Brewers vs. Reds Prediction
Thanks to Corbin Burnes, the Brewers completely shut down the Reds in a 1-0 victory on Friday night in Cincinnati. Will Freddy Peralta do the same on Saturday night when these two teams square off at 7:10 p.m. ET?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
907 Milwaukee Brewers (+100) at 908 Cincinnati Reds (-120); o/u 10
7:10 p.m. ET, Saturday, July 15, 2023
Great American Ballpark, Cincinnati, OH
Brewers vs. Reds Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 75% of bets are on the Reds’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Milwaukee Brewers DFS SPIN
Brian Anderson was scratched from the Brewers’ starting lineup on Friday due to lower back discomfort. The injury isn’t believed to be serious and he’s considered day-to-day. Andruw Monasterio will replace him at third base and bat sixth against Graham Ashcraft and the Reds on Friday evening in Cincinnati.
Cincinnati Reds DFS SPIN
After being dropped from third to fifth in the order, Jonathan India went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Friday against the Brewers. The Reds lineup went 2-for-29 with 18 strikeouts tonight, so India’s performance didn’t stand out. It’s understandable that the Reds dropped him out of the third spot, given that he has the second lowest OPS (.742) of the team’s nine primary starters (Tyler Stephenson is at .706). Statcast, though, believes India is hitting about as well as anyone on the team, Joey Votto’s small sample size excepted. It’s just that he’s one of the few players on the team not overachieving, based on wOBA and xwOBA. India could move back up later.
Brewers vs. Reds MLB Betting Trends
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Milwaukee is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Brewers vs. Reds MLB BETTING PREDICTION
I know Andrew Abbott has been outstanding in his seven starts thus far, posting a 4-1 record and a 2.38 ERA across 41 2/3 innings, but I like the value of Milwaukee tonight. Freddy Peralta has pitched better than his 4.70 ERA would indicate, with his expected statistics all within healthy ranges. The Brewers’ offense has also been slightly better over its lats 10 games (+115 wRC+) than the Reds’ offense has over that same span (+103 wRC+).
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: MILWAUKEE BREWERS +100