Wednesday MLB Free Pick
(The Spread) – The Phillies and Cubs wrap up a three-game series today at 2:20PM ET. Who has the edge in this rubber match?
Odds: Oddsmakers from online sports book Bodog have made the Phillies –107 money line favorites over the Cubs, who are +101 on the ML. The over/under total for this game is currently 11.5 runs.
Pitching Matchup: Vance Worley will take on Ryan Dempster in today’s pitching matchup. Worley is 5-1 on the year with a 2.15 ERA and hasn’t lost a decision in five starts. Dempster, meanwhile, is 7-6 on the year with a 4.68 ERA and hasn’t lost a decision in his last four starts.
Public Betting: Of the 6,200-plus wagers on today’s game, 78% of the MLB betting public favors the Phillies –107.
MLB Free Pick: Take Philadelphia. According to latest MLB trends, the Phillies are 4-1 in their last five games against the Cubs and 5-0 in Worley’s last five starts. They’re also 4-1 in his last five road starts and 4-1 in his last five starts when they’re the favorites. On the other side, the Cubs are just 2-5 in Dempster’s last seven starts as a home underdog and 2-5 in their last seven games overall. They’re also 3-10 in their last 13 games against the NL East and 1-7 in their last eight games when the total is set at 11.0 or higher. Chase Utley has been quiet so far in this series (1-for-7, one stolen base), but he drove in two runs on Tuesday with a double and also stole a base so he could come alive today.
WEDNESDAY MLB FREE PICK: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES –107
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