Reds vs. Brewers Prediction
Is the betting total tonight between the Reds and Brewers set too low when the NL Central rivals meet at 8:10PM ET?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Brewers are -200 money line favorites versus the Reds, who have odds of +160 to pull off the upset. With Homer Bailey set to face Jimmy Nelson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 9 runs.
MLB Quick Links: Scores & Matchups | Injuries | Odds Comparison | Betting Trends | ATS Stats
From Rotoworld: Bailey was blasted for 10 earned runs over just 3 1/3 innings Sunday in a loss to the Cardinals. Bailey walked four batters and gave up 10 hits in the disastrous afternoon outing at Great American Ball Park. The 31-year-old right-hander holds an 8.86 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in 42 2/3 innings (nine starts) this season.
Nelson worked eight innings of one-run ball Sunday in a no-decision versus the Rays. Nelson deserved a victory for the effort, but the Brewers’ offense gave him only one run of support and Jacob Barnes coughed up a walk-off homer to Rays slugger Steven Souza in the bottom of the ninth. Nelson struck out nine batters over his eight impressive frames while walking two and surrendering six hits. The 28-year-old right-hander holds an excellent 3.24 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, and 158/34 K/BB ratio in 141 2/3 innings this season. Up next is a start at home against the last-place Reds.
Bet Tonight’s Reds vs. Brewers Game
OUR PREDICTION: The over has hit in five of the last six meetings between these two teams, is 7-1-1 in Nelson’s last nine starts against the Reds, and is 7-3 in Bailey’s last 10 starts versus the Brewers. The over is also 4-1 in Bailey’s lat five starts overall, is 5-2 in his last seven road outings, and is 5-2 in his last seven starts versus a team with a winning record.
FRIDAY MLB PREDICTION: REDS/BREWERS OVER 9