Wednesday MLB Free Pick
(The Spread) – With the AL Central already wrapped up, the Tigers will look to just stay healthy when they take on the Royals tonight.
Odds: Oddsmakers currently list the Tigers as –124 money line favorites over the host Royals, who are +117 on the ML. The over/under total for this game is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Pitching Matchup: Max Scherzer will take on Felipe Paulino in tonight’s pitching matchup. Scherzer is 14-9 on the year with a 4.39 ERA but was brutal in his last start while allowing five runs in just five innings of work in a 6-1 loss to Oakland. Meanwhile, Paulino is 3-10 on the season with a 4.49 ERA but hasn’t taken a loss in his last three starts.
Public Betting: Of the 2,500-plus wagers on tonight’s game, 76% of MLB public bettors currently favor the Tigers –124. This information is subject to change, however, so make sure you click on the link provided for the most up-to-date MLB public betting numbers.
MLB Free Pick: Take Kansas City. Detroit skipper Jim Leyland has been resting starters recently and Scherzer was brutal in his last start (against a bad Oakland lineup, no less). According to latest MLB trends, the Tigers are 1-4 in Scherzer’s last five road starts and 4-9 in his last 13 starts as a road favorite. They’re also 5-12 in his last 17 road starts versus a team with a losing record and 3-9 in his last 12 starts as a road favorite of –110 to –150. On the other side, the Royals are 6-1 in their last seven games versus the AL Central and 6-1 in their last seven home games overall. They’re also 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog and 8-1 in their last nine games overall. It’s too little too late for KC obviously, but look for the Royals to play well again tonight at a nice price.
MLB WEDNESDAY FREE PICK: KANSAS CITY ROYALS +117
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