Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction
Zac Gallen will oppose Joey Lucchesi in Wednesday night’s pitching matchup at Citi Field, where the Mets will host the Diamondbacks at 7:10 p.m. ET. With the Mets listed as home dogs and the total sitting at 8 runs, what’s the smart bet tonight in New York?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
907 Arizona Diamondbacks (-142) at 908 New York Mets (+120); o/u 8
7:10 p.m. ET, Wednesday, September 13, 2023
Citi Field, New York, NY
Diamondbacks vs. Mets Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 55% of bets are on the Diamondbacks’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Arizona Diamondbacks DFS SPIN
Ryne Nelson was charged with six runs in 4 1/3 innings Tuesday in a loss to the Mets. Nelson had a nice outing last week in his return to the majors, but he’s now given up six runs in three of his last four starts, dating back to early August. The Diamondbacks lack quality alternatives, so they’ll probably stick with him for now.
New York Mets DFS SPIN
Mets placed RHP Sean Reid-Foley on the 15-day injured list with a right lat strain. Reid-Foley had made just eight appearances since returning from Tommy John surgery, allowing three runs in 7 2/3 innings. He’s likely done for the season.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arizona’s last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona’s last 6 games
NY Mets is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
NY Mets is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Arizona
Diamondbacks vs. Mets MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me the Diamondbacks. Against the current New York roster, Gallen has a xwOBA of .188, an expected batting average against of just .151 and an expected slug of .224. Those are all outstanding advanced metrics for Gallen. Those same metrics paint a rough picture for Lucchesi, who has a xwOBA of .426 against the current Diamondbacks’ roster, as well as a .328 expected batting average and an expected slug of .641.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -142
