Betting news, trends, odds and predictions from various handicappers and websites for Friday 6/5/20
Horse Races Today: Friday's Belmont Park and Churchill Downs Analysis & Odds
June 5, 2020
By Mike Dempsey
It was bombs away during the second half of the Belmont Park card on Thursday, and that led to a late Pick 5 carryover for Friday of $327,647.
The sequence started with the logical A d’Oro paying $10.00. Perhaps we should have seen the bombs coming as 133-1 Queentigua ran second.
The first longshot came in the seventh race as Riken stole it, taking the field gate to wire and returning $52.50 with the up and coming seven pound apprentice rider Luis Cardenas aboard.
Tap It to Win took the field gate to wire to win the eighth race, paying $14.40. Paret then wired the field on turf in the nine race to the tune of $78.50.
In the nightcap it was Cardenas again, booting home first time starter Hunnybunnerdini who paid $97.00. While nobody hit the late Pick 5, the late Pick 4 was hit, a winning ticket for $.50 paying $81,855.75.
Today’s late Pick 5 starts with race six at 3:59 ET, a second level optional claimer. The feature this afternoon is the $80,000 Harmony Lodge which drew a field of 10 fillies and mares.
I landed on the morning line favorite Mother Mother who ships in from the west coast for the Bob Baffert barn. However, she is no cinch and I plan on having Chalon and Royal Charlotte on some of my Pick 5 tickets.
You can catch the action from Churchill Downs and Belmont Park today from 1:00 to 2:30 and 4:30 to 6:30 ET on FS2. Horseplayers can also stream all the horse racing action using the Watch TVG App. The horse betting company based in the U.S. is offering a risk free bet up to $300 for new players.
My Best Plays Report for Friday includes my eight strongest plays from Churchill Downs and Belmont Park.
Here is the opening race from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:
Belmont Park Race 1 Analysis - 6/5 (1:15 ET)
#2 Grit and Glory 2-1
#9 Thomas Shelby 8-1
#8 Hizaam 5-2
#3 Walkoff 4-1
Analysis: Grit and Glory stalked the early pace and made a good late rally, drawing off to beat $30,000 non-winners of two at 6-5 going a mile. The third-place finisher Malibu Music came back to beat $16,000 non-winners of two in his next start on May 1 at Gulfstream Park. The gelding was claimed out of the race by the Pletcher barn that does not visit the claim box often, just 10 times in the past two years, winning with four first out. He returns off a 3 1/2 month break here and looks well spotted dropping in for $14,000 as he steps up a notch to the non-winners of three condition.
Thomas Shelby weakened to finish eighth last out against restricted $40,000 foes on turf. The Ward trainee drops into an easier spot and returns to dirt. Both of his wins have come on poly but he did run a decent third at Keeneland on dirt against $100,000 non-winners of three optional claimers last April at seven furlongs. Pino is in to ride this guy and another Ward trainee later in the card and seldom makes a trip to the Big Apple. Worth tossing in the mix here if we catch most of the 8-1 morning line.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Churchill Downs:
Churchill Downs Race 7 Analysis - 6/5 (4:14 ET)
#4 Shedaresthedevil 3-1
#1 Lucky Betty 7-2
#2 Alta's Award 4-1
#3 Fire Coral 7-2
Analysis: Shedaresthedevil is coming off a third in the Fantasy (G3) last out at Oaklawn Park. The filly broke inward coming out of the gate and got caught in some traffic on the first turn and was no match for the top pair late. She won the Honeybee (G3) two back in a sharp effort. She looks capable of moving forward off her last effort and owns a solid pace profile throughout. She will not be as far back here with Geroux aboard.
Lucky Betty handled his first start against winners in fine fashion at Oaklawn Park last out earning a career top speed fig despite getting in some traffic on the far turn. This gal just gets better with each outing and looks sharp enough to handle the step up into a tougher spot here. She draws the rail and is capable of being more forwardly placed in this spot.
Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:
Belmont Park Race 7 Analysis - 6/5 (4:32 ET)
#10 Time Limit 5-2
#5 Winifred J 6-1
#2 Stretchthestory 7-2
#11 The Important One 10-1
Analysis: Time Limit set the early fractions and weakened late to finish third last out in a NY Stallion Series race in the mud at seven furlongs last December in her last outing. The winner A Freud of Mam came back to win the state bred Franklin Square on Jan. 18 in her next outing. He lone trip on turf came in the Matron (G3) three back here at six furlongs where she set the early fractions and could not hold off Alms late in a runner up finish. Alms won her next two starts including the Jimmy Durante (G3). she popped a bullet work and with Kendrick up we know she is going to be out there early. The Maker barn is 16% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff.
Winifred J prompted the early pace and tired to finish seventh last out on the main track at the Big A. She broke her maiden on turf here last September in gate to wire fashion in her first start off the claim by the Barker barn. She returns off a three month break here for a capable barn that attracts Castellano. She has landed in the money in four of her five trips on turf and the 6-1 morning line looks fair.
Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.
Belmont Park
R1: #9 Thomas Shelby 8-1
R2: #9 Positive Skew 12-1
R2: #6 Petalite 10-1
R3: #9 Scarf It Down 12-1
R4: #3 Midnight Whiskey 10-1
R4: #1 Frozen Account / 1a River Nile 8-1
R5: #12 Heirloom Kitten 10-1
R5: #7 Me Everything 12-1
R6: #2 Mount Travers 10-1
R7: #11 The Important One 10-1
R9: #3 Honey I’m Good 8-1
R10: #5 Arkaan 20-1
R10: #9 Uncle George 8-1
R10: #1 New Frontier 8-1
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town
PURCHASE
Charles Town - Race 8
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (8-9)
Stakes • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $50,000 • Post: 10:25
FANCY BUCKLES S. - FOR REGISTERED ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. $50 NOMINATIONS CLOSE TUESDAY, MAY 26, 2020. $50 TO ENTER WITH A PURSE OF $50,000 ADDED. ENTRIES CLOSE TUESDAY JUNE 2, 2020 BY THE USUAL TIME OF CLOSING. THE ADDED MONIES AND ALL FEES TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO FIFTH. WEIGHT: THREE YEAR OLDS 116 LBS.; OLDER 123 LBS. FIELD WILL BE LIMITED TO TEN STARTERS WITH UP TO FOUR ALTERNATES. PREFERENCE TO THOSE HORSES HAVING ACCUMULATED THE HIGHEST 2019-2020 EARNINGS AT THE TIME OF CLOSING OF ENTRIES. TROPHY TO THE WINNING OWNER.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Dominant Stalker. UNAQUOI is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * UNAQUOI: Horse is highest ranked on Good Speed and Good Class. Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Cl ass Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. REMY'S ROCKET: Horse is dropping in class, has an inside post position and isn't a Trailer. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven da ys. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
UNAQUOI
7/2
2/1
2
REMY'S ROCKET
4/1
7/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
4
TWIRLING OWEN
4
3/1
Front-runner
71
78
86.4
62.6
52.1
1
LIL LINDER
1
15/1
Front-runner
72
67
62.3
65.2
52.2
5
UNAQUOI
5
7/2
Stalker
97
97
93.4
89.6
84.6
2
REMY'S ROCKET
2
4/1
Stalker
88
80
87.4
75.6
68.1
3
C R CASE'S LEGACY
3
5/1
Stalker
83
75
78.8
77.2
69.2
8
NELLYSFORD
8
6/1
Stalker
86
67
77.2
69.8
63.3
7
MANAROLA
7
9/2
Trailer
70
75
73.0
68.6
58.1
6
SUMMER FROCK
6
20/1
Alternator/Trailer
84
73
45.9
52.1
41.6
__________________
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ruidoso Downs
PURCHASE
Ruidoso Downs - Race 1
1st Half Early Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / .10 Superfecta
Allowance • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $12,705 • Post: 1:00P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 126 LBS.; OLDER, 128 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SILVER CITY LIGHTS: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. MAGICAL JESSE: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MAJESTIC CORONA: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post positio n next to it gets out of the gate fast. A SEPERATE SECRET: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
SILVER CITY LIGHTS
5/2
9/2
3
MAGICAL JESSE
7/2
6/1
5
MAJESTIC CORONA
5/1
7/1
8
A SEPERATE SECRET
8/1
9/1
P#
Horse (In Running Style Order)
Post
Morn
Line
Running Style
Good
Class
Good
Speed
Early Figure
Finish Figure
Platinum
Figure
2
TANNERS TEMPLAR
2
9/2
Average
69
65
4.4
0.0
0.0
3
MAGICAL JESSE
3
7/2
Fast
78
74
3.1
0.0
0.0
4
SILVER CITY LIGHTS
4
5/2
Average
86
78
5.1
0.0
0.0
5
MAJESTIC CORONA
5
5/1
Fast
80
79
2.4
0.0
0.0
6
CORONA DE VADO
6
6/1
Average
72
67
4.0
0.0
0.0
7
SMART N SPEEDY (T)
7
12/1
Fast
55
51
2.5
0.0
0.0
8
A SEPERATE SECRET
8
8/1
Slow
76
74
6.8
0.0
0.0