ONE
1
5/2
Stalker
88
85
82.8
86.2
75.7
9
COUNCIL RULES
9
15/1
Stalker
86
75
82.2
77.2
65.7
5
RANSOMED
5
3/1
Stalker
90
82
67.0
76.0
68.0
8
STAYTHIRSTYMYAMIGO
8
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
82
86
67.6
81.4
71.4
6
SHE'S A DIME
6
9/2
Trailer
79
87
64.2
73.2
60.2
3
ZELLA ROSE
3
10/1
Trailer
87
74
44.4
74.6
60.1
__________________
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Gulfstream Park
PURCHASE
Gulfstream Park - Race 8
$1 Daily Double / $2 Quinella / $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Super Hi 5 / $.50 Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)
Optional Claiming $75,000 • 1 1/8 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 93 • Purse: $46,000 • Post: 4:46P
(RAIL AT 115 FEET). FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $10,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $75,000. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER ON THE TURF SINCE MARCH 24 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $75,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $62,500 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (CONDITION ELIGIBILITY). (IF DEEMED INADVISABLE TO RUN THIS RACE OVER THE TURF COURSE, IT WILL BE RUN ON THE MAIN TRACK AT ONE MILEAND ONE EIGHTH)
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. NEW DAY DAWNING is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SECRET STASH (IRE): Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY PANDA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EVE O F WAR: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). SUNSET PROMISE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NEW DAY DAWNING: Horse h ad a bullet workout within the last seven days.
2
SECRET STASH (IRE)
9/2
5/1
8
LADY PANDA
15/1
7/1
3
EVE OF WAR
9/5
7/1
9
SUNSET PROMISE
8/1
8/1
4
NEW DAY DAWNING
8/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
NEW DAY DAWNING
4
8/1
Front-runner
83
85
83.4
84.4
69.4
9
SUNSET PROMISE
9
8/1
Stalker
87
88
89.8
84.8
74.8
8
LADY PANDA
8
15/1
Stalker
86
92
83.8
82.6
75.6
3
EVE OF WAR
3
9/5
Stalker
83
100
82.2
82.2
72.7
5
SKYE SNOW
5
6/1
Stalker
87
85
81.7
81.2
71.7
6
ELLA BRILLA
6
8/1
Stalker
82
79
58.4
68.9
54.4
2
SECRET STASH (IRE)
2
9/2
Alternator/Stalker
92
89
73.3
88.6
84.6
7
APOGEE
7
10/1
Trailer
87
79
67.3
74.9
66.9