Brewers vs. Reds Pick
Are the Milwaukee Brewers going to rebound Tuesday night in game two of their series at the Cincinnati Reds? First pitch is at 7:10PM EST.
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Brewers are a -148 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Reds are a +128 underdog, while the over-under is set at 9.5
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On the mound for the Brewers will be Zach Davies (16-7, 3.85 ERA), while the Reds counter with Robert Stephenson (3-4, 5.52). Davies carries a 1.34 WHIP with 109 strikeouts in 163 2/3 innings. He allowed two earned runs on six hits with four strikeouts and two walks in a 6-3 home win over the Nationals his last time out. He has a sparkling 2.13 ERA in 13 road starts. Stephenson has a 1.70 WHIP with 62 strikeouts in 58 2/3 innings. He has been much better than his numbers indicate over his last five appearances, allowing only six earned runs over 24 1/3 innings. He gave up two earned runs on five hits with seven strikeouts and three walks over six innings in a 7-2 home win over the Mets his last start.
Milwaukee enters with a 72-66 record and is 33-34 on the road, while Cincinnati is 59-79 and 34-36 at home. The Brewers have won six of the last 10 meetings, while the total has gone over in eight of them.
On Tuesday, the Reds won a 5-4 thriller as Billy Hamilton hit a walk-off solo home run in the bottom of the ninth. Hamilton ended the game 2-for-5 from the leadoff spot. Scooter Gennett was 2-for-4 with a run, while Tucker Barnhart had a hit and two RBIs. Rafael Iglesias earned the win in relief. Orlando Arcia hit a three-run homer for the Brewers. Ryan Braun finished 3-for-4 with a home run. Josh Hader suffered the loss in relief.
The Reds are starting to get what they envisioned with Stephenson and we think he’ll have another quality start here against a lineup that strikes out a lot and has plenty of right-handed bats. Davie has been good, but he’ll have to navigate through a hitter’s haven here without the benefit of a high strikeout rate. Take the hosts to win again.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: CINCINNATI REDS +128