With Brandon Pfaadt set to oppose Corbin Burnes in the Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Game 1 matchup on Tuesday night, what’s the best bet for this matchup? First pitch is set for 7:08 p.m. ET from American Family Field.
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
949 Arizona Diamondbacks (+150) at 950 Milwaukee Brewers (-180); o/u 8
7:08 p.m. ET, Tuesday, October 3, 2023
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Game 1Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 72% of bets are on the Brewers’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Arizona Diamondbacks DFS SPIN
The Diamondbacks announced Sunday that Brandon Pfaadt will get the ball for Game 1 of their Wild Card Series against the Brewers. The 24-year-old rookie right-hander has been throwing the ball as well as anyone in the league over his last three starts — posting a 2.93 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and a 22/1 K/BB ratio over 15 1/3 innings of work. Pfaadt has not taken on the Brewers yet this season. Presumably, Zac Gallen would work in Game 2 of the series with Merrill Kelly taking the ball in Game 3 if necessary.
Milwaukee Brewers DFS SPIN
Brewers manager Craig Counsell revealed Monday that Brandon Woodruff will miss the NL Wild Card Series against the Diamondbacks with a right shoulder capsular injury. Counsell also noted that his availability for the remainder of the postseason is up in the air as well. It’s a brutal break for Woodruff and for the Brewers, as the right-hander had been pitching quite well down the stretch. The Brewers will still have Corbin Burnes and Freddy Peralta to lean on for the first two games of the series, but it gets dicey after that.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Game 1MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games at home
The Over/Under has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 6 games
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Game 1MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Take the under. Burnes has solid numbers against the current Milwaukee roster. His 19.5-percent strikeout percentage is solid, as well as his .244 batting average against and his .281 wOBA. His expected stats are all solid as well, with a .249 expected batting average against, a .400 expected slugging percentage and a .301 xwOBA. He’ll pitch well and given Milwaukee’s offensive struggles last season in the playoffs, the Brewers are a good bet to falter again in that area.
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Game 1 MLB Playoffs Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers -180
