Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction
Zach Davies will oppose Jose Quintana in Monday night’s pitching matchup at Citi Field, where the Mets will host the Diamondbacks at 7:10 p.m. ET. With the Mets listed as home favorites and the total sitting at 9 runs, what’s the best bet tonight in New York?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
907 Arizona Diamondbacks (+110) at 908 New York Mets (-130); o/u 9
7:10 p.m. ET, Monday, September 11, 2023
Citi Field, New York, NY
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 56% of bets are on the Mets’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Arizona Diamondbacks DFS SPIN
Brandon Pfaadt was lit up for four runs over six innings on Sunday in a no-decision against the Cubs. Pfaadt was once again burned by the long ball, giving up a trio of third-inning round-trippers to Christopher Morel, Cody Bellinger and Dansby Swanson, respectively. He notched four strikeouts and only handed out one free pass. The 24-year-old rookie right-hander continues to struggle to keep the ball in the yard, serving up a staggering 20 homers in just 80 2/3 innings (15 starts) to open his big league career.
New York Mets DFS SPIN
Francisco Alvarez was removed from Sunday’s ballgame against the Twins after being hit by a pitch on his right hand. Fortunately, X-rays came back negative for any fractures and the 21-year-old slugger is considered day-to-day. Alvarez has clubbed 22 homers and driven in 51 runs for the Mets this season — but has done so by hitting just .215/.292/.435 in his first full taste of big league action.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 7 games
NY Mets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Arizona
Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me the over. Both of these pitchers have had their issues with the opposing rosters that they’ll face tonight at Citi Field. Davies has a paltry 14.1% strikeout rate against the current Mets roster, while Quintana has posted a 15.5% strikeout rate. The Mets also own a xwOBA of .348 against Davies, along with an expected batting average of .278 and an expected slug of .496. The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, own a xwOBA of .429 against Quintana, with an expected batting average of .366 and an expected slug of .600.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: DIAMONDBACKS/METS OVER 9
