Mets vs. Brewers Prediction: Will over hit in Matt Harvey’s return? 5/12/17

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

Will the over cash tonight when the Brewers host the Mets tonight at 8:10PM ET in Matt Harvey’s return?

According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Mets are -111 money line favorites versus the Brewers, who have odds of -105 to pull off the small upset. With Harvey set to face Matt Garza in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs.

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METS KEY TRENDS: The Mets are just 1-4 in Harvey’s last five road starts, are 0-4 in his last four outings overall and are 0-7 in his last seven starts after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. That said, they’re 5-2 in their last seven games overall and have won 23 of their last 33 games following an off day.

BREWERS KEY TRENDS: The Brewers have won eight of Garza’s last 10 home starts and are 5-2 in his last seven outings when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. They’re also 4-1 in their last five home games versus a right-handed starter and are 8-2 in their last 10 games when opening a new series.

Bet Tonight’s Mets vs. Brewers Game

OUR PREDICTION: The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams in Milwaukee and 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings overall. The under is also 4-1-1 in Harvey’s last six starts during the first game of a series and 5-2 in his last seven road outings. On the other side, The under is 4-1-1 in Garza’s last six home starts and has cashed in five of his last seven outings when their opponent scores five runs or more in their previous game.

 

FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: METS/BREWERS UNDER 9

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