Brewers vs. Reds Pick
Are the host Cincinnati Reds going to finish off a three-game sweep of the Milwaukee Brewers Wedensday afternoon? First pitch is at 12:35PM EST.
According to oddsmakers at Bovada.lv, the Reds are listed as a -155 favorite to win on the moneyline. The Brewers are a +135 underdog and the over-under is 9.5.
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Matt Garza (6-8, 4.77 ERA) will start for Milwaukee, while Cincinnati will counter with rookie Luis Castillo (2-7, 3.32). Garza has a 1.44 WHIP with 75 strikeouts in 109 1/3 innings. He gave up six runs (three earned) on four hits two two strikeouts and five walks over 3 1/3 innings in his last start, a 10-2 home loss to the Cardinals. He has a 5.89 ERA in nine road starts. Castillo holds a 1.13 ERA iwth 88 strikeouts over 81 1/3 innings. He surrendered two earned runs on three hits with five strikeouts and a wlk over four innings in a 7-3 win at Pittsburgh his last outing. He has a 3.89 home ERA in six starts.
The Brewers are 72-67 and 33-35 on the road, while the Reds come in at 60-79 and 35-36 at home. The two teams have split the last 10 meetings 5-5 and the total has gone over eight times.
On Tuesday, the Reds won their second straight in the series by a count of 9-3. Scooter Gennett was 2-for-4 with his 24th homer of the season, a double and three RBIs. Zach Cozart went 2-for-4 with a double, a walk, a run and two RBIs. Joey Votto was 2-for-4 with a walk and a run. Robert Stephenson gave up one earned run and struck out seven over six innings to get the win. Rafael Iglesias picked up his 25th save. Travis Shaw led the Brewers with a two-run homer and a walk. Stephen Vogt added an RBI double. Domingo Santana had a double and scored a run, while Ryan Braun added a single and scored a run. Zach Davies allowed two runs (one earned) over 5 2/3 innings to take the loss.
The Reds are using the much better starting pitcher and have an offense that typically cooks at home. While the Brewers are in must-win mode in the NL Wild Card race, this matchup isn’t suited well for them on getaway day.
MLB DAILY PREDICTION: CINCINNATI REDS -155