Jesus Luzardo will oppose Zack Wheeler in the Marlins vs. Phillies Game 1 playoff matchup at 8:08 p.m. ET on Tuesday night. Will the Phillies cash as a large home favorite? Or is there a better bet ton the board?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
945 Miami Marlins (+136) at 946 Philadelphia Phillies (-162); o/u 7.5
8:00 p.m. ET, Tuesday, October 3, 2023
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA
Marlins vs. Phillies Game 1 Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 72% of bets are on the Phillies’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
Miami Marlins DFS SPIN
Luis Arraez, who last started a game on Sept. 23, is expected to be in Tuesday’s lineup against the Phillies. Arraez has a total of seven at-bats since injuring his ankle Sept. 19, but the Marlins are optimistic he’ll be ready. They certainly need him at the top of the lineup.
Philadelphia Phillies DFS SPIN
Phillies manager Rob Thomson confirmed Sunday that Zack Wheeler will start Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Marlins on Tuesday. It doesn’t come as a surprise at all, as Wheeler is considered the ace of the Phillies’ staff and went 13-6 with a 3.61 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and a 212/39 K/BB ratio over 192 innings in his 32 regular season starts. He’ll go toe-to-toe with Jesus Luzardo in Tuesday’s critical battle against the Marlins in Philadelphia. Aaron Nola will follow him and start in Game 2 of the series.
Marlins vs. Phillies Game 1 MLB Betting Trends
Miami is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The Marlins 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The Phillies are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
Marlins vs. Phillies Game 1 MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Take the under. Luzardo owns a .232 batting average against, a .372 expected slug and an xwOBA of .290 against the current Philadelphia roster. On the other side, Wheeler’s numbers are just as strong against the current Miami roster. His expected batting average against of .266 is solid, as well as his expected slug of .395 and his xwOBA of .313. Runs will be at a premium tonight at Citizens Bank Park.
Marlins vs. Phillies Game 1 MLB Playoffs Prediction: UNDER 7.5
