Sunday Night Baseball Free Pick
(The Spread) – The World Series champs will make another appearance on ESPN Sunday Night Baseball, as the Giants host the Indians tonight.
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bodog have made the Giants –135 money line favorites over the visiting Indians, who are +127 on the ML. The over/under total for this game is currently 7 runs.
Pitching Matchup: Fausto Carmona will take on Madison Bumgarner in tonight’s pitching matchup. Carmona has struggled to the tune of a 4-9 record with a 5.98 ERA, while Bumgarner is 3-9 with a 4.06 ERA and was absolutely lit up for 8 runs on nine hits in just one inning against the Twins earlier this week.
Public Betting: Of the 3,000-plus wagers on tonight’s game, 63% of MLB public bettors favor the Giants –135.
MLB Free Pick: Don’t let Bumgarner’s record and ERA fool you. Before his disastrous outing against Minnesota in his last start, he had 10-straight quality starts. He just hasn’t received any run support (which has affected his record) and not being able to get out of the first inning against the Twins blew up his ERA. Other than that, he’s been solid. But instead of laying –138 on the money line and taking the Giants, go with the real value: the under. According to latest MLB trends, the under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams. The Giants have outstanding pitching but they have the second worst offense in the league. As long as Bumgarner can avoid another 8-run first inning, bettors can probably count on another low-scoring affair in San Fran.
ESPN SUNDAY NIGHT BASEBALL FREE PICK: INDIANS/GIANTS UNDER 7
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