Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Monday 3/23/20
By Mike Dempsey
I usually take Monday off, but I have a feeling I am going to be have a few too many days off in the not too distant future, so let’s play the ponies today.
In this now topsy turvy world we live in I never thought I would spend my day handicapping Fonner Park and Will Rogers Downs, but that is exactly what I did last night.
I have spent hundreds of days hanging out at smaller tracks like Charles Town and Timonium, so I feel more than comfortable heading out to Claremore, Oklahoma and Grand Island, Nebraska on a Monday afternoon.
We got more bad news yesterday as the Dubai World Cup card which was scheduled for Saturday has been cancelled. Among the races wiped out by the Coronavirus crisis is the $12 million Dubai World Cup. The seven race card was worth $35 million.
The U.S based runners set to compete were already in Dubai. Among them was Mucho Gusto, Tacitus, Sir Winston and War Story.
Now we have to keep our fingers crossed that Gulfstream Park stays in action. Saturday is Florida Derby Day which features eight stakes races. The $1 million Florida Derby (G1) is a Road to the Kentucky Derby points race.
Among the tracks still running as start this week off are Gulfstream Park, Santa Anita, Tampa Bay Downs, Fonner Park, Will Rogers Downs, Los Alamitos, Charles Town, Turfway Park, Remington Park and Oaklawn Park.
My Best Plays Report for Monday includes my eight strongest plays from Will Rogers Downs and Fonner Park.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $200 for new players.
Monday’s Featured Race of the Day from Will Rogers Downs:
WRD Race 3 Alw $20,900N1X (2:15 CT)
#6 Dance Doctor 4-1
#7 Strong Side 5-2
#3 Call Me 5-1
#1 Man U 3-1
Analysis: Dance Doctor makes his second start off a for month layoff here for the Compton barn. Last out at Fonner Park against non-conditioned allowance foes he stalked the early pace and made a mild late run to finish third. His two previous starts came on turf against Alw-1 foes and he was over matched. He ran well here last year including a tough head loss against $10,000 claimers. He fits in this spot and figures to move forward second off the bench.
Strong Side tracked the early pace and finished strongly to beat $10,000 non-winners of four last out at Delta Downs. He ships in her for his third start of his current form cycle. Broberg has started off the meet going 0 for 6 and five of those were 2-1 or lower. He was good enough to be restricted $10,000 foes at Churchill Downs last year while in the Contreras barn. He fits well here but his price may drift south from his 5-2 morning line.
Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 6,7 / 1,3,6,7
TRI: 6,7 / 1,3,6,7 / 1,3,4,6,7
Monday’s Featured Race of the Day from Fonner Park:
FON Race 2 Md Sp Wt (3:57 CT)
#7 Kittens Embrace 10-1
#5 Pretty Rich 9-2
#2 Scotia Queen 7-2
#3 Moro Love 12-1
Analysis: Kitten's Embrace was outrun in her debut here going four furlongs, racing next to last early and checking in a well beaten fifth at 5-1. She stretches out to six furlongs here for a more than capable barn that is having a good meeting and the meet's second leading jock sticks. She has a nice pedigree, by Kitten's Joy out of the stakes winner Sir Borealis ($189,223), her first foal to race. She had put in a good gate drill before her debut and looking for her to show more speed on the stretch out and we should catch a decent price.
Pretty Rich pressed the early pace and weakened in the stretch to finish third last out against $10,000 maiden claimers at four furlongs. It was a career tops peed fig for the filly who is sent out by a barn that is 0 for 15 at the meeting. She owns solid early and mid pace numbers and she looks headed in the right direction. She should get a good tracking trip and does not need to move forward all that much to be in the hunt in this spot.
Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 5-1 or better.
EX: 5,7 / 2,3,5,7
TRI: 5,7 / 2,3,5,7 / 2,3,4,5,7
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mahoning Valley Race Course
PURCHASE
Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race 3
Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / 50 cent Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)
Claiming $5,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 70 • Purse: $11,100 • Post: 1:40P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE FEBRUARY 23 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * KITTEN'S PEEBLES: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TO HONOR AND RUN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ASPENS LITTLE ZIP: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. COME ON CALLIE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
3
KITTEN'S PEEBLES
5/2
7/2
7
TO HONOR AND RUN
3/1
7/1
5
ASPENS LITTLE ZIP
12/1
9/1
10
COME ON CALLIE
6/1
10/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
10
COME ON CALLIE
10
6/1
Front-runner
65
58
75.0
57.6
50.6
4
CARABLANCA'S DANCE
4
20/1
Front-runner
60
55
74.6
38.2
21.7
8
ETHEL EILEEN
8
10/1
Front-runner
67
59
71.0
40.4
23.4
9
COUNTRY CADEN
9
8/1
Front-runner
67
53
70.6
55.4
41.9
7
TO HONOR AND RUN
7
3/1
Stalker
66
67
66.6
60.2
52.2
5
ASPENS LITTLE ZIP
5
12/1
Alternator/Stalker
68
46
66.0
57.0
51.0
3
KITTEN'S PEEBLES
3
5/2
Alternator/Stalker
74
70
58.6
69.6
65.6
6
STURN DONNA
6
20/1
Trailer
66
60
27.2
48.0
37.0
2
GEMAGILITY
2
9/2
Alternator/Non-contender
65
56
59.4
50.4
42.9
1
EASTER WEEKEND
1
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
53
52
56.2
47.7
30.2
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Will Rogers Downs - Race 6
Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) Pick 4 (.50) (Races 6-7-8-9)
Maiden Claiming $15,000 • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 50 • Purse: $13,860 • Post: 3:45P
FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. D R C'S ARM CANDY is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * D R C'S ARM CANDY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's t hird or fourth start after a layoff. NURSE LIST: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. TOMEY'S LEXUS: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within th e last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
3
D R C'S ARM CANDY
2/1
3/1
1
NURSE LIST
5/2
5/1
4
TOMEY'S LEXUS
3/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
3
D R C'S ARM CANDY
3
2/1
Front-runner
53
48
70.8
44.8
40.8
4
TOMEY'S LEXUS
4
3/1
Front-runner
47
41
57.0
37.5
29.5
1
NURSE LIST
1
5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
67
59
62.2
31.4
26.4
6
SHE'S EARTHBOUND
6
5/1
Stalker
47
39
36.2
40.0
32.0
5
SILVER SPLASH
5
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
58.8
1.9
0.0
2
CHITABELLA
2
12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
30.8
9.1
0.0
7
MISS ORATORY
7
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
4.7
18.0
10.0
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