Thursday MLB Free Pick
(The Spread) – In what should be a great pitching matchup tonight, the Seattle Mariners will host the Tampa Bay Rays at 10:10PM ET.
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bodog have made the Mariners –115 money line favorites over the visiting Rays, who are +108 on the ML. The over/under for tonight’s game is currently 6.5 runs.
Pitching Matchup: Tonight should be a good one, as James Shields will take on Felix Hernandez. Shields comes into tonight with a 5-3 record and an outstanding 2.15 ERA over 83.2 innings. King Felix has been solid himself, posting a 5-4 record with a 3.19 ERA over 84.2 innings.
Line Movement: The line has moved quite a bit since the opening odds were released. The Mariners opened as –124 money line favorites and since then their odds have dropped significantly. They’re down as far as –113 at some books, although most have them listed between –115 and –118.
Public Betting Information: Current public betting information shows that of the 8,700-plus wagers placed on tonight’s game, 60% of public bettors favor the Rays +108 over the Mariners.
MLB Free Pick: Take Seattle. Shields has been filthy this year but how often do you get to take King Felix at such a reasonable price? The M’s are 4-0 in his last four outings against the Rays and 6-0 in his last six home starts against Tampa. The Rays are just 1-5 in their last six road games and according to latest MLB trends, they’re 1-4 in their last five road games versus a team with a winning home record.
THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: SEATTLE MARINERS –115
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