Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Saturday 4/18/20
Saturday's Best Bet: Rideforthecause can go better at Gulfstream
By Jarrod Horak
April 17, 2020
Saturday’s 9th race from Gulfstream Park is an optional claiming event for fillies and mares traveling one mile on the turf course (Post Time - 4:53 p.m. ET).
#8 RIDEFORTHECAUSE (5-1) exits an even 4th in a similar local spot March 27. She cuts back a furlong and can move forward in her second start after a layoff. A stalking trip is expected.
#5 Always Shopping (4-1) makes her first start in more than eleven months for Todd Pletcher, and this is her first turf attempt. Her works are solid, and Pletcher is a strong layoff trainer, so the time off is really not an issue. The class is there and her tactical speed should serve her well. That leaves the new surface. Awesome Again is not a strong first turf sire, but her dam Stopshoppingmaria won the Ladies Turf Sprint Stakes at Gulfstream Park in 2013.
#4 Dark Artist (6-1) drops out of the stakes ranks and might attempt a wire job under sharp turf rider Hector Berrios. This is her first start in 6+ months and she has not scored since 2018.
#7 Mintd (10-1) got pace help in an entry level victory in her stateside bow at Tampa Bay March 7, and that was her first start in more than twenty months. The lightly raced 4-year-old filly has upside.
Wagers:
#8 to win
Exacta 8/4-5-7
Exacta 4-5-7/8
Trifecta 5-8/4-5-7-8/4-5-7-8
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)
April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)
April 11 - PROVERB ($7.60), Exacta ($33.60), Trifecta ($48.70)
April 15 - Blue Harbor/Mr. Tickle/Yo Y Me Trifecta ($127.50)
April 17 - Sekani/The Mary Rose/Choctaw Charlie Trifecta ($48.30)
Horse Races Today: Saturday's Gulfstream Park and OP Analysis & Odds
April 18, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
In yesterday’s featured race from Gulfstream Park our top pick Poseidon’s Passion went off at a generous 12-1, jumped to the front and turned for home with a clear lead.
Her gait was not exactly fluid, and my thought we she was going to get caught. Sure enough the favorite Shippy, my second choice came running and they hit the wire together.
I watched the replay twice and I have to say that finish line in turf races at Gulfstream Park is pretty much impossible to figure out. I thought for sure we had been nailed.
The photo finish sign came down and somehow our top pick won by a nose, returning $26.60 with the exacta paying $91.60 and along with my third choice the trifecta paid $254.90 for $1.
I felt like a robbed a bank, I just don’t know how we won that photo.
We have a great 12-race card on tap at Gulfstream Park this afternoon, and a couple of graded stakes at Oaklawn Park. My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my nine strongest plays from Oaklawn Park and Gulfstream Park.
There is no shortage of horse racing on national television this afternoon. Fox Sports 1 will be televising the action on Saturday from 1:30 to 7:00 ET and the NBC Sports Network will simulcast the TVG Network from 4:00 to 8:00 ET.
Horseplayers can also stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Here is the opening race from Gulfstream Park to get the day off to a good start:
GP Race 1 Md $20,000 (12:45 ET)
#4 Capeline 15-1
#1 Truly 4-1
#7 Rasberry Ballet 7-2
#5 Funny Feather 8-1
Analysis: Capeline was not a threat after a wide trip in her debut going five furlongs on turf, checking in ninth while beaten 4 3/4 lengths. She stretches out to a mile here for her second career outing. She is out of the stakes winner Hatpin ($257,897) who has dropped four winners and three have won on turf and two are stakes winners, top earner Dannhauser ($313,487). Davis picks up the call here and this filly should end up a generous price in this spot.
Truly tracked the early pace, came with a wide bid and finished evenly in a third-place finish last out against $25,000 foes in the slop in a race taken off the turf. Two back on turf here she finished gamely in a runner up finish behind repeat winner Kitten By the Sea, who came back to beat $40,000 non-winners of two in her next outing on Feb. 14. The fourth-place finisher also came out of the race to win next out. She has landed din the money in five of her seven starts and has lost two photos for the win. She gets an upgrade in jocks to Zayas and catches a weaker group here. She is out of the stakes winner Nasty Rumor ($86,311) who has dropped two other foals to race, no winners to date.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Gulfstream Park:
GP Race 9 OClm $62,500N2X (4:53 ET)
#9 Art of Almost 7-2
#3 Zarina 10-1
#4 Dark Artist 6-1
#5 Always Shopping 4-1
#7 Mintd 10-1
Analysis: Art of Almost is making her first start since last September for the Attfield barn that is 13% winners with runners coming back off a +180-day layoff dating back three years. She did not care for the footing or the distance last out in a seventh-place finish at Belmont Park in the Jockey Club Oaks at 1 3/8 miles. She was competitive in third place finishes two and three back in the Pucker Up (G3) at Arlington Park and the Dance Smartly (G2) at Woodbine. She has been working steadily at Payson for her return and finds a good spot here dropping in to face Alw-2 optional claimers.
Zarina was not a threat after an inside trip last out in an eighth-place finish at this condition at 26-1 off a 6 1/2-month layoff. The filly made a god late rally to finish third in the Miss Gracie two back here at 7 1/2 furlongs and she won the Martha Washington four back here. She should be tighter second off the bench her and she does not need to move forward much off her best to be in the mix here at a decent price.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Oaklawn Park:
OP Race 10 The Apple Blossom Hcp G1 (5:16 CT)
#6 Street Band 15-1
#14 Ce Ce 7-2
#12 Go Google Yourself 12-1
#4 Come Dancing 3-1
#1 Ollie's Candy 12-1
Analysis: Street Band won the Cotillion (G1) at Philly last September at Philly as our top pick and returned $17.40, finally putting in that career top I had been waiting for from her. She did not get the best of rides in her previous start in the Alabama (G1) where she was third. She came up short in the Breeders’ Cup Distaff (G1), and then ran well in a close up third in the Houston Ladies Classic (G3) behind a couple of foes she faces again here. She regressed last out in her first trip over the main track in the Azeri (G2) but that was over a sloppy track. She makes her third start of her current for cycle and is going to get a sharp pace to run at. We need a ride from Doyle like we saw at Philly, getting her to relax but she is going to have to move earlier with the short stretch. She is better than her last and is going to be a generous price in this spot.
Ce Ce drew a tough post, but this filly has a ton of talent and still may have some upside. Her win in the Beholder Mile (G1) last out was impressive and it was her first start around two turns, drawing off to win by 3 ¼ lengths. Her other mile try in the Acorn (G1) was a one turn mile. She is bred to handle the extra ground, has enough tactical speed to overcome the outside draw, and should get a good trip sitting in just behind what looks likely to be a sharp early pace.
Go Google Yourself came off a 2 ½ month break with a game neck win in the Bayakoa (G3) over the main track here. She beat Alw-3 optional claimers in her other trip over the Oaklawn Park main track last March at a mile. She has now landed in the exacta in nine of her last 10 starts, five of those wins and she came out on the wrong ends of photos in three of those other outings. She usually sits second or third and may be a bit father back here, but she does have some late kick and in this spot looks as if she is going to be a generous price.
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Gulfstream Park
R1: #4 Capeline 15-1
R1: #5 Funny Feather 8-1
R3: #2 Stated 8-1
R5: #1 Astronaut 20-1
R7: #11 Carmichael 20-1
R8: #3 Vincero 8-1
R9: #3 Zarina 10-1
R11: #4 Charmaine’s Mia 10-1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Tampa Bay Downs
PURCHASE
Tampa Bay Downs - Race 7
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta ($.50 minimum) / Superfecta ($.10 minimum) Pick 3 ($.50 minimum) (Races 7-8-9) / Super High 5
Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • Turf • Age 3 • CR: 89 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 3:28P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. (PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000. THE SAME PREFERENCE WILL BE GIVEN TO HORSES WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR LESS THAN $25,000 AND SINCE THEN HAVE FINISHED 2ND OR 3RD FOR $25,000 OR MORE.).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * ECONOMIC POLICY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Eq uibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MAROON MANIAC: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster P ower Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
5
ECONOMIC POLICY
2/1
5/2
4
MAROON MANIAC
5/2
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
3
HEY SACH
3
30/1
Front-runner
0
0
86.7
65.0
50.0
2
TIZ LIGHT THE WAY
2
10/1
Front-runner
84
65
74.9
74.9
63.9
1
SAFE AND SOUND
1
10/1
Front-runner
90
79
73.0
75.9
67.9
4
MAROON MANIAC
4
5/2
Front-runner
88
84
55.9
79.6
74.6
8
KENTUCKY GHOST
8
8/1
Stalker
88
79
57.5
75.7
65.2
5
ECONOMIC POLICY
5
2/1
Trailer
91
89
81.5
84.4
81.9
10
LIGHT CRUISER
10
8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
96.1
62.9
55.4
6
FORTYEIGHTSTRAIGHT
6
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
90
75
79.7
74.3
63.3
Unknown Running Style: BIG DREAMING (6/1) [Jockey: Camacho Samy - Trainer: Stidham Michael], PAPA'S PLACE (20/1) [Jockey: Spieth Scott - Trainer: Gonzalez Aldana].
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
PURCHASE
Remington Park - Race 4
Exacta / Trifecta (.50 Cent Minimum) / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum) Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) (.50 Cent Minimum)
Stakes • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 92 • Purse: $48,500 • Post: 7:21P
QUARTER HORSE 350Y, MR MASTER BUG S. - FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $250 TO ENTER, STARTERS TO PAY AN ADDITIONAL $250. WEIGHT 124 LBS. HORSES WITH THE HIGHEST LIFETIME EARNINGS ACORDING TO OFFICIAL STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE WILL HAVE PREFERENCE AT TME OF ENTRY. STARTERS PLACING 6TH THROUGH 10TH WILL RECEIVE $1000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * LOVE IS EVERYTHING V: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. BV SHESLIKETHEWIND: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ANALYTIX: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. STRIKING PERFECTION: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. DF MISCHIEVIOU S JESS: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation.
10
LOVE IS EVERYTHING V
4/1
6/1
3
BV SHESLIKETHEWIND
7/2
6/1
6
ANALYTIX
15/1
8/1
4
STRIKING PERFECTION
12/1
8/1
2
DF MISCHIEVIOUS JESS
8/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
RITAS BACK ON TRACK
1
10/1
Average
91
88
5.5
0.0
0.0
2
DF MISCHIEVIOUS JESS
2
8/1
Fast
94
88
3.4
0.0
0.0
3
BV SHESLIKETHEWIND
3
7/2
Fast
91
95
1.5
0.0
0.0
4
STRIKING PERFECTION
4
12/1
Fast
86
91
2.7
0.0
0.0
5
GOOD CANDY P
5
6/1
Fast
79
80
2.4
0.0
0.0
6
ANALYTIX
6
15/1
Fast
86
90
3.4
0.0
0.0
7
JESSES DASHAIR
7
15/1
Average
84
83
4.8
0.0
0.0
8
JAY NUMBER 7
8
5/1
Fast
89
88
2.3
0.0
0.0
9
WAGONS DASH
9
15/1
Fast
87
78
2.4
0.0
0.0
10
LOVE IS EVERYTHING V
10
4/1
Fast
94
91
2.3
0.0
0.0
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