Diamondbacks vs. Giants Pick
The Giants are in the midst of a funk and will look to avoid losing for the fifth consecutive game when they host the Diamondbacks today at 3:45PM ET.
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Giants are -175 money line favorites over the Diamondbacks, who have odds of +155 to pull off yet another upset against their division rivals. With Shelby Miller set to face Johnny Cueto in the pitching matchup, the total currently sits at 7.5 runs.
Bet Today’s Diamondbacks vs. Giants Game
Miller was acquired this offseason to be the No. 2 to Zack Greinke and thus far, he’s been wretched for Arizona. In 12.2 innings pitched Miller has surrendered 12 runs on 17 hits and has already given up 5 home runs. Neither his standard numbers (8.53 ERA) or advanced metrics (8.18 FIP) tell the tale of a quality pitcher right now and despite being a strikeout pitcher, his K/9 sits at a pedestrian 6.39 (while his walk rate is 4.26).
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Cueto, who is also pitching for a new team, has been a different story. He’s 3-0 on the year with a 3.38 ERA and a dazzling 1.97 FIP to go with healthy strikeout (8.02) and walk (1.69) rates. His BABIP is right at the average (.302) so there’s been no batted-ball luck for Cueto, he’s just been great.
OUR PICK: Having lost four-straight games, the Giants are due for a major breakout and Miller should provide their usually potent offense with plenty of firepower today. Having Pat Hoberg behind the plate should help San Francisco as well, as the home team has won four of his last five games behind home plate. The D-Backs, meanwhile, are 1-4 in their last five games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game while the Giants have taken nine of their last 12 after losing the first three games of a series. With San Fran sitting at -175 on the money line, opt for the Giants on the runline. They’re due to give a pounding for once.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -1.5 (+135)
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