Nationals vs. Phillies Prediction
After they were smoked 17-3 on Saturday, will the Nationals rebound with a win on the runline today when they visit the Phillies at 1:35PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Nationals are -175 money line favorites versus the Phillies, who have odds of +157 to pull off the upset. With Stephen Strasburg set to face Jeremy Hellickson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 7.5 runs for today’s game.
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WASHINGTON KEY TRENDS: The Nationals have won 11 of Strasburg’s last 13 road starts and are 14-3 in his last 17 outings when their opponent scores five runs or more in its previous game. The Nats have also won seven of Strasburg’s last nine road starts versus an opponent with a losing record and are 37-15 in his last 52 outings overall.
PHILADELPHIA KEY TRENDS: The Phillies have won four of Hellickson’s last five home starts but are just 2-6 in his last eight starts when he’s coming off five days of rest in between. They’re also 1-5 in his last six outings versus National League East opponents and have lost nine of their last 12 games dating back to last season.
Bet Today’s Nationals vs. Phillies Game
OUR PICK: The Nationals are 4-0 in Strasburg’s last four starts against the Phillies and are 4-0 in his last four road starts versus Philadelphia. Despite getting shellacked yesterday, the Nats have also won 15 of their last 18 games in Philadelphia and are 27-11 in their last 38 games versus the Phillies overall. While the Nationals don’t provide a ton of value for bettors today, if you take them on the runline they won’t kill your bankroll if they produce another dud.
SUNDAY MLB FREE PICK: WASHINGTON NATIONALS -1.5 (-105)