Braves vs. Phillies Prediction
Charlie Morton will oppose Taijuan Walker in Monday afternoon’s pitching matchup at Citizens Bank Park, where the Phillies will host the Braves at 1:05 p.m. ET. With the Phillies listed as home underdogs and the total sitting at 9.5 runs, what’s the best bet today in Philly?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
901 Atlanta Braves (-155) at 902 Philadelphia Phillies (+130); o/u 9.5
1:05 p.m. ET, Monday, September 11, 2023
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Braves vs. Phillies Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 52% of bets are on the Braves’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN
Matt Olsen went 2-for-3 with three RBI and a walk Sunday in propelling the Braves past the Pirates 5-2. Well, this is new. Olson, who leads the majors with 121 RBI, had driven in three runs on 14 occasions this season, but he hadn’t done so without the benefit of a homer. He had a two-run single and a run-scoring groundout today.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
J.T. Realmuto is not in the Phillies’ starting lineup for the first game of Monday’s doubleheader against the Braves. He’ll almost certainly find himself back in there for the nightcap. Garrett Stubbs will do the catching for the Phillies in the first game of Monday’s twin bill and will bat ninth against Charlie Morton and the Braves.
Braves vs. Phillies MLB Betting Trends
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Braves vs. Phillies MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me the over. Morton owns a 0.317 xwOBA against the current Phillies’ roster, which is batting .280 against the Atlanta starter. Walker hasn’t fared much better against the Braves, whose current roster is batting .373 against the Philadelphia starter, with an expected slugging percentage of .466. Walker also has a paltry 14.1% strikeout rate against the current Atlanta roster, so runs should not be at a premium today at Citizens Bank Park.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: BRAVES/PHILLIES OVER 9.5
