Dodgers vs. Phillies Pick
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have an easy time disposing of the host Philadelphia Phillies Monday night? First pitch is 7:05PM EST.
Oddsmakers at sports book Bovada.lv have set the Dodgers as a massive -340 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Phillies are a +270 underdog and the over-under is 7.5. Los Angeles is -170 to win on the -1.5 runline, while Philadelphia is +150 on the +1.5 RL.
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The start for the Dodgers goes to lefty ace Clayton Kershaw (17-3, 2.12 ERA), while the Phillies counter with Nick Pivetta (5-10, 6.75). Kershaw holds a 0.92 WHIP with 188 strikeouts in 157 innings. He allowed two runs (one earned) on eight hits with six strikeouts and a walk over six innings in a 5-3 win at the Giants his last start. Kershaw has a 1.45 ERA in 74 1/3 road innings. Pivetta has a 1.57 WHIP with 121 strikeouts over 116 innings. He has been hit hard his last two starts, giving up a combined 13 earned runs on 18 hits with nine strikeouts and one walk over 10 innings in a 6-3 loss at the Mets and a 9-8 home win over the Marlins. Pivetta has a 6.11 ERA in 53 home innings.
Los Angeles has a 96-53 record and is 44-30 on the road, while Philadelphia comes in at 58-91 and 32-39 at home. The Dodgers swept the Phillies in a three game series in late April and the total went over two times.
On Sunday night, Los Angeles had its four-game win streak snapped with a 7-1 loss at Washington. Logan Forsythe was 1-for-3 with an RBI double, while Yasiel Puig finished 1-for-4 with a run scored. Ross Stripling took the loss in relief. Philadelphia lost two of three at home versus Oakland including a 6-3 decision in the series finale Sunday. Maikel Franco was 3-for-4 with two RBIs to pace the offense. Henderson Alvarez gave up four earned runs in five innings to take the loss.
The steep moneyline on the Dodgers is too much for us to stomach, although it does seem like a sure bet. The pitching matchup is as lopsided as it gets and Kershaw has pitched much of his best baseball this year on the road. We’re going to predict Los Angeles hits Pivetta hard, while Kershaw does his usual thing and the Dodgers win by multiple runs.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: LOS ANGELES DODGERS RL -170