Diamondbacks vs. Giants Prediction
After a strong start to the season, the Giants are sinking fast in the NL West. They’ll try to avoid yet another loss to division rival Arizona tonight at 10:15PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Giants are -134 money line favorites versus the Diamondbacks, who are +124 to pull off the upset. With this matchup featuring aces Zack Greinke and Madison Bumgarner, the over/under tonight sits at just 6.5 runs.
Bet Tonight’s Diamondbacks vs. Giants Game
Greinke is 0-2 to start the year with his new team but he did pitch 7 1/3 innings in his last outing, which wound up being a no-decision at San Diego. His ERA (6.75) is a tad inflated, but his 4.45 FIP and 4.20 xFIP still provide plenty of insight into his struggles. His K/9 rate of 7.79 is down a tad from his career numbers (8.11), but it’s early. All-in-all, he’s simply been average to start the year.
Bumgarner, meanwhile, will probably take average at this point. He owns a 1-1 record but his ERA is 4.50 and his FIP (5.19) is even worse. He did pitch in Milwaukee to start the year and against the Dodgers in his two starts since, so his xFIP (3.82) is perhaps a better indication of where he’s at. The strikeout rate (11.81) remains high, but unfortunate for Bumgarner so does his walk rate (3.94). The good news? His BABIP is .349, which should come down over his next few starts.
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OUR PREDICTION: The under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams and 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings in San Francisco. The under is also 5-2 in Bumgarner’s last seven starts versus the Diamondbacks and 5-2 in the Giants’ last seven games against a right-handed starter. On the other side, the under has cashed in seven of the D-Backs’ last 10 road games and, for one reason or another, is a perfect 6-0 in their last six games played on Wednesday. These two pitchers are better than what they’ve shown to date and with San Francisco’s offense scuffling, tonight is a perfect time to take the under in what should be a 3-2 or even 2-1 game.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PREDICTION: DIAMONDBACKS/GIANTS UNDER 6.5
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