Bowl Game & NFL Week 16 Trends
LAS VEGAS, NV (The Spread) – Are you tired of handicapping from hunches? Trend plays can be a profitable way of making some money if they lean towards your side.
Get Carlos Salazar Expert Picks
For example, last week, the trend plays from this column went 2-0-1.There are four college football bowl games this weekend along with a full NFL schedule. There are also some great values in these trends.
When you play trends and angles, make sure you take a delve into each matchup by checking out the logs, injuries and weather. When there are numerous trends that support one side and go against the other, trends can be a helpful tool in accordance to your typical handicapping for a game.
So let’s take a brief look at some key matchups this weekend where trends are prominent on one side and are negative on the other.
Saturday, December 21
Las Vegas Bowl
Sun Boyd Stadium
Fresno State vs. Southern California (-6.5)
Fresno State is:
16-5 last 21 against the spread playing on a Saturday.
16-6 against the spread the last 22 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
7-3 against the spread the last 10 after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Southern California is:
1-8 against the spread last 9 in road games on a Saturday
2-5 against the spread the last 7 vs. Mountain West Conference.
1-7 against the spread the last 8 non-conference games.
2-6 against the spread the last 8 following a double-digit loss at home.
2-5 against the spread the last 7 in December.
Go with Fresno State over USC
Idaho Potato Bowl
Bronco Stadium, Boise, Id.
Buffalo vs. San Diego State (-1.5)
Buffalo is:
7-1 against the spread last 8 on fieldturf.
7-2 against the spread last 9 overall.
5-2 against the spread the last 7 after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
7-2 against the spread the last 9 after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
San Diego State is:
1-6 against the spread against non-conference foes.
1-4 against the spread last 5 in December.
10-22 against the spread after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 games.
Go with Buffalo over San Diego State
Saturday, December 22
NFL
Dallas (-3) at Washington
Dallas is:
1-4 against the spread the last 5 vs. NFC.
1-6 against the spread the last 7 in Week 16.
8-21 against the spread the last 29 in December.
4-13 against the spread the last 17 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Washington is:
6-2 against the spread the last 8 in December.
Underdog is 23-8 against the spread the last 31 in this series.
6-1 against the spread the last 7 in this series.
6-2 against the spread the last 8 at home in this series
Go with Washington over Dallas
Denver (-10.5) vs. Houston
Denver is:
16-5 against the spread in games played on a grass field.
5-0 against the spread the last 5 following a SU loss.
6-1 against the spread last 7 in December.
7-1 against the spread the last 8 after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game
7-2 against the spread vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston is:
2-8 against the spread against conference opponents.
1-4 against the spread following a SU loss.
1-5 against the spread the last 6 in Week 16.
3-7 against the spread the last 10 following an ATS loss.
3-12 against the spread the last 15 overall.
3-12 against the spread their last 15 following a SU loss of more than 14 points.
Go with Denver over Houston
Good luck with your handicapping this weekend, your bowl pools and college selections!
For More of The Best Expert Picks and Analysis Check Out All The Handicappers at TheSpread Insiders!
