Phillies vs. Brewers Prediction
Are the Phillies a good bet to pull off the upset tonight when they visit the Brewers at 7:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Brewers are -170 money line favorites versus the Phillies, who have odds of +150 to pull off the upset in Milwaukee. With Aaron Nola set to face Jimmy Nelson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8.5 runs.
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Latest on Nola via Rotoworld: Nola gave up just two runs in eight innings of work against the Padres but was still charged with a loss on Saturday. He struck out nine batters, walked two and allowed only four hits in the premium effort. He held the Padres scoreless through six innings before allowing two runs in the seventh. Nola is on a hot streak, having allowed just four runs in 29 1/3 innings over his last four starts. Overall he is 6-6 with a 3.59 ERA through 13 starts. He has amassed 81 strikeouts against 25 walks in 80 1/3 frames.
Nelson coughed up seven hits and three runs over five innings Sunday in the Brewers’ win over the Yankees. He walked one and struck out six. Nelson blanked the Yankees for three innings before hitting a wall in the fourth. The Bombers burned him for three runs in that frame with two of those coming on a two-out homer by Clint Frazier. Nelson created another jam in the sixth, putting two runners on before handing it over to the bullpen, though Carlos Torres and Oliver Drake set down three straight batters to end the threat. The big right-hander has posted a 2.37 ERA during his three-game winning streak and will head to the break with an impressive 9.74 K/9.
Bet Tonight’s Phillies vs. Brewers Game
OUR PREDICTION: The Phillies are 4-0 in Nola’s last four starts when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game and are 4-0 in his last four outings after scoring five runs or more in their previous contest. The Brewers are also just 4-11 in their last 15 games during the second game of a series and have dropped all five of Nelson’s last five starts versus National League East opponents.
SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES +150