Following their route of the Twins on Tuesday, the Astros have an opportunity to close out their ALDS matchup versus Minnesota on Wednesday night. Will Houston take care of business or will Minnesota stave off elimination for another few days? Check out our Astros vs. Twins Game 4 prediction.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
933 Houston Astros (+105) at 934 Minnesota Twins (-125); o/u 8
7:07 p.m. ET, Wednesday, October 11, 2023
Target Field, Minneapolis, MN
Astros vs. Twins Game 4 Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 55% of bets are on the Astros’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Houston Astros DFS SPIN
José Abreu blasted a pair of homers and drove in five runs, powering the Astros to a 9-1 victory over the Twins in Game 3 of the ALDS in Minnesota to take a 2-1 series lead. The Astros jumped all over Sonny Gray in the opening inning of this one, with Abreu’s mammoth 442-foot blast (109.7 mph EV) increasing their early advantage to 4-0. It was the first home run that Sonny Gray had surrendered on a sweeper all season. The 36-year-old slugger then capped off the scoring in the ballgame with a 440-foot (110.2 mph EV) two-run blast off of Bailey Ober in the ninth inning. He finished the afternoon 2-for-5 and is now hitting .250 (3-for-12) with a pair of homers and six RBI in three postseason games. The Astros will attempt to close out the Twins and punch their ticket to the ALCS on Wednesday afternoon in Minnesota.
Minnesota Twins DFS SPIN
Willi Castro went 1-for-3 and drove in the Twins’ lone run as they fell to the Astros in Game 3 of the ALDS on Tuesday afternoon in Minnesota. Castro finally got the Twins on the board as he plated Carlos Correa with an RBI single off of Hunter Brown in the seventh inning. That would be their only tally in the ballgame. Castro also drew a walk in the contest, reaching base safely in two of his three plate appearances. The Twins will now have their backs up against the wall as they attempt to stave off elimination on their home field on Wednesday afternoon.
Astros vs. Twins Game 4 MLB Betting Trends
The Astros are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games on the road
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games when playing Houston
Minnesota is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Astros vs. Twins Game 4 MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Take Minnesota. The Twins will not go off slightly into the good night. Against the current Houston roster, Joe Ryan owns a .239 batting average against and a .358 wOBA. His expected numbers are all sound versus Houston, as well. He currently owns a .206 expected batting average against, a .400 expected slugging percentage and a .329 xwOBA. He’ll fare better than Sonny Gray did yesterday and give Minnesota’s underrated offense an opportunity to get to Jose Urquidy.
Astros vs. Twins Game 4 MLB Playoffs Prediction: TWINS -125
