Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction
Is the betting total set too low in tonight’s Brewers and Nationals game at 7:05PM ET in D.C.?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book BetDSI, the Nationals are -123 money line favorites to beat the Brewers, who have odds of +113 to pull off the upset in D.C. With Zach Davies set to face Edwin Jackson in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 10 runs.
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From Rotoworld: Davies gave up one unearned run in seven innings but had to settle for a no-decision as his club lost to the Pirates on Wednesday. He allowed a single to Starling Marte leading off the first inning, then gave up an infield single to the next batter Josh Harrison. Shortstop Orlando Arcia made a throwing error on the play allowing both runners to move up. Andrew McCutchen followed with a sacrifice fly to plate Marte. That is all the damage Davies would allow in the ballgame. Unfortunately the Brewers’ bullpen blew the game in the ninth and tenth innings to deny Davies the win. His record holds at 11-4 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.
Jackson did not disappoint in his return to the Nationals on Tuesday, allowing just two runs and three hits over seven innings in a win over the Angels. Jackson was shaky in three relief appearances for the Orioles earlier this season, but the veteran did a good job filling in for Joe Ross (elbow) in this one. Despite the quality start on Tuesday night at Anaheim, Jackson probably won’t be worth using in most fantasy leagues down the stretch.
Bet Tonight’s Brewers vs. Nationals Game
OUR PREDICTION: The over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams and 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings in Washington. The over is also 19-7-2 in Davies’ last 28 starts, is 8-3 in his last 11 road outings versus a team with a winning record, and is 8-0-1 when he’s coming off five days of rest. On the other side, the over is 4-1 in the Nationals’ last five home games and has cashed in four of their last five home games when facing a right-handed starter.
TUESDAY MLB PREDICTION: BREWERS/NATIONALS OVER 10