Fourth of July MLB Free Pick
SEATTLE, WA (ATS Consultants) – This is the third game of a three-game series as Chris Tillman takes the mound for Baltimore and Seattle is going with Hector Noesi. The first pitch is scheduled for 4:10PM ET.
ODDS: The oddsmakers have installed the Orioles as a -110 favorite over the Mariners. The total is 8 in most books. The Orioles come in with a 42-37 overall record and are 36-41 Under, while the Mariners are 35-47 overall and are 38-43 Under.
LINE MOVEMENT: The Orioles opened as a -110 favorite and remained there at most books. The total started at 8 and remained there at most books.
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PUBLIC BETTING: Of the wagers currently placed on tonight’s game, 71% of public bettors favor the Orioles. These numbers are subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the “Public Betting” link available in this paragraph to get the most up-to-date information.
MLB FREE PICK: Take the under. According to latest MLB trends, Baltimore is 1-4 Under last 5 Wednesday games, 7-18-1 Under last 26 road games vs. a right-handed starter and is 4-10 Under in Tillman’s last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Seattle is 1-9 Under last 10 overall, 1-8 Under last 9 vs. American League East, 0-4 Under in Noesi’s last 4 starts with 4 days of rest. Chris Tillman makes his first start for the Orioles this season. The talented right handed spent the season at AAA Norfolk. Last year, he pitched well against Seattle, outdueling Felix Hernandez, 4-2 on May 11, 2011. Noesi is having a rough year and he struggled against Boston in his last start, giving up 5 runs in 5 innings. But the Orioles are not hitting right now this is the perfect tie for Noesi to give them 6 innings and 3 runs. Tillman has a mid-nineties fastball and considering many Seattle hitters haven’t seen him, he’ll have the advantage.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: ORIOLES/MARINERS UNDER 8
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