Mets vs. Braves Prediction
David Peterson will oppose Allan Winans in Monday night’s matchup at Truist Park, where the Braves will host the Mets at 7:20 p.m. ET. With the Braves listed as massive home favorites and the total sitting at 10 runs, what’s the best bet tonight in Atlanta?
Game Matchup & Betting Odds
955 New York Mets (+170) at 956 Atlanta Braves (-205); o/u 10
7:20 p.m. ET, Monday, August 21, 2023
Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Mets vs. Braves Public Betting Information
As of this writing, our MLB Public Betting Page shows that 79% of bets are on the Pirates’ moneyline. That said, this page is updated frequently so make sure that you click on the link provided so that you’re getting the most updated information.
New York Mets DFS SPIN
Carlos Carrasco surrendered three runs in four-plus innings Sunday in a loss to the Cardinals. It was one run through four innings, but Carrasco gave up a double to Alec Burleson and a homer to Paul Goldschmidt to open the fifth. Since somehow shutting out the Diamondbacks for eight innings on July 6, Carrasco has given up 31 runs — 29 earned — in 27 1/3 innings over seven starts, leaving him with a 6.42 ERA for the season.
Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN
Braves recalled RHP Allan Winans from Triple-A Gwinnett. Winans will presumably replace an injured Yonny Chirinos (elbow) in Atlanta’s starting rotation, and will take the ball on Monday night against the Mets, who have struggled to a lackluster .710 OPS across 35 games since the All-Star break. The unheralded 28-year-old right-hander has excelled in a pair of spot starts in the majors this season, compiling a microscopic 1.59 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 14/3 K/BB ratio across 11 1/3 innings of work. It’s an extremely small sample size, but Winans has also excelled this year for Triple-A Gwinnett, posting a stellar 2.79 ERA and 1.03 WHIP across 113 innings (20 appearances, 15 starts). He spun a nine-strikeout, seven-inning gem his last time out against the Mets back on August 12, and represents an intriguing streaming option for fantasy managers, even in shallow mixed leagues, on Monday night against New York.
Mets vs. Braves MLB Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets’s last 5 games on the road
NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Mets vs. Braves MLB BETTING PREDICTION
Give me the over. Since August 1, the Braves own the highest wRC+ in baseball at 140, which is 40 percentage points higher than average. The Mets, meanwhile, are slightly above average at 102 over that same span. Over his last three appearances (10 1/3 innings), Peterson owns a 2.61 ERA but a 7.14 FIP, suggesting he’s struggling more than his ERA would indicate. The Mets’ pen has also struggled this month, posting a 7.03 ERA and 5.55 FIP since August 1.
MLB BETTING PREDICTION: METS/BRAVES OVER 10