10 to Watch: Valero Texas Open
Vegasinsider.com
1. Adam Hadwin, Canada -- Following his first PGA Tour victory last month in the Valspar Championship, Hadwin tied for 36th in his first Masters and rallied to tie for 22nd in the RBC Heritage in what has been a breakthrough season. He has recorded four top-10 finishes, including second to Hudson Swafford in the CareerBuilder Challenge after shooting 59 in the third round. The 29-year-old Canadian also finished sixth in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and tied for 10th in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba, and has recorded seven results in the top 25 to rank fifth in the FedExCup standings. Hadwin, who has 12 pro victories, including two on the Web.com Tour in 2014 when he was leading-money-winner and two on the PGA Tour Canada, is making only his second start in the Valero Texas Open. Two years ago he opened with an ugly 11-over-par 83 before bouncing back with a 69, but still missed the cut by two strokes.
2. Jimmy Walker, United States -- After batting mononucleosis, which led to some inconsistent play early this season, Walker seemed to be better when he tied for 18th in the Masters in his last start, and playing at home in San Antonio might be all he needs to come all the way back. He is making his 11th start in the Valero Texas Open and he won on home turf two years ago by holding off Jordan Spieth, another Texan, down the stretch. Spieth made four birdies in the closing stretch while playing alongside Walker, who fended him off with two of his own to win by four strokes as they both shot 2-under-par 70. Walker, who has six PGA Tour victories including the PGA Championship last year, shot 75-77 -- 152 to miss the cut by seven strokes in his title defense, but he also tied for third in 2010, closing with a 69 to finish two shots behind winner Adam Scott.
3. Matt Kuchar, United States -- "Kooch" followed up his tie for fourth in the Masters by rallying with a 64 in the final round of the RBC Heritage, which he won in 2014, to wind up in a tie for 11th. He took time off at the beginning of this season after playing through December and seems to finally be rounding into form, although he hasn't been too far off his game with seven finishes in the top 25 in 12 starts this season. Kuchar is making his 13th appearance in the Valero Texas open and his best finish in the tournament was a tie for second in 2001, when his 64 in round two highlighted four scores in the 60s, but he wound up two shots behind three-time Texas Open winner Justin Leonard. Kooch also tied for fourth two years ago, moving into a tie for second with a 65 in round three before he finished with a 75 to wind up two strokes behind winner Steven Bowditch.
4. Charley Hoffman, United States -- The defending champion in the Valero Texas Open arrives at TPC San Antonio after missing the cut in the RBC Heritage last week, but he has finished in the top 25 in three of his last five tournaments, including a tie for second last month behind Marc Leishman of Australia in the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Hoffman opened with a 6-under-par 66 on the Oaks Course last year and was in the hunt all the way before sinking an eight-foot birdie putt on the final hole to cap a 69 and beat Patrick Reed by one stroke for his fourth victory on the PGA Tour. He has a remarkable record in the Texas Open, having finished worse than a tie for 13th only once in 12 previous starts, including a tie for second, one shot behind Brendan Steele in 2011, a tie for third in 2013 and a tie for eighth in 2006. Hoffman also tied for 11th three times.
5. Brendan Steele, United States -- Steele claimed his first PGA Tour victory as a rookie six years ago in his first appearance in the Valero Texas Open and has continued to play well at TPC San Antonio in the five years since that breakthrough. He tied for fourth as the defending champion on the Oaks Course, tied for eighth two years ago and last year held the 36-hole lead at 64-70 before playing the weekend in 70-72 and slid to a tie for 13th. Steele sank a seven-foot birdie putt on the 18th hole in 2011 to beat Kevin Chappell and Charley Hoffman by one stroke, but he didn't back that up with his second win on the circuit until he won the Safeway Open last October to start the 2016-17 season. He is well rested after taking two weeks off since tying for 27th in the Masters and hopes to improve on his 10th-place ranking in the FedExCup standings.
6. Brooks Koepka, United States -- After playing some of his best golf of the season in his last two starts against strong fields, tying for ninth in the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play and tying for 11th in the Masters, Koepka will try to keep it going after taking two weeks off. Those were his best results since he finished second in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in October, when he opened with a 62 and stayed in the chase all the way before closing with a 67 to wind up two strokes behind Rod Pampling of Australia. Stardom has been predicted for Koepka since he came out of Florida State in 2012, but he has won only the 2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open on the PGA Tour, although he does have six other victories around the world. In two appearances in the Valero Texas Open, he tied for 36th in 2014 and shot 73-72 -- 145 to miss the cut by one stroke last year.
7. Luke Donald, England -- The Englishman obviously was disappointed to finish second in the RBC Heritage for the fifth time last week (he also has been third twice), this time finishing one stroke behind Wesley Bryan. The former world No. 1 will continue to climb his way back toward the top this week when he plays in the Valero Texas Open for the fifth time. Donald had not teed it up in the tournament since tying for 34th in 2003, but in his first appearance on the AT&T Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio last year, he was two strokes out of the lead in tie for third before closing with a 2-over 74 and skidded to a tie for 13th. When Donald climbed to the top spot in the Official World Golf Rankings in 2011, he tried to get more distance off the tee, but after winning three times in 2012 and another title in 2013, he has gone winless. However, his peerless short game seems to be bringing him back.
8. Martin Laird, Scotland -- The Scot has recorded four finishes in the top 10 on the PGA Tour during the 2016-17 season, the best a tie for seventh in the Waste Management Phoenix Open, and he is back this week at one of his favorite courses, TPC San Antonio. He claimed his third PGA Tour title on the Oaks Course in 2013, coming from five shots down in the final round with an 8-under-par 63 that gave him a two-stroke victory over Rory McIlroy of Northern Ireland, who was challenging for No. 1 in the Official World Golf Rankings at the time. Laird is playing in the Valero Texas Open for the fifth time, and he also tied for ninth in 2011. The 34-year-old has won three times on the PGA Tour, also claiming the 2011 Arnold Palmer Invitational and the 2009 Justin Timberlake Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in a playoff, but lost the same event to Jonathan Byrd in a playoff as defending champion.
9. Patrick Reed, United States -- Perhaps being back in his native Texas will wake up Reed, whose only finish in the top 10 this season on the PGA Tour was a tie for sixth in the SBS Championship at Kapalua in January. He has won five times on the circuit in the last four years, including the Barclays to kick off the PGA Tour playoffs last year, but this year has been a struggle. He has missed the cut in his last two starts, the Shell Houston Open, when he shot 77 in the first round, and the Masters, posting another 77 in the second round. Reed is making his third start in the Valero Texas Open, and last year he opened with a 7-under-par 65 and closed with a 69, only to lose by one stroke when Charley Hoffman sank an eight-foot birdie putt on the final hole. He was born in San Antonio and lives in Spring, Texas, but still is searching for his first PGA Tour victory in the Lone Star State.
10. Kevin Chappell, United States -- A former UCLA All-American who won the Jack Nicklaus Award as college player of the year in 2008, Chappell is coming off a tie for seventh in the Masters in his last start and might finally be ready to live up to the promise he showed coming out of college. He closed with a 4-under-par 68 at Augusta National and showed last year that he isn't afraid of the big stage when he played his way into a playoff with Rory McIlroy and Ryan Moore in the Tour Championship, with McIlroy winning on the fourth extra hole. Chappell will tee it up in the Valero Texas Open for the eighth time and last year he closed with a 4-under-par 68 to wind up in a tie for fourth, three strokes behind winner Charley Hoffman. However, his best result at TPC San Antonio came in 2011, when he was tied for the lead after a first-round 68 and finished in a tie for second, one shot behind Brendan Steele.
Valero Texas Open - Golfers to Bet
By: StatFox.com
After competing in the RBC Heritage last weekend, the TOUR golfers head to San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this weekend. Wesley Bryan came way with the win at Harbour Town Golf Links, shooting a 13-under in the first PGA victory of his career. He defeated Luke Donald by one-stroke in that one, and Donald is expected to be right back at it for this one on Thursday. Bryan is not listed in the field for this one, but top-30 OWGR players like Branden Grace, Patrick Reed, Brooks Koepka, Ryan Moore, and Jimmy Walker will all be out there. Walker won this tournament in 2016, shooting a 12-under to defeat Jordan Spieth by four strokes. Charley Hoffman is, however, the most recent winner in this year’s field. He won last year, so he will be defending his championship this weekend. With that out of the way, let’s now take a look at some of the best picks to win this event:
Branden Grace - Branden Grace has not yet won a tournament in 2017, and he hasn’t placed inside the top-10 of an event either. That should change this weekend, as Grace will be playing in a tournament that features none of the world’s top 10 golfers. Grace also happens to have played pretty well at last week’s RBC Heritage. He shot a 10-under in the event, finishing tied for 11th on the weekend. Look for him to carry some of that momentum into this weekend and don’t be afraid to back him.
Patrick Reed - As previously mentioned, Patrick Reed was the runner-up at this event just a year ago. He shot an 11-under in the tournament, but was unable to defeat Hoffman in the end. Still, Reed looked very comfortable on this golf course and will be excited to get out there this weekend. He’s been cut from each of his last two tournaments, so there will definitely be plenty of hunger there. Don’t be afraid to give him a shot, as he is way too talented to be out of contention in three straight events.
Charley Hoffman - Charley Hoffman is the defending champion for this week’s event, and that is something that is going to show itself beginning Thursday. Winning a tournament gives you the ultimate confidence, so he will definitely be looking forward to playing on this course once again. Hoffman also happens to be playing some good golf coming into this one. He struggled at the RBC Heritage last week, but he did tie for 22nd at The Masters two weeks ago.
Robert Streb - To say that this season has been disappointing for Streb would be an understatement. Last year, the 30-year-old appeared to be one of the emerging talents on the TOUR. Now, he is really scrapping by and could really use a good outing fast. This could be it, as Streb has the type of game to really make noise in San Antonio. He also should be able to take advantage of the watered down field. He’ll be worth a shot with the extremely favorable odds he’s receiving.
Valero Texas Open Preview
By Matt Fargo
Covers.com
The tour heads west following the RBC Heritage and the first career win for Wesley Bryant as it is back to Texas for the Valero Texas Open from the TPC San Antonio Oaks Course. This is the eighth year that the Oaks will host this event and the second straight year that it falls into the same part of the schedule following Hilton Head and preceding the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. The field strength was down last week following the Masters and it is even down lower this week.
For the fourth straight year, the Oaks was ranked as one of the most difficult courses in non-majors while ranking third for toughest in par five scoring and the 7,435-yard layout is expected to play difficult again this year. This is a shotmakers course and that is proven with the way the par fives are played. The scoring average on those holes last year came in at just under par for the fifth straight year and when players can't score on par fives, they aren't going to score much of anywhere else.
Now with seven years of history, we have some good data to look at as far as course history and course fit. Similar to Augusta and Harbour Town, this is a unique course where some players have proven to have a great history here. Additionally, Texas golf is in effect so those who can hit through wind and keep the ball low will be rewarded. Temperatures will be moderate with rain possible early on but the weekend looks great with moderate wind throughout.
This Greg Norman designed layout emphasizes ball striking while distance is a plus as well. That makes Strokes Gained Tee-To-Green a very essential stat this week and even more so with the difficulty of the par fives with three reaching 591 yards and over. Five of the 10 par fours are 450 yards or longer so hitting greens is tough at the Oaks which makes scrambling another key stat to hit on. The winning score has ranged from -8 to -14 since moving here in 2010.
No player from the top 10 is in play this week which should make for a more balanced field and we can see that in the top part of the odds. Defending champion Charley Hoffman and Matt Kuchar are co-favorites at +2,000, followed by Brooks Koepka at +2,300, Adam Hadwin at +2,400 and Branden Grace, Brendan Steele and Ryan Moore all at +2,500. Rounding out the top ten are Billy Horschel at +2,700, Kevin Chappell at +2,700 and Jimmy Walker at +2,800.