Brewers vs. Braves Prediction
Colin Rea will oppose AJ Smith-Shawver in Sunday’s pitching matchup between the Brewers and Braves. With Atlanta listed as a huge moneyline favorite and the total sitting at 11.5 runs, what’s the best bet when it comes to today’s game in Atlanta?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
953 Milwaukee Brewers (+170) at 954 Atlanta Braves (-200); o/u 11.5
1:35 p.m. ET, Sunday, July 30, 2023
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Brewers vs. Braves Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 71% of bets are on the Braves’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Milwaukee Brewers DFS SPIN
William Contreras had a three-run homer and a double against his old team in Saturday’s loss to the Braves. The Braves obviously have no regrets about trading Contreras for Sean Murphy in last winter’s three-team deal. The Brewers have to be happy, too; they would have been better off in the short term with Murphy, but Contreras has met expectations and Joel Payamps, seemingly a throw-in from the A’s, has been one of the NL’s most valuable relievers. Contreras is currently hitting .274/.349/.448, and he’s posted great framing numbers behind the plate.
Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN
Ronald Acuña Jr. went 3-for-4 with a two-run homer and swiped his 50th base of the season Saturday against the Brewers. Acuña’s homer was his 24th. He’s the 20th player ever with 20 homers and 50 steals in a season. No one had done that since 2007, when both Hanley Ramirez (29 HR, 51 SB) and Eric Byrnes (21 HR, 50 SB) pulled it off. Barring something terrible, Acuña will become the third member of the 30-50 club, joining Eric Davis (37 HR, 50 SB in 1987) and Barry Bonds (33 HR, 52 SB in 1990).
Brewers vs. Braves MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee’s last 15 games
Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Milwaukee
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Brewers vs. Braves MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Rea is 5-4 on the year with a 4.53 ERA. In two career starts against the Braves, Rea is 1-0 and owns a 3.55 ERA. More importantly, he’s 5-1 in his last six starts that have resulted in decisions and just struck out five while allowing two runs over six innings against the Reds on July 24. On the other side, Smith-Shawver has made four appearances for the Braves in June with three starts. He’s 1-0 with a 4.32 ERA. Even with Atlanta’s high-powered offense, this total feels high. Give me the under.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: BREWERS/BRAVES UNDER 11.5