Betting news, trends, odds and predictions for from various handicappers and websites for Wednesday 4/15/20
Wednesday's Best Bet: Ted W stretches out in Dowd Mile
by Jarrod Horak April 14, 2020
Wednesday’s 9th race from Fonner Park is the Dowd Mile Stakes for 3-year-olds and up traveling one mile on the main track (Post Time - 8:36 p.m. ET).
#1 TED W (6-1) is a razor sharp gelding exiting three straight local sprint victories. He has won twice at this distance and must be respected in his current form.
#6 Mr. Tickle (5-2) captured eight of his last ten starts, and the late runner exits a sharp course/distance score vs. allowance company.
#8 Blue Harbor (4-1) is a sharp late runner exiting a clear runner-up finish behind his stablemate Mr. Tickle.
#2 Awesome Emmit (12-1) stretches out a couple of furlongs and should be forwardly placed in a race without a ton of early pace.
#4 Yo Y Me (10-1) invades from Arizona, and he got involved early in his last four flat mile dirt attempts.
Wagers:
#1 to win
Exacta 1-6/1-6-8
Trifecta Key 1/2-4-6-8
Trifecta 1-6/1-6/2-4-8
Trifecta 1-6-8/1-6-8/2-4
Recent Best Bet Winners
April 4 - KIMARI ($7.80), Exacta ($23.80)
April 6 - WHOLEHEARTED ($6.40)
April 11 - PROVERB ($7.60), Exacta ($33.60), Trifecta ($48.70)
Horse Races Today: Wednesday's Tampa Bay and WR Odds
April 14, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
Handle at Tampa Bay Downs and Will Rogers Downs might see a small spike in handle this afternoon as the U.S Government says 80 million Americans should have their stimulus checks in their bank accounts this morning.
Go ahead and get the bills paid and if you have a little something left over TVG is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
We have some good success at Will Rogers Downs the past few weeks. The racetrack is in Claremore, Oklahoma which I know is true because a couple of weeks ago I had to use Google to find out where the heck it was.
It is a small-time track but today’s card offers up five races that are either allowance or handicap races with purses as high as $25,000, really not too shabby.
In addition, we will head out to Tampa Bay Downs which is offering up some turf racing and large fields.
Thursday I will pick back up my full card report for Gulfstream Park, which is seeing large and competitive fields as options for horsemen around the country is severely limited with the pandemic.
Horseplayers can stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
Tampa Bay Downs Odds and Picks: Featured Race of Today, April 15
TAM Race 5 Md $40,000 (2:30 ET)
#8 Federale 9-5
#9 Large 9-2
#5 Puerto Varas 8-1
#7 Burl 6-1
Analysis: Federale adds blinkers and catches a weak spot here for his second start since last July. Last out off the bench the gelding chased the early pace and weakened to finish third. He showed some ability last year with a second in his debut and the Gleaves barn thought enough of that effort to try him in the Tremont where he was fourth. He then was outrun against a solid group of maiden special weight foes at the Spa, the winner Basin now a Grade 1 winner and the runner up Three Techniques is stakes placed. He drops into a good spot here and is going to be a short price, but he is going to be tough to beat. He is out of an Indian Charlie mare that has dropped one other foal to race no winners to date.
Large was third in his debut at 28-1 against $16,000 maiden claimers and improved slightly second out with a runner up finish last out for this tag. With the hood added he should be closer to the pace here and with the low profile connections may get overlooked on the tote. He is out of a stakes placed Heckle mare, this her first foal to race.
Will Rogers Downs Odds and Picks: Featured Race of Today, April 15
WRD Race 6 Alw $20,900N1X (3:45 CT)
#5 Al Shamkhah 7-2
#6 Decorated for Gold 5-1
#3 Cypress Point 3-1
#8 Baladera 6-1
Analysis: Al Shamkhah stretched out to a route last out for the first time since landing in the U.S. with Asmussen and put in a solid effort, rallying to finish in the runner up spot against Alw-2L foes at Sam Houston. The winner Okie Queen returned to beat state bred allowance foes here in her next outing on March 30. She graduated at Meydan and was sixth in a 11-horse field in the UAE Oaks (G3) last February. She catches a softer group here and the 7-2 morning line looks fair.
Decorated for Gold is back on the main track after fading to finish ninth last out on turf at Sam Houston against $25,000 non-winners of two. Her maiden win came on turf, but she ran okay on the main track two back at Sam Houston in a third-place finish. The Diodoro barn has been sending out live runners here and is 34% winners moving runners from turf to dirt. She is out of a Medaglia d'Oro mare and may end up just as good on dirt.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Will Rogers Downs
PURCHASE
Will Rogers Downs - Race 4
Exacta / Quinella / Trifecta (.50) / Superfecta (.10) / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6)
Maiden Claiming $7,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $7,150 • Post: 2:45P
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ABSTRACT PAYNTER is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ABSTRACT PAYNTER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. CONCRETE FINISHER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GONE DANCING: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investmen t is at least +20.
1
ABSTRACT PAYNTER
5/2
2/1
2
CONCRETE FINISHER
3/1
6/1
5
GONE DANCING
6/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
1
ABSTRACT PAYNTER
1
5/2
Alternator/Front-runner
63
56
56.5
56.6
52.6
5
GONE DANCING
5
6/1
Alternator/Stalker
62
52
49.0
44.8
36.3
3
DANZING RIVER
3
6/1
Trailer
0
0
33.2
32.2
19.2
4
EVIE'S PRINCE
4
7/2
Trailer
0
0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
CONCRETE FINISHER
2
3/1
Alternator/Trailer
61
55
62.3
49.4
45.4
8
FAR LEFT
8
15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
45.5
26.5
12.5
7
PRESLEY CHIME
7
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
31.7
31.8
19.8
6
IWANT SGT RECKLESS
6
30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
21.8
21.8
10.3
9
DAYTIME WHISTLER
9
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
19.2
19.2
2.7
10
BUENO
10
20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0
0
16.1
16.1
0.0
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fonner Park
PURCHASE
Fonner Park - Race 8
$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / Daily Double
Stakes • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 7:09P
RUNZA S. - FOR FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. PURSE $10,000-ADDED. NO NOMINATION FEE. $25 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. WEIGHTS: THREE-YEAR-OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $9,000 TWICE IN 2019-2020 ALLOWED 3 LBS., OF $9,000 IN 2019-2020, 5 LBS. MAIDEN, CLAIMING AND STARTER RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES. HIGH WEIGHTS PREFERRED ON THE SCALE. TOTAL EARNINGS IN 2019-2020 WILL BE USED IN DETERMINING THE ORDER OF PREFERENCE OF HORSES ASSIGNED EQUAL WEIGHTS. CLOSED THURSDAY, APRIL 2 WITH 16 NOMINATIONS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * KOOL KATE: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse has the highest TrackMaste r Power Rating. LOVE AT NIGHT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. MATAPAN: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. I'MABARNKAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
1
KOOL KATE
5/2
3/1
6
LOVE AT NIGHT
7/2
8/1
3
MATAPAN
6/1
8/1
7
I'MABARNKAT
10/1
8/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
6
LOVE AT NIGHT
6
7/2
Front-runner
78
79
85.8
81.0
73.0
3
MATAPAN
3
6/1
Front-runner
87
86
76.8
78.4
70.4
8
BETTY JEAN
8
15/1
Front-runner
79
72
69.7
72.4
59.4
2
DIXIE FLYER
2
8/1
Front-runner
84
82
69.4
72.4
60.4
7
I'MABARNKAT
7
10/1
Stalker
88
80
92.0
77.6
72.6
9
EATON'S MEMORY
9
9/2
Stalker
84
81
82.2
72.0
60.0
4
STELLA MARIE
4
12/1
Stalker
80
73
72.4
74.4
59.4
1
KOOL KATE
1
5/2
Trailer
100
99
68.3
89.1
85.1
5
CHUB'S CHARMER
5
10/1
Trailer
79
69
31.2
70.4
57.9
__________________