Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Will the over cash today when the Nationals host the Mets at 1:05PM ET today in D.C.?
According to oddsmakers from online sports book Bovada.lv, the Nationals are -215 money line favorites versus the Mets, who have odds of +195 to pull off the upset. With Zack Wheeler set to face Stephen Strasburg in the pitching matchup, the over/under currently sits at 8 runs after hitting the board at 7.5.
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Wheeler pitched seven strong innings of four-run ball against the Nationals last Sunday. He fell behind early, allowing an infield single to Trea Turner and a single to Bryce Harper. After getting Ryan Zimmerman out on strikes, Daniel Murphy unloaded the bases with a home run. Wheeler now owns a 5.40 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP in 21 2/3 innings.
Strasburg was placed on paternity leave last week but was activated on April 27. His last start came on April 20 when he struck out 10 while allowing two runs over seven innings in the Nationals’ 3-2 win over the Braves. He’s posted a 2.89 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 28 combined innings of work. His strikeout-to-walk ratio is sitting at 29:7.
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OUR PREDICTION: The over is a perfect 4-0 in Strasburg’s last four home starts versus the Mets and has cashed in five of his last six outings versus the Mets. The over is also 4-1-1 in Wheeler’s last six outings against the Nationals, is 4-0 in his last four starts overall, and is 6-1-1 in the Mets’ last eight games overall. On the other side, the over is 5-0 in the Nationals’ last five games overall and is 4-0 in their last four games versus a right-handed starter.
SATURDAY MLB PREDICTION: METS/NATIONALS OVER 8
