UFC 114 Odds and Picks – Michael Bisping vs. Dan Miller
The co-main event of UFC 114 is a middleweight contest between Michael Bisping and Dan Miller.
Bisping enters the fight as the slight favorite with a betting line of -165 with Miller given a line of +135 according to online sports book BroburySports.com. Here is a closer look at both fighters heading into this bout, which will take place from the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, beginning at 10PM ET live on pay-per-view.
Michael Bisping (18-3):
Strengths: Bisping is a very quick and agile fighter that likes to box and uses his quickness to out-strike his opponents. Bisping also has a solid wrestling background which comes in handy for him after he tires his opponents with his boxing. While he doesn’t have one-punch knockout power, Bisping is able to knock out opponents with his quantity of punches.
Weaknesses: As he has progresses in his UFC career, Bisping has become more of a tentative fighter and seemed to doubt his ability. He has elected more to out-point his opponents than focusing on finishing them, which some feel led to his losses to Dan Henderson and Wanderlei Silva. Bisping seems to shy to exchange punches as he may doubt his chin after Henderson knocked him out cold at UFC 100.
Last Five Fights:
Unanimous decision loss to Wanderlei Silva at UFC 110 on Feb. 20, 2010
Second round TKO win over Denis Kang at UFC 105 on Nov. 14, 2009
Second round KO loss to Dan Henderson at UFC 100 on July 11, 2009
Unanimous decision win over Chris Leben at UFC 89 on Oct. 18, 2008
First round TKO win over Jason Day at UFC 85 on June 7, 2008
Dan Miller (11-3):
Strengths: Miller is a lot like an angry dog, he just keeps bringing the fight. He isn’t the most skilled or the best athlete, but Miller has plenty of confidence and heart, which carries him a long way in the octagon. Miller’s best assets are his wrestling and submission skills. He is a jiu-jitsu black belt that can score various submissions throughout a fight.
Weaknesses: Like most overly-reliant ground fighters, Miller struggles on his feet. Miller wants to get the fight to the ground, but he has to be able to develop his striking to truly develop an all-around game. In his UFC career, Miller has yet to knock out an opponent, and in this fight, being on his feet will not do him any good.
Last Five Fights:
Unanimous decision loss to Demian Maia at UFC 109 on Feb. 6, 2010
Unanimous decision loss to Chael Sonnen at UFC 98 on May 23, 2009
First round submission win over Jake Rosholt at UFC Fight Night 17 on Feb. 7, 2009
Unanimous decision win over Matt Horwich at UFC 90 on Oct. 25, 2008
First round submission win over Rob Kimmons at UFC Fight Night 15 on Sept. 17, 2008
Who will win: The betting odds for this fight are quite surprising as Bisping has more experience and more big fights, which are key at this level of the UFC. While Miller may be able to land some takedowns, Bisping will be tough to consistently keep on the ground because he will be the bigger fighter. Bisping will have an edge on the feet and will likely be more willing to exchange because he won’t be concerned with being knocked out by Miller. We like Bisping to win by TKO in the second or third round of this fight.
Additional Line: Over/Under 11 minutes for fight length. Over (-120) Under (-120).