Mets vs. Rockies Free Pick
DENVER, CO (ATS Consultants) – This is the first game of a three-game series. The Mets are coming off a three-game home sweep of Miami, while Colorado lost 2 out of 3 at Pittsburgh. Boston just swept the Twins, while the White Sox lost two straight to Oakland. Chris Schwinden takes on Drew Pomeranz. The first game of the series starts at 8:40pmET in Denver.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Rockies as -160 favorites. The Mets are 11-8 overall and 8-11 Under, while the Rockies are 9-9 overall and 8-10 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Rockies opened as a -150 favorite and moved to -160. The total has remained at 9.5 in most books.
View Latest 2012 World Series Odds
PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 57% of public bettors favor the Rockies. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: According to the latest MLB trends, Mets are 5-2 Over last 7 meetings, 22-6-1 Over last 29 games as a road underdog, 19-6-2 Over last 27 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 23-8-1 Over last 32 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and is 4-0 Over in Schwinden’s last 4 starts overall. Colorado is 4-1 Over last 5 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 4-1 Over last 5 Friday games, 7-2-2 Over is 7-2-2 last 11 vs. a team with a winning record and 6-2-1 Over last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Mets send 25-year old RH Chris Schwinden (2011: 0-2, 4.71 ERA) to the mound vs. Rockies LH Drew Pomeranz (0-1, 6.75 ERA). Schwinden made four starts for New York last September, allowing a total of 23 hits while striking out 17 in 21 innings. He got the call in AAA Buffalo, where he was 2-2 with a 2.05 ERA. Pomerenz has issued five walks in 9 1/3 innings this year and has never made it through six innings in six career major league outings. With two young pitchers, one with control issues and another making his first MLB starts this year, this screams over.
FRIDAY MLB FREE PICK: METS/ROCKIES OVER 9.5
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